⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
UBL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators
Back to ListTechnical Rating: 3.8
| Stock Code | UBL | Market Cap | 42,701 Cr. | Current Price | 1,615 ₹ | High / Low | 2,295 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 102 | Book Value | 164 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.62 % | ROCE | 13.9 % |
| ROE | 10.8 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,610 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,732 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.76 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.77 % | PAT Qtr | 92.0 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 47.0 Cr. |
| RSI | 49.8 | MACD | 16.9 | Volume | 60,872 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 85,757 |
| Low price | 1,401 ₹ | High price | 2,295 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 12.8 | Debt to equity | 0.18 |
| 52w Index | 23.9 % | Qtr Profit Var | 76.8 % | EPS | 15.5 ₹ | Industry PE | 32.0 |
📊 Technical Analysis
- Chart Patterns: Stock is trading near 50 DMA (₹1,610) but below 200 DMA (₹1,732), showing weakness. Support at ₹1,600–₹1,615, resistance around ₹1,730–₹1,800.
- Moving Averages: Current price (₹1,615) is aligned with 50 DMA but below 200 DMA, suggesting consolidation with bearish undertone.
- RSI: 49.8 — neutral, indicating balanced momentum.
- MACD: 16.9 — bullish crossover, momentum positive.
- Bollinger Bands: Price near mid-band, suggesting consolidation with potential upside.
- Volume Trends: Current volume (60.8K) below 1-week average (85.7K), showing reduced participation.
📈 Momentum & Signals
- Short-term Momentum: Neutral to mildly bullish with MACD positive and RSI stable.
- Entry Zone: ₹1,600–₹1,620 (near support).
- Exit Zone: ₹1,730–₹1,800 (first resistance), ₹1,850 (next resistance).
- Trend Status: Consolidation with early signs of reversal; breakout above ₹1,732 would confirm bullish trend.
✅ Positive
- Quarterly PAT improved significantly (₹92 Cr vs ₹47 Cr), showing strong earnings growth.
- ROE at 10.8% and ROCE at 13.9% show moderate efficiency.
- DII holdings increased by 0.77%, reflecting domestic investor confidence.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.18 indicates low leverage.
⚠️ Limitation
- Stock trading below 200 DMA, limiting long-term bullish confirmation.
- High P/E ratio (102) compared to industry PE (32.0), indicating steep premium valuation.
- PEG ratio at 12.8 suggests valuation concerns relative to growth.
📰 Company Negative News
- Stock corrected from 52-week high of ₹2,295 to current ₹1,615.
- FII holdings decreased by -0.76%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
🌟 Company Positive News
- Quarterly profit variation at 76.8% shows strong operational performance.
- EPS at ₹15.5 reflects profitability despite valuation concerns.
- DII inflows suggest domestic support for the stock.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE at 32.0, much lower than company PE (102), indicating UBL trades at a significant premium.
- Beverages sector remains resilient with consumer demand and brand strength driving growth.
🔎 Conclusion
- UBL is consolidating with early bullish signals but trades at a steep premium.
- Short-term traders may consider entry near ₹1,600–₹1,620 with exit around ₹1,730–₹1,800.
- Breakout above ₹1,732 could trigger reversal towards ₹1,850.
- Long-term investors should weigh premium valuation against strong fundamentals and sector resilience.