UBL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators
Back to ListTechnical Rating: 2.7
| Stock Code | UBL | Market Cap | 38,854 Cr. | Current Price | 1,470 ₹ | High / Low | 2,300 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 102 | Book Value | 164 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.68 % | ROCE | 13.9 % |
| ROE | 10.8 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,582 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,778 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.76 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.77 % | PAT Qtr | 47.0 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 184 Cr. |
| RSI | 34.8 | MACD | -47.5 | Volume | 1,13,453 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 2,10,161 |
| Low price | 1,401 ₹ | High price | 2,300 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 12.8 | Debt to equity | 0.18 |
| 52w Index | 7.65 % | Qtr Profit Var | -64.5 % | EPS | 13.8 ₹ | Industry PE | 31.4 |
📊 Chart Patterns: UBL is trading at 1,470 ₹, below both 50 DMA (1,582 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,778 ₹). The price has corrected sharply from its 52-week high (2,300 ₹) and is hovering near its 52-week low (1,401 ₹), reflecting weak momentum and bearish consolidation.
📈 Moving Averages: Current price is under both short-term and long-term averages, confirming bearish sentiment. A breakout above 1,580–1,600 ₹ could indicate recovery, while failure to hold 1,450 ₹ may trigger further downside.
📉 RSI: At 34.8, RSI indicates weak momentum, leaning towards oversold territory but not yet at reversal levels.
📉 MACD: Strongly negative at -47.5, showing bearish divergence and lack of buying strength.
📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, indicating oversold conditions and possible short-term support.
📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (1.13 lakh) is lower than average weekly volume (2.10 lakh), suggesting reduced participation and cautious sentiment.
📌 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum remains bearish. Support lies around 1,450–1,460 ₹, while resistance is near 1,580–1,600 ₹.
🎯 Entry Zone: 1,450–1,470 ₹ (near support, only for short-term traders with strict stop-loss).
🎯 Exit Zone: 1,580–1,600 ₹ (near 50 DMA resistance).
🔎 Trend Status: The stock is consolidating with bearish bias, awaiting breakout direction.
Positive
- EPS of 13.8 ₹ indicates profitability.
- ROCE (13.9%) and ROE (10.8%) reflect moderate capital efficiency.
- DII holdings increased by 0.77%, showing domestic institutional support.
- Dividend yield of 0.68% provides shareholder returns.
Limitation
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA shows weak technical strength.
- High P/E ratio (102) compared to industry PE (31.4) suggests overvaluation risk.
- PEG ratio of 12.8 signals expensive valuation relative to growth.
- Volume participation is lower than average, indicating cautious sentiment.
Company Negative News
- FII holdings decreased by -0.76%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
- Quarterly PAT declined sharply from 184 Cr. to 47 Cr. (-64.5%).
- Stock price corrected significantly from 2,300 ₹ high to current levels.
Company Positive News
- DII holdings increased, reflecting domestic institutional support.
- Dividend payout continues, enhancing shareholder value.
Industry
- Industry PE at 31.4 suggests sector trades at lower valuations compared to UBL’s high P/E.
- Beverages sector remains resilient with long-term demand outlook but cyclical pressures persist.
Conclusion
⚠️ UBL is consolidating with a bearish bias, trading below key moving averages and showing weak momentum. Short-term traders may consider entry near 1,450–1,470 ₹ with strict stop-loss, targeting 1,580–1,600 ₹ resistance. Long-term investors should wait for a breakout above 1,582 ₹ (50 DMA) with sustained volume before fresh positions.