UBL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 3.9
| Stock Code | UBL | Market Cap | 42,701 Cr. | Current Price | 1,615 ₹ | High / Low | 2,295 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 102 | Book Value | 164 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.62 % | ROCE | 13.9 % |
| ROE | 10.8 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,610 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,732 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.76 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.77 % | PAT Qtr | 92.0 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 47.0 Cr. |
| RSI | 49.8 | MACD | 16.9 | Volume | 60,872 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 85,757 |
| Low price | 1,401 ₹ | High price | 2,295 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 12.8 | Debt to equity | 0.18 |
| 52w Index | 23.9 % | Qtr Profit Var | 76.8 % | EPS | 15.5 ₹ | Industry PE | 32.0 |
📊 Analysis: UBL shows moderate intraday potential today. RSI at 49.8 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD (16.9) is positive, confirming mild bullish bias. Volume (60k) is below the 1-week average (85k), suggesting reduced participation. The stock is trading near its 50 DMA (1,610 ₹) but below its 200 DMA (1,732 ₹), reflecting short-term support but medium-term weakness. Fundamentals remain supportive with strong profit growth, though valuations are stretched.
💹 Optimal Buy Price: 1,610–1,620 ₹ (near current support zone).
🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: 1,640 ₹ (first resistance), 1,670–1,700 ₹ (next resistance zone).
🛑 Stop-Loss: 1,590 ₹ (protective support).
📈 If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above 1,610 ₹ with weakening momentum or volume. Protective exit below 1,590 ₹. Book partial profits near 1,640–1,700 ₹ if momentum sustains.
Positive
- EPS at 15.5 ₹, ROE 10.8%, ROCE 13.9% show profitability.
- Quarterly PAT surged (92 Cr. vs 47 Cr.), showing strong growth.
- DII holdings increased (+0.77%), reflecting domestic institutional confidence.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.18 is manageable.
- MACD positive (16.9), confirming bullish bias.
Limitation
- Stock trades below 200 DMA (1,732 ₹), showing medium-term weakness.
- High P/E (102) compared to industry PE (32.0), showing steep premium valuation.
- PEG ratio at 12.8 indicates expensive growth-adjusted valuation.
- Volume below average, limiting intraday momentum.
Company Negative News
- FII holdings decreased (-0.76%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
- Stock has corrected sharply from 52-week high of 2,295 ₹.
Company Positive News
- Quarterly profits surged by 76.8%, showing operational strength.
- DII support increased, reflecting domestic confidence.
- Dividend yield at 0.62% provides investor support.
Industry
- Industry PE at 32.0, while UBL trades at 102, indicating premium valuation.
- Beverages sector remains resilient, supported by consumer demand and brand strength.
Conclusion
⚖️ UBL earns a moderate intraday rating (3.9). Strong quarterly profit growth and positive MACD are positives, but stretched valuations, weaker volume, and trading below 200 DMA limit upside. Best strategy: Buy near 1,610–1,620 ₹, target 1,640–1,700 ₹, and protect downside at 1,590 ₹. Intraday traders should remain cautious and book profits quickly.
Selva, UBL is showing short-term technical recovery but remains expensive relative to peers. Would you like me to prepare a basket overlay comparing UBL with Radico Khaitan, United Spirits, and Globus Spirits to see if intraday capital rotation favors UBL or stronger liquor/beverage sector setups?