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NIACL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:16 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

Stock Code NIACL Market Cap 24,605 Cr. Current Price 149 ₹ High / Low 215 ₹
Stock P/E 21.0 Book Value 0.00 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.21 % ROCE 3.72 %
ROE 3.54 % Face Value 5.00 ₹ DMA 50 156 ₹ DMA 200 175 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.01 % Chg in DII Hold -0.03 % PAT Qtr 372 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 63.2 Cr.
RSI 47.4 MACD -2.43 Volume 2,98,168 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,88,146
Low price 135 ₹ High price 215 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.26 52w Index 17.4 %
Qtr Profit Var 5.13 % EPS 7.11 ₹ Industry PE 33.8

📊 NIACL shows moderate fundamentals with a reasonable P/E compared to industry, attractive dividend yield, and strong quarterly profit growth. However, weak ROCE/ROE, negative momentum indicators, and declining institutional interest limit upside potential. It is a cautious candidate for swing trading.

Optimal Entry Price: Around 140–145 ₹ (near support, close to 52-week low of 135 ₹)

🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 165–170 ₹ (resistance zone close to 50 DMA and below 200 DMA).

Positive

  • Quarterly PAT surged to 372 Cr from 63.2 Cr, showing strong improvement.
  • Dividend yield of 1.21% adds investor appeal.
  • P/E of 21.0 is lower than industry PE (33.8), suggesting relative undervaluation.
  • PEG ratio of 0.26 indicates favorable valuation relative to growth.

Limitation

  • ROCE (3.72%) and ROE (3.54%) are weak, reflecting low efficiency.
  • Book value reported as 0.00 ₹, limiting valuation support.
  • Price below both 50 DMA (156 ₹) and 200 DMA (175 ₹), showing bearish trend.
  • MACD negative (-2.43) and RSI neutral (47.4) indicate lack of momentum.
  • Trading volume below weekly average, suggesting reduced participation.

Company Negative News

  • Decline in both FII (-0.01%) and DII (-0.03%) holdings shows reduced institutional confidence.
  • Stock has corrected significantly from 52-week high of 215 ₹.

Company Positive News

  • Strong quarterly profit growth highlights operational improvement.
  • Dividend yield provides steady returns for investors.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 33.8 is higher, suggesting NIACL trades at a discount.
  • Insurance sector remains in growth phase with rising demand for coverage in India.

Conclusion

⚖️ NIACL offers moderate swing trading potential with entry near 140–145 ₹ and exit near 165–170 ₹. While valuation is attractive and profits have improved, weak efficiency ratios and bearish technicals warrant caution. Short-term gains are possible, but momentum remains limited.

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