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THELEELA - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 2.6

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:17 pm

Fundamental Rating: 2.6

Stock Code THELEELA Market Cap 14,227 Cr. Current Price 425 ₹ High / Low 475 ₹
Stock P/E 64.1 Book Value 268 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 5.06 %
ROE 1.08 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 421 ₹ DMA 200 425 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.52 % Chg in DII Hold -0.50 % PAT Qtr 78.3 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 72.8 Cr.
RSI 52.9 MACD -2.21 Volume 1,37,236 Avg Vol 1Wk 13,86,292
Low price 381 ₹ High price 475 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.10 Debt to equity 0.05
52w Index 47.3 % Qtr Profit Var 673 % EPS 6.83 ₹ Industry PE 32.6

📊 Financials: The Leela has a market cap of 14,227 Cr. with quarterly PAT improving to 78.3 Cr. from 72.8 Cr. (673% YoY growth). However, ROE at 1.08% and ROCE at 5.06% are weak, showing poor efficiency in generating returns. Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05 indicates very low leverage, which is positive. EPS stands at 6.83 ₹, but margins remain thin.

💹 Valuation: Current P/E of 64.1 is significantly higher than the industry average of 32.6, suggesting overvaluation. P/B ratio is ~1.58 (425 ₹ / 268 ₹), which is reasonable. PEG ratio at 2.10 indicates growth is priced expensively. Intrinsic value appears lower than current market price, making the stock richly valued.

🏨 Business Model & Competitive Advantage: The Leela operates in luxury hospitality, a sector with strong brand-driven demand but cyclical risks. Its competitive advantage lies in premium positioning and brand recognition. However, profitability is highly sensitive to tourism cycles and economic conditions.

📈 Entry Zone: With RSI at 52.9 (neutral) and DMA 200 near 425 ₹, the stock is trading close to fair technical levels. A better entry zone would be around 380–400 ₹, closer to its 52-week low, to mitigate valuation risk.

🕰️ Long-Term Holding Guidance: The company has brand strength and growth potential in hospitality, but weak return metrics and high valuation suggest cautious accumulation. Long-term holding is viable only if profitability improves and valuations normalize.


Positive

  • Strong brand presence in luxury hospitality.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.05 shows minimal leverage.
  • Quarterly profits improving (78.3 Cr. vs 72.8 Cr.).
  • FII holdings increased by 0.52%, showing investor confidence.

Limitation

  • High P/E (64.1) compared to industry average (32.6).
  • Weak ROE (1.08%) and ROCE (5.06%).
  • Low trading volumes compared to average weekly volume.
  • PEG ratio of 2.10 indicates expensive growth.

Company Negative News

  • Profitability remains weak despite revenue growth.
  • DII holdings decreased by 0.50%, showing reduced domestic confidence.

Company Positive News

  • Strong YoY profit growth (673%).
  • Luxury hospitality demand recovery supports revenue expansion.

Industry

  • Hospitality sector is cyclical but benefits from tourism growth.
  • Industry P/E at 32.6 indicates moderate valuation compared to The Leela.

Conclusion

⚖️ The Leela is fundamentally stable with strong brand equity but weak return metrics and stretched valuations. Entry is advisable near 380–400 ₹ for long-term investors. Sustained profitability improvement is essential before strong conviction in long-term holding.

Would you like me to also create a side-by-side HTML table comparing The Leela’s metrics with industry averages for quick visualization?

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