UBL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:16 pm

IntraDay Trade Rating: 2.6

United Breweries Ltd. (UBL) currently shows a weak technical setup for intraday trading. Despite a solid earnings rebound and low debt, momentum indicators and price action suggest caution.

📉 Intraday Trade Analysis

🔻 Bearish Indicators

RSI at 35.9: Near oversold territory, indicating weak buying pressure.

MACD Deep Negative (-31.3): Strong bearish momentum.

Price Below DMA50 & DMA200: ₹1,799 is below both 50-DMA (₹1,888) and 200-DMA (₹1,962), confirming short-term and long-term weakness.

Volume Below Average: Current volume (1.27 lakh) is ~31% lower than 1-week average, showing reduced intraday interest.

High P/E (102) vs Industry PE (33.0): Valuation is extremely stretched.

PEG Ratio (12.8): Indicates poor growth relative to valuation.

✅ Mild Positives

Quarterly PAT Growth: From ₹97.4 Cr to ₹184 Cr — nearly doubled.

ROCE (13.9%) & ROE (10.8%): Moderate operational efficiency.

Low Debt-to-Equity (0.14): Financially stable.

DII Holding Increased: Slight domestic institutional support.

🎯 Intraday Strategy

📌 Optimal Buy Price

Entry Zone: ₹1,785–₹1,795

Only if volume exceeds 1.5 lakh and RSI crosses above 38.

💰 Profit-Taking Levels

Target 1: ₹1,820

Target 2: ₹1,835–₹1,840

If momentum improves intraday.

🛡️ Stop-Loss

Exit Below: ₹1,770

A break below recent support signals further downside.

🕒 If Already Holding Today

📌 Exit Triggers

MACD Histogram Expands Negatively: Momentum worsening.

Volume Drops Below 1 lakh: Indicates fading interest.

Price Rejection at ₹1,820–₹1,835: If price fails to break this zone, consider exiting.

RSI Falls Below 34: Confirms bearish pressure.

UBL is best approached with caution today — suitable only for tight-range scalping or reversal watch. If you'd like to compare it with peers like Radico Khaitan or AB InBev India, I can help with that too.

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