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TMPV - Investment Analysis: Buy Signal or Bull Trap?

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Rating: 4.5

Last Updated Time : 19 Jun 26, 08:51 am

Investment Rating: 4.5

Stock Code TMPV Market Cap 1,34,248 Cr. Current Price 365 ₹ High / Low 447 ₹
Stock P/E 1.52 Book Value 67.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.82 % ROCE 16.1 %
ROE 303 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 367 ₹ DMA 200 374 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.59 % Chg in DII Hold 1.71 % PAT Qtr 383 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 389 Cr.
RSI 44.6 MACD 4.48 Volume 2,47,99,157 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,14,02,658
Low price 294 ₹ High price 447 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.01 Debt to equity 0.12
52w Index 46.2 % Qtr Profit Var 75.1 % EPS 238 ₹ Industry PE 29.2

📊 TMPV (Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles) demonstrates strong fundamentals with a market cap of ₹1,34,248 Cr. Current P/E of 1.52 is far below the industry average (29.2), suggesting deep undervaluation. ROCE (16.1%) is healthy, while ROE (303%) is abnormally high due to extraordinary earnings relative to equity base. Dividend yield of 0.82% adds modest income support. EPS of ₹238 and PEG ratio of 0.01 indicate exceptional value relative to growth. Current price ₹365 is near 50 DMA (₹367) and slightly below 200 DMA (₹374), showing consolidation with potential upside.

💡 Entry Price Zone: Ideal entry lies between ₹350–₹365, with deeper accumulation possible around ₹320–₹330 if market correction occurs.

📈 Exit Strategy / Holding Period: For existing holders, TMPV remains a strong long-term candidate given extraordinary ROE, undervaluation, and sector tailwinds. Hold for 3–5 years, targeting exits near ₹440–₹450 resistance levels. Monitor sustainability of earnings and valuation normalization as key factors.


Positive ✅

  • 📌 Exceptionally low P/E ratio (1.52) compared to industry average (29.2).
  • 📌 Extraordinary ROE (303%) and healthy ROCE (16.1%).
  • 📌 EPS of ₹238 supports strong valuation base.
  • 📌 PEG ratio of 0.01 indicates deep undervaluation relative to growth.
  • 📌 Increase in DII holdings (+1.71%).

Limitation ⚠️

  • 📌 Reduction in FII holdings (-0.59%).
  • 📌 Dividend yield of 0.82% offers limited income support.
  • 📌 RSI at 44.6 and MACD at 4.48 suggest neutral momentum.
  • 📌 Sequential PAT decline (₹389 Cr → ₹383 Cr).

Company Negative News 📉

  • 📌 Reduction in FII holdings (-0.59%).
  • 📌 Stock trading below 52-week high (₹447).

Company Positive News 📈

  • 📌 Increase in DII holdings (+1.71%).
  • 📌 Quarterly profit growth (+75.1%).

Industry 🌐

  • 📌 Industry P/E at 29.2 suggests sector trades at higher valuations than TMPV.
  • 📌 Auto sector benefits from rising demand in passenger vehicles and EV adoption.

Conclusion 🚗

TMPV is a fundamentally strong auto player with extraordinary ROE, undervaluation, and consistent profitability, making it a compelling long-term candidate. Entry between ₹350–₹365 offers favorable risk-reward. Hold for 3–5 years, with partial exits near ₹440–₹450. Long-term sustainability depends on maintaining earnings momentum and sector growth.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking to compare Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles against other auto leaders for valuation and efficiency?

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