UBL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 3.2
| Stock Code | UBL | Market Cap | 35,446 Cr. | Current Price | 1,340 ₹ | High / Low | 2,135 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 94.8 | Book Value | 171 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.75 % | ROCE | 10.7 % |
| ROE | 8.43 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,451 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,629 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.56 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.63 % | PAT Qtr | 40.5 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 92.0 Cr. |
| RSI | 32.2 | MACD | -42.5 | Volume | 1,39,371 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 2,78,396 |
| Low price | 1,312 ₹ | High price | 2,135 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 20.3 | Debt to equity | 0.29 |
| 52w Index | 3.34 % | Qtr Profit Var | -58.4 % | EPS | 15.6 ₹ | Industry PE | 33.1 |
📊 Current Price: 1,340 ₹
🛒 Optimal Buy Price: 1,330 – 1,350 ₹ (near support zone)
🎯 Profit Exit Levels: 1,370 ₹ / 1,410 ₹
🛑 Stop-Loss: 1,315 ₹
⏳ If already holding: Exit near 1,370–1,410 ₹ if RSI weakens below 31 or MACD remains negative; tighten stop-loss if price slips under 1,330 ₹ with declining volume.
Positive
✔️ EPS at 15.6 ₹ supports earnings visibility.
✔️ ROCE at 10.7% and ROE at 8.43% show modest efficiency.
✔️ Dividend yield at 0.75% adds investor value.
✔️ DII holdings increased (+0.63%), reflecting domestic institutional support.
✔️ Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.29 indicates manageable leverage.
✔️ Price near 52-week low (1,312 ₹), offering potential rebound zone.
Limitation
⚠️ RSI at 32.2 indicates oversold conditions, but momentum remains weak.
⚠️ MACD negative (-42.5), signaling bearish bias.
⚠️ P/E at 94.8 vs industry PE of 33.1 highlights steep valuation premium.
⚠️ PAT declined sharply (40.5 Cr. vs 92 Cr.), showing earnings pressure.
⚠️ Volume (1.39 Lakh) below weekly average (2.78 Lakh), limiting intraday liquidity.
⚠️ 52w Index at 3.34% highlights severe underperformance.
Company Negative News
❌ Quarterly profit decline (-58.4%) highlights earnings volatility.
❌ FII holdings reduced (-0.56%), showing weaker foreign investor confidence.
❌ Weak RSI and MACD limit intraday momentum.
Company Positive News
✅ EPS remains positive relative to peers.
✅ DII inflows show domestic institutional confidence.
✅ Dividend yield provides investor incentive.
✅ Price trading near 52-week low, offering potential technical rebound.
Industry
🍺 Industry PE at 33.1 vs UBL’s 94.8, showing valuation premium.
📈 Breweries and beverages sector outlook remains steady, supported by consumption demand but facing margin pressures.
Conclusion
⚖️ UBL shows limited intraday potential with valuation premium and weak technicals, but oversold RSI and support near 1,330 ₹ may offer short-term rebound opportunities.
📉 Weak RSI, negative MACD, and sharp profit decline limit upside momentum.
🎯 Suitable only for cautious intraday trades targeting 1,370–1,410 ₹, with strict stop-loss at 1,315 ₹.
Would you like me to extend this into a beverages sector overlay with peer benchmarking (e.g., Radico Khaitan, United Spirits, Globus Spirits) to compare UBL’s intraday strength against its peers?