UBL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 3.4
| Stock Code | UBL | Market Cap | 38,566 Cr. | Current Price | 1,459 ₹ | High / Low | 2,245 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 91.8 | Book Value | 164 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.69 % | ROCE | 13.9 % |
| ROE | 10.8 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,535 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,678 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.56 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.63 % | PAT Qtr | 92.0 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 47.0 Cr. |
| RSI | 38.8 | MACD | -24.4 | Volume | 2,14,677 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,98,342 |
| Low price | 1,401 ₹ | High price | 2,245 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 11.5 | Debt to equity | 0.18 |
| 52w Index | 6.81 % | Qtr Profit Var | 76.8 % | EPS | 15.5 ₹ | Industry PE | 40.4 |
📈 Optimal Buy Price: 1,450 – 1,465 ₹ (near support zone)
💰 Profit Exit Levels: 1,490 – 1,515 ₹ (short-term resistance), 1,540 ₹ (momentum breakout)
⚠️ Stop-Loss: 1,430 ₹ (below support zone)
⏳ Intraday Exit Guidance: If already holding, consider booking profits near 1,490–1,515 ₹ if RSI weakens further or volume declines. Exit immediately if price slips under 1,450 ₹ with bearish momentum.
Positive
- PAT improved significantly (92 Cr. vs 47 Cr.), showing strong quarterly recovery.
- EPS of 15.5 ₹ supports earnings visibility.
- DII holdings increased (+0.63%), reflecting domestic institutional confidence.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.18 indicates manageable leverage.
- Dividend yield of 0.69% adds investor appeal.
- Volume (2.14 Lakh) slightly above weekly average (1.98 Lakh), showing active participation.
Limitation
- Very high P/E of 91.8 vs industry PE of 40.4, indicating stretched valuation.
- ROCE at 13.9% and ROE at 10.8% reflect modest efficiency.
- RSI at 38.8 suggests weak momentum, close to oversold territory.
- MACD negative (-24.4), showing bearish bias in short-term momentum.
- Price below both 50 DMA (1,535 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,678 ₹), confirming medium-term weakness.
Company Negative News
- FII holdings decreased (-0.56%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
- Weak technical indicators (RSI, MACD) limit intraday conviction.
Company Positive News
- PAT growth (+76.8%) highlights strong quarterly performance.
- DII inflows reflect confidence in fundamentals.
- EPS remains positive, supporting valuation strength.
Industry
- Industry PE at 40.4 is much lower than UBL’s 91.8, highlighting valuation risk.
- Breweries and beverages sector outlook remains positive with steady demand, but margins are sensitive to input costs.
Conclusion
⚖️ UBL shows short-term recovery in earnings but weak technical momentum, making it suitable only for speculative intraday trades with tight risk controls. Best suited for cautious trades targeting 1,490–1,540 ₹ with strict stop-loss at 1,430 ₹.
Would you like me to extend this into a beverages sector overlay comparing UBL against peers like Radico Khaitan, Globus Spirits, and GM Breweries for sharper benchmarking?