⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

TMPV - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 20 Mar 26, 12:30 pm

📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

Stock Code TMPV Market Cap 1,13,966 Cr. Current Price 309 ₹ High / Low 449 ₹
Stock P/E 20.4 Book Value 66.7 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.94 % ROCE 20.3 %
ROE 17.9 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 355 ₹ DMA 200 386 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.75 % Chg in DII Hold -1.95 % PAT Qtr 389 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -237 Cr.
RSI 31.4 MACD -14.5 Volume 1,06,33,448 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,18,87,037
Low price 307 ₹ High price 449 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.26 Debt to equity 0.12
52w Index 1.68 % Qtr Profit Var 582 % EPS 240 ₹ Industry PE 28.2

Analysis: Tata Motors DVR (TMPV) shows moderate potential for swing trading. The RSI at 31.4 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting possible rebound opportunities. The MACD (-14.5) reflects bearish momentum. The current price (₹309) is below both the 50 DMA (₹355) and 200 DMA (₹386), signaling short-term weakness. However, fundamentals are strong: quarterly profit turned positive (₹389 Cr vs. -₹237 Cr), EPS is robust (₹240), and return ratios are decent (ROCE 20.3%, ROE 17.9%). The P/E (20.4) is lower than the industry average (28.2), making the stock relatively undervalued. The PEG ratio (0.26) suggests attractive valuation relative to growth. Institutional confidence is mixed, with FII holdings up (+0.75%) but DII holdings down (-1.95%).

Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹305–310, near current support levels and oversold RSI zone.

Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near ₹340–360 if momentum recovers, or cut losses if price falls below ₹305.

✅ Positive

  • Quarterly profit turnaround (+582% YoY).
  • EPS of ₹240 supports strong earnings base.
  • ROCE (20.3%) and ROE (17.9%) indicate solid efficiency.
  • P/E (20.4) lower than industry average (28.2), showing undervaluation.
  • PEG ratio of 0.26 suggests attractive growth potential.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Price trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA reflects bearish trend.
  • MACD negative (-14.5), showing weak momentum.
  • DII holdings decreased (-1.95%), reflecting weaker domestic support.

📰 Company Negative News

  • Stock trading near 52-week low (₹307 vs. high ₹449).
  • Bearish technical indicators limit short-term upside.

🌟 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit turnaround highlights operational improvement.
  • Strong EPS and return ratios support fundamentals.
  • FII participation increased (+0.75%), signaling foreign confidence.

🏦 Industry

  • Automobile sector PE (28.2) is higher than TMPV’s PE (20.4), making the stock relatively undervalued.
  • Industry supported by demand for passenger vehicles and EV adoption, though competition remains strong.

📌 Conclusion

Tata Motors DVR is a moderately good candidate for swing trading with strong fundamentals and undervaluation, but bearish technicals limit short-term upside. Entry near ₹305–310 offers better risk-reward. Exit near ₹340–360 if momentum recovers, or below ₹305 to protect capital.

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