THELEELA - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators
Back to ListTechnical Rating: 3.5
| Stock Code | THELEELA | Market Cap | 13,729 Cr. | Current Price | 411 ₹ | High / Low | 475 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 61.8 | Book Value | 268 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.00 % | ROCE | 5.06 % |
| ROE | 1.08 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 430 ₹ | DMA 200 | 428 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.52 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.50 % | PAT Qtr | 78.3 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 72.8 Cr. |
| RSI | 36.2 | MACD | -4.62 | Volume | 3,74,398 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 2,92,962 |
| Low price | 381 ₹ | High price | 475 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 2.03 | Debt to equity | 0.05 |
| 52w Index | 31.8 % | Qtr Profit Var | 673 % | EPS | 6.83 ₹ | Industry PE | 28.4 |
📊 Chart & Trend: The Leela trades at ₹411, below both its 50 DMA (₹430) and 200 DMA (₹428). This indicates short-term and medium-term weakness, with the stock struggling to hold above key averages.
📉 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 36.2 shows the stock is approaching oversold territory, suggesting possible support but no strong reversal yet. MACD at -4.62 confirms bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands show price leaning toward the lower band, with potential support near ₹400.
📈 Volume Trends: Current volume (3.74 lakh) is higher than the 1-week average (2.92 lakh), indicating increased selling pressure and heightened activity.
🔑 Entry Zone: ₹395–₹405 (near support and oversold RSI levels).
🚪 Exit Zone: ₹455–₹470 (near resistance and recent swing highs).
📌 Trend Status: The stock is in consolidation with bearish bias, showing weakness across moving averages but potential support emerging near ₹400.
Positive
- Quarterly PAT improved sequentially (₹72.8 Cr → ₹78.3 Cr).
- EPS at ₹6.83 indicates earnings growth.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.05 shows very low leverage.
- FII holdings increased (+0.52%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.
Limitation
- High P/E of 61.8 compared to industry average of 28.4.
- Weak ROCE (5.06%) and ROE (1.08%) show poor efficiency.
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, signaling weakness.
Company Negative News
- DII holdings decreased (-0.50%), showing reduced domestic institutional interest.
- Stock underperforming with 52-week index at 31.8%.
Company Positive News
- Strong YoY profit growth (673%).
- Sequential PAT improvement despite overall weakness.
- FII stake increased, supporting long-term confidence.
Industry
- Hospitality sector PE at 28.4, much lower than The Leela’s valuation.
- Sector rotation remains cautious, with valuations stretched in premium hospitality stocks.
Conclusion
⚖️ The Leela is consolidating with bearish short-term signals, trading below key averages. Entry near ₹395–₹405 offers margin of safety, while exits around ₹455–₹470 provide profit-taking opportunities. High valuation and weak efficiency metrics limit upside, but strong profit growth and low debt support long-term resilience.
Would you like me to extend this into a sector benchmarking overlay with peers like Indian Hotels, Chalet Hotels, and EIH to see how The Leela compares within the hospitality space?