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NIACL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.9

Last Updated Time : 03 May 26, 11:25 am

Technical Rating: 3.9

Stock Code NIACL Market Cap 26,467 Cr. Current Price 161 ₹ High / Low 215 ₹
Stock P/E 22.6 Book Value 169 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.12 % ROCE 3.72 %
ROE 3.54 % Face Value 5.00 ₹ DMA 50 150 ₹ DMA 200 162 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.01 % Chg in DII Hold 0.02 % PAT Qtr 372 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 63.2 Cr.
RSI 59.8 MACD 6.97 Volume 10,05,472 Avg Vol 1Wk 9,00,326
Low price 117 ₹ High price 215 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.28 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 44.6 % Qtr Profit Var 5.13 % EPS 7.11 ₹ Industry PE 31.7

📈 Chart & Trend: NIACL is trading above its 50 DMA (150 ₹) and near its 200 DMA (162 ₹), showing short-term strength but medium-term resistance. RSI at 59.8 indicates moderate bullish momentum, while MACD at 6.97 confirms positive crossover. Bollinger Bands are moderately wide, suggesting volatility with potential continuation of the uptrend.

🔑 Momentum Signals: Current price (161 ₹) is holding above support at 158–160 ₹. Resistance levels are seen at 170 ₹ and 180 ₹. Volume (10.0L) is slightly above the 1-week average (9.0L), showing healthy participation and supporting momentum.

🎯 Entry Zone: 158–160 ₹ near support.

💰 Exit Zone: 170 ₹ (partial profit) and 180 ₹ (full exit).

📊 Trend Status: Consolidating with bullish bias.

Positive

  • PAT improved sharply (372 Cr. vs 63.2 Cr.).
  • EPS at 7.11 ₹ supports valuation stability.
  • PEG ratio at 0.28 indicates undervaluation relative to growth.
  • Debt-free structure adds financial resilience.
  • Price trading above 50 DMA confirms short-term strength.

Limitation

  • Weak ROCE (3.72%) and ROE (3.54%) highlight poor efficiency.
  • Price still near 200 DMA resistance, limiting upside.
  • Return ratios remain weak despite profit improvement.

Company Negative News

  • Return ratios remain weak despite earnings recovery.
  • Limited foreign investor confidence (FII holding up only 0.01%).

Company Positive News

  • PAT surged significantly, showing operational recovery.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.02%), reflecting domestic support.
  • Trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA confirms technical strength.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 31.7, higher than NIACL’s 22.6, suggesting relative undervaluation.
  • Insurance sector benefits from rising demand but faces margin pressures.
  • Sector rotation favors financial services in stable growth phases.

Conclusion

NIACL shows short-term bullish momentum with strong PAT recovery and technical alignment above key moving averages. However, weak return ratios and resistance near 200 DMA limit upside potential. Entry near 158–160 ₹ is favorable with exits at 170–180 ₹. Best suited for short-term trades; long-term investors should wait for sustained improvement in efficiency metrics.

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