UBL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators
Back to ListTechnical Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | UBL | Market Cap | 38,566 Cr. | Current Price | 1,459 ₹ | High / Low | 2,245 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 91.8 | Book Value | 164 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.69 % | ROCE | 13.9 % |
| ROE | 10.8 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,535 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,678 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.56 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.63 % | PAT Qtr | 92.0 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 47.0 Cr. |
| RSI | 38.8 | MACD | -24.4 | Volume | 2,14,677 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,98,342 |
| Low price | 1,401 ₹ | High price | 2,245 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 11.5 | Debt to equity | 0.18 |
| 52w Index | 6.81 % | Qtr Profit Var | 76.8 % | EPS | 15.5 ₹ | Industry PE | 40.4 |
📈 Chart & Trend: UBL is trading below both its 50 DMA (1,535 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,678 ₹), reflecting weak momentum and bearish structure. RSI at 38.8 indicates oversold territory, while MACD at -24.4 confirms bearish crossover. Bollinger Bands are moderately tight, suggesting consolidation with downside risk.
🔑 Momentum Signals: Current price (1,459 ₹) is holding near support at 1,440–1,450 ₹. Resistance levels are seen at 1,500 ₹ and 1,560 ₹. Volume (2.14L) is slightly above the 1-week average (1.98L), showing steady participation but not strong conviction.
🎯 Entry Zone: 1,440–1,450 ₹ near support.
💰 Exit Zone: 1,500 ₹ (partial profit) and 1,560 ₹ (full exit).
📊 Trend Status: Consolidating with bearish bias.
Positive
- Quarterly PAT improved (92 Cr. vs 47 Cr.), +76.8% variation.
- EPS at 15.5 ₹ supports valuation strength.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.18 indicates low leverage risk.
- DII holdings increased (+0.63%), showing domestic investor confidence.
- Volume slightly above average supports short-term stability.
Limitation
- High P/E (91.8) vs industry PE (40.4) suggests severe overvaluation.
- PEG ratio at 11.5 reflects expensive growth valuation.
- Price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA confirms weak trend.
- RSI near oversold levels indicates weak momentum.
Company Negative News
- FII holdings reduced (-0.56%), showing weaker foreign confidence.
- Stock trading far below 52-week high (2,245 ₹).
- Weak 52-week performance (6.81% index level).
Company Positive News
- Strong quarterly profit growth (+76.8%).
- DII inflows (+0.63%) reflect domestic institutional support.
- EPS and low debt provide fundamental stability.
Industry
- Industry PE at 40.4 suggests sector trading at moderate valuations compared to UBL’s premium.
- Beverages and FMCG sector benefiting from consumption demand but facing margin pressures.
Conclusion
UBL is consolidating with bearish bias, trading below key moving averages despite improved quarterly profits. Entry near 1,440–1,450 ₹ is favorable for cautious trades with exits at 1,500–1,560 ₹. While fundamentals show profit recovery and low debt, high valuation and weak technicals limit conviction. Best suited for short-term swing trades with strict stop-loss discipline.