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ULTRACEMCO - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 4.1

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 10:12 am

Technical Rating: 4.1

Stock Code ULTRACEMCO Market Cap 3,61,811 Cr. Current Price 12,284 ₹ High / Low 13,102 ₹
Stock P/E 47.9 Book Value 2,401 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.63 % ROCE 11.7 %
ROE 9.69 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 12,075 ₹ DMA 200 11,898 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.89 % Chg in DII Hold 0.80 % PAT Qtr 1,570 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 1,064 Cr.
RSI 52.3 MACD 196 Volume 2,09,981 Avg Vol 1Wk 4,61,654
Low price 10,048 ₹ High price 13,102 ₹ PEG Ratio -14.4 Debt to equity 0.30
52w Index 73.2 % Qtr Profit Var 18.6 % EPS 254 ₹ Industry PE 30.0

📊 Chart Patterns: ULTRACEMCO is trading at 12,284 ₹, above both 50 DMA (12,075 ₹) and 200 DMA (11,898 ₹). The price is close to its 52-week high (13,102 ₹), reflecting strong bullish momentum and trend continuation.

📈 Moving Averages: Current price is comfortably above both short-term and long-term averages. The 50 DMA is above the 200 DMA, confirming bullish crossover and sustained uptrend.

📉 RSI: At 52.3, RSI indicates moderate strength, leaning bullish but not yet overbought.

📈 MACD: Strongly positive at 196, showing bullish divergence and strong buying signals.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the upper band, suggesting strong buying interest but also caution for possible short-term pullback.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (2.1 lakh) is lower than average weekly volume (4.6 lakh), indicating reduced participation despite price strength.

📌 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum is bullish. Support lies around 12,050–12,100 ₹, while resistance is near 13,000–13,100 ₹.

🎯 Entry Zone: 12,050–12,150 ₹ (near 50 DMA support).

🎯 Exit Zone: 13,000–13,100 ₹ (near 52-week high resistance).

🔎 Trend Status: The stock is trending upward with strong bullish signals.


Positive

  • EPS of 254 ₹ indicates strong profitability.
  • ROCE (11.7%) and ROE (9.69%) reflect consistent capital efficiency.
  • Quarterly PAT improved from 1,064 Cr. to 1,570 Cr. (18.6% growth).
  • DII holdings increased by 0.80%, showing domestic institutional support.

Limitation

  • High P/E ratio (47.9) compared to industry PE (30.0) suggests overvaluation risk.
  • PEG ratio of -14.4 signals poor growth relative to valuation.
  • Dividend yield of 0.63% is modest.
  • Volume participation is lower than average, indicating cautious sentiment.

Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased by -0.89%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Stock price is near resistance, raising risk of short-term pullback.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT growth signals improving operational efficiency.
  • DII holdings increased, reflecting domestic institutional support.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 30.0 suggests sector trades at lower valuations compared to ULTRACEMCO’s high P/E.
  • Cement sector remains resilient with infrastructure demand driving growth.

Conclusion

🚀 ULTRACEMCO is trending upward with strong bullish technical indicators, supported by moving averages and MACD. Short-term traders may enter around 12,050–12,150 ₹ with targets near 13,000–13,100 ₹. Long-term investors should be cautious of high valuations but can hold for continued sector growth and profitability.

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