THELEELA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s the structured swing trade analysis for The Leela (THELEELA) based on the provided parameters
Swing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | THELEELA | Market Cap | 15,287 Cr. | Current Price | 458 ₹ | High / Low | 475 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 55.2 | Book Value | 270 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 4.60 % |
| ROE | 3.61 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 424 ₹ | DMA 200 | 425 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.40 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.07 % | PAT Qtr | 91.2 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 78.3 Cr. |
| RSI | 69.1 | MACD | 8.83 | Volume | 2,41,460 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 8,38,925 |
| Low price | 381 ₹ | High price | 475 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.41 | Debt to equity | 0.04 |
| 52w Index | 81.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | 153 % | EPS | 8.26 ₹ | Industry PE | 30.8 |
📊 The Leela is trading at ₹458, close to its 52-week high of ₹475, showing strong momentum above both 50 DMA (₹424) and 200 DMA (₹425). RSI at 69.1 indicates near overbought conditions, while MACD (8.83) confirms bullish bias. Volumes (2.4L) are significantly below weekly averages (8.3L), suggesting reduced participation. Valuations remain stretched (P/E 55.2 vs industry 30.8), though quarterly PAT growth (₹78.3 Cr → ₹91.2 Cr) supports near-term strength. Debt-to-equity is very low at 0.04, but ROCE (4.6%) and ROE (3.61%) remain weak.
💡 Optimal Entry: ₹440–₹445 (near support zone)
🚪 Exit if Holding: Profit-taking zone around ₹470–₹475; Stop-loss below ₹425
✅ Positive
- Trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA
- Strong quarterly PAT growth (₹78.3 Cr → ₹91.2 Cr)
- Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.04)
- PEG ratio at 0.41 indicates fair growth-adjusted valuation
⚠️ Limitation
- High valuation (P/E 55.2 vs industry 30.8)
- Weak ROCE (4.6%) and ROE (3.61%)
- Low trading volume compared to weekly average
- FII holdings declined (-0.40%) and DII holdings slightly reduced (-0.07%)
📉 Company Negative News
- Weak return ratios despite revenue growth
- Valuation pressure due to elevated P/E
📈 Company Positive News
- Quarterly PAT improved significantly (₹78.3 Cr → ₹91.2 Cr)
- Strong momentum near 52-week highs
🏭 Industry
- Hospitality sector P/E at 30.8, making The Leela relatively expensive
- Sector outlook improving with rising travel and tourism demand
🔎 Conclusion
The Leela is a moderate candidate for swing trading with bullish technical signals and strong quarterly earnings. Entry near ₹440–₹445 offers a controlled risk setup, but exits should be considered around ₹470–₹475 due to overbought RSI and valuation pressure. Suitable for short-term trades, though weak fundamentals limit long-term conviction.
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