NATIONALUM - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 4.3
| Stock Code | NATIONALUM | Market Cap | 79,482 Cr. | Current Price | 433 ₹ | High / Low | 445 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 13.7 | Book Value | 119 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.42 % | ROCE | 39.2 % |
| ROE | 29.2 % | Face Value | 5.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 402 ₹ | DMA 200 | 328 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 2.60 % | Chg in DII Hold | -1.60 % | PAT Qtr | 1,718 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,601 Cr. |
| RSI | 61.7 | MACD | 1.66 | Volume | 1,62,71,009 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 83,64,641 |
| Low price | 176 ₹ | High price | 445 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.25 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 95.3 % | Qtr Profit Var | -17.4 % | EPS | 31.7 ₹ | Industry PE | 18.8 |
📊 Analysis: NATIONALUM shows strong intraday potential. Current price (₹433) is above DMA 50 (₹402) and DMA 200 (₹328), reflecting bullish momentum. RSI at 61.7 indicates healthy strength, while MACD (1.66) confirms positive bias. Volume (1.62 Cr) is significantly higher than the 1-week average (0.83 Cr), supporting strong liquidity. Fundamentals remain attractive with low P/E (13.7 vs industry 18.8), high ROE/ROCE, and zero debt, though quarterly profit variation (-17.4%) raises caution.
💹 Optimal Buy Price: ₹430–435 if sustained above VWAP with strong volume.
🎯 Profit Exit Levels: ₹440 (near resistance) and ₹445 (recent high breakout zone).
🛑 Stop-Loss: ₹422 (below intraday support).
⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit near ₹440–445 if RSI approaches 65–68 or momentum slows. Cut positions if price breaks below ₹422 with rising volume pressure.
Positive
- Low P/E (13.7) compared to industry average (18.8), indicating undervaluation.
- Strong ROE (29.2%) and ROCE (39.2%) highlight robust fundamentals.
- Dividend yield of 2.42% adds investor support.
- Zero debt-to-equity ensures financial stability.
- FII holding increased (+2.60%), showing strong foreign investor confidence.
Limitation
- Quarterly profit variation (-17.4%) raises earnings concerns.
- DII holding reduced (-1.60%), showing weaker domestic sentiment.
- PEG ratio (0.25) suggests limited growth alignment despite valuation strength.
Company Negative News
- Decline in quarterly profits raises caution for traders.
- DII outflows highlight weaker domestic institutional sentiment.
Company Positive News
- Strong fundamentals with high ROE and ROCE.
- FII inflows highlight foreign confidence in the company.
- Dividend yield supports investor sentiment.
Industry
- Industry P/E at 18.8, higher than NATIONALUM’s 13.7, suggesting undervaluation relative to peers.
- Metals and mining sector remains cyclical but benefits from commodity demand and infrastructure growth.
Conclusion
⚖️ NATIONALUM offers strong intraday trading potential with undervaluation, robust fundamentals, and strong liquidity. Suitable for trades above ₹430 with profit targets near ₹440–445 and strict stop-loss at ₹422. Momentum indicators suggest cautious optimism as RSI approaches overbought territory.
Would you like me to extend this into a swing trade analysis with 1–2 week holding logic, or keep it strictly intraday-focused?