⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

UBL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 2.5

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:16 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.5

Stock Code UBL Market Cap 39,880 Cr. Current Price 1,512 ₹ High / Low 2,295 ₹
Stock P/E 105 Book Value 164 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.66 % ROCE 13.9 %
ROE 10.8 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,573 ₹ DMA 200 1,770 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.76 % Chg in DII Hold 0.77 % PAT Qtr 47.0 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 184 Cr.
RSI 49.7 MACD -32.0 Volume 39,374 Avg Vol 1Wk 90,352
Low price 1,401 ₹ High price 2,295 ₹ PEG Ratio 13.2 Debt to equity 0.18
52w Index 12.4 % Qtr Profit Var -64.5 % EPS 13.8 ₹ Industry PE 32.5

📊 UBL currently shows weak swing trade potential due to overvaluation, declining profits, and bearish technical indicators. Entry is only advisable near strong support levels. If already holding, exit should be considered on rebounds toward resistance zones.

Positive ✅

  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.18) indicates financial stability.
  • Strong brand presence in the beverages industry.
  • Moderate ROCE (13.9%) and ROE (10.8%) show operational efficiency.
  • Support level around 1,400 ₹ offers potential entry point.

Limitation ⚠️

  • Extremely high P/E ratio (105) compared to industry average (32.5).
  • PEG ratio of 13.2 suggests overvaluation relative to growth.
  • Weak trading volume compared to average, reducing momentum.
  • MACD (-32.0) signals bearish trend.

Company Negative News ❌

  • Quarterly profit dropped sharply (PAT down from 184 Cr. to 47 Cr.).
  • Quarterly profit variation of -64.5% indicates earnings pressure.
  • Decline in FII holdings (-0.76%) shows reduced foreign investor confidence.

Company Positive News 🌟

  • DII holdings increased (+0.77%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Dividend yield of 0.66% provides some return to shareholders.

Industry 📈

  • Industry P/E at 32.5 is much lower than UBL’s, highlighting sector stability.
  • Beverage industry remains resilient with steady demand.

Conclusion 📝

UBL is currently overvalued with weak technical momentum. Optimal entry would be near 1,400 ₹ support if RSI strengthens. For existing holders, consider exiting around 1,570–1,600 ₹ (near 50 DMA) on any short-term rebound, as upside is limited and risk remains high.

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