NATIONALUM - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 4.5

📊 Analysis: NATIONALUM is trading at ₹279, very close to its 52-week high of ₹283. The stock is well above both DMA 50 (₹252) and DMA 200 (₹216), confirming strong bullish momentum. RSI at 68.6 indicates near overbought levels, suggesting caution but still supportive of strength. MACD (7.94) is strongly positive, reinforcing bullish bias. Intraday volume (88.9 lakh) is slightly above average (86.3 lakh), showing active participation. Overall, NATIONALUM is a strong candidate for intraday trading today with upside potential, though traders should be alert for resistance near the 52-week high.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹277–₹279 (near current levels with momentum support)

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹282–₹283 (near 52-week high resistance)

🛑 Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹273 (below short-term support)

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹277 or if RSI crosses 70 with weakening volume. Consider booking profits if price approaches ₹282–₹283 with momentum confirmation.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE at 43.7% and ROE at 32.6%
• 💰 Attractive dividend yield of 3.76%
• 📊 EPS at ₹33.5 supports valuation strength
• 📈 Quarterly PAT improved to ₹1,433 Cr. vs ₹1,064 Cr. (+34.9%)
• 📊 FII holding increased by 1.16%, showing foreign investor confidence
• 📊 PEG ratio at 0.39 indicates undervaluation relative to growth
• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.00, ensuring financial stability

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI at 68.6 is near overbought, limiting upside
• 📊 Price close to 52-week high (₹283), strong resistance zone
• 📉 DII holding reduced by -0.31%, showing domestic caution

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Risk of profit booking near 52-week high
• 📊 RSI nearing overbought levels could trigger short-term correction

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 Strong quarterly profit growth (+34.9%)
• 💰 High dividend yield supports investor sentiment
• 📊 FII inflows provide strong support

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 20.6 vs NATIONALUM’s 8.38, indicating undervaluation
• ⚒️ Aluminium sector outlook tied to global commodity demand and infrastructure growth

📌 Conclusion

NATIONALUM is a strong intraday candidate today with bullish technicals and robust fundamentals. Traders may enter near ₹277–₹279 with stop-loss at ₹273 and target exits around ₹282–₹283. While fundamentals and momentum are supportive, caution is advised near the 52-week high as profit booking may occur. Conservative traders may wait for a breakout above ₹283 with volume confirmation before entering fresh positions.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing NATIONALUM with other aluminium and metal sector stocks, so you can identify relative intraday strength opportunities?