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TMPV - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 09:02 pm

Technical Rating: 3.7

Stock Code TMPV Market Cap 1,19,493 Cr. Current Price 325 ₹ High / Low 449 ₹
Stock P/E 21.4 Book Value 66.7 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.85 % ROCE 20.3 %
ROE 17.9 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 357 ₹ DMA 200 387 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.75 % Chg in DII Hold -1.95 % PAT Qtr 389 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -237 Cr.
RSI 36.6 MACD -13.4 Volume 82,87,390 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,18,72,505
Low price 307 ₹ High price 449 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.28 Debt to equity 0.12
52w Index 12.4 % Qtr Profit Var 582 % EPS 240 ₹ Industry PE 29.0

📊 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Stock has corrected from highs of ₹449, currently near ₹325 with strong support at ₹307–₹325 and resistance around ₹355–₹360.
  • Moving Averages: Price (₹325) below both 50 DMA (₹357) and 200 DMA (₹387), confirming bearish trend.
  • RSI: 36.6 — approaching oversold zone, suggesting potential rebound.
  • MACD: -13.4 — bearish crossover, momentum negative.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band, oversold condition may trigger short-term bounce.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (82.8 Lakh) below 1-week average (118.7 Lakh), showing reduced participation.

📈 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-term Momentum: Weak, with bearish bias but oversold signals hint at possible rebound.
  • Entry Zone: ₹307–₹325 (support region).
  • Exit Zone: ₹355–₹360 (resistance region).
  • Trend Status: Reversing from uptrend to bearish consolidation.

✅ Positive

  • Quarterly PAT turnaround (₹389 Cr vs ₹-237 Cr).
  • Strong EPS at ₹240, supported by profitability.
  • FII holdings increased (+0.75%).
  • Dividend yield at 1.85%, attractive for income investors.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.12), financially stable.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock P/E (21.4) below industry average (29.0), but valuations stretched given volatility.
  • PEG ratio at 0.28, showing limited growth visibility.
  • Price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming bearish trend.
  • DII holdings decreased (-1.95%).

📉 Company Negative News

  • Stock has lost significant value from 52-week highs (₹449 to ₹325).
  • Quarterly profit variation (+582%) driven by turnaround but sustainability uncertain.
  • Weak 52-week performance (12.4%), underperforming peers.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Strong quarterly turnaround from losses to profits.
  • FII participation increased, showing institutional confidence.
  • Dividend yield of 1.85% provides steady returns.

🚗 Industry

  • Automobile & passenger vehicle sector PE at 29.0, showing moderate valuations compared to TMPV’s lower P/E.
  • Industry supported by rising demand in passenger vehicles and exports, but faces cyclical risks.

🔎 Conclusion

  • TMPV is in a bearish consolidation phase, trading below key moving averages.
  • Oversold RSI and Bollinger Band signals suggest potential rebound near ₹307–₹325.
  • Short-term traders can accumulate near support and exit around ₹355–₹360.
  • Long-term investors should be cautious due to volatility and uncertain earnings sustainability despite strong turnaround and dividend yield.

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