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NATIONALUM - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 4.3

Last Updated Time : 04 Feb 26, 05:34 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 4.3

Stock Code NATIONALUM Market Cap 68,084 Cr. Current Price 371 ₹ High / Low 432 ₹
Stock P/E 11.0 Book Value 109 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.83 % ROCE 43.7 %
ROE 32.6 % Face Value 5.00 ₹ DMA 50 326 ₹ DMA 200 251 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 3.45 % Chg in DII Hold -3.10 % PAT Qtr 1,601 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 1,433 Cr.
RSI 55.3 MACD 18.4 Volume 2,89,40,296 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,58,02,258
Low price 138 ₹ High price 432 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.51 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 79.4 % Qtr Profit Var 1.14 % EPS 33.6 ₹ Industry PE 27.4

📊 Analysis: NATIONALUM shows strong intraday potential. Current price (371 ₹) is well above both 50 DMA (326 ₹) and 200 DMA (251 ₹), confirming bullish support. RSI at 55.3 indicates healthy momentum without being overbought. MACD (18.4) signals strong bullish trend. Volume (2.89 Cr) is slightly below average (3.58 Cr), but still robust enough to support intraday trades.

💰 Optimal Buy Price: 368 ₹ – 372 ₹ (near support zone)

📈 Profit-Taking Levels: 380 ₹ – 388 ₹

📉 Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: 362 ₹

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to hold above 368 ₹ or if RSI dips below 52. Book profits if price approaches 380–388 ₹ with weakening momentum or volume divergence.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (43.7%) and ROE (32.6%) indicate excellent efficiency.
  • Dividend yield of 2.83% provides attractive shareholder returns.
  • EPS of 33.6 ₹ reflects solid earnings base.
  • FII holdings increased (+3.45%), showing strong foreign investor confidence.
  • Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity 0.00) reduces financial risk.

Limitation

  • DII holdings decreased (-3.10%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.
  • Quarterly profit variation (+1.14%) is modest, limiting earnings momentum.
  • Volume slightly below average, reducing intraday conviction.

Company Negative News

  • DII outflows (-3.10%) indicate cautious domestic sentiment.
  • 52-week index at 79.4% shows recovery but limited upside compared to highs.

Company Positive News

  • PAT improved sequentially (1,601 Cr. vs 1,433 Cr.), showing resilience.
  • PEG ratio of 0.51 suggests undervaluation relative to growth.

Industry

  • Industry P/E at 27.4 is higher than NATIONALUM’s (11.0), suggesting the stock trades at a discount to peers.
  • Metals and mining sector remains cyclical but benefits from strong commodity demand and infrastructure growth.

Conclusion

⚖️ NATIONALUM is a strong candidate for intraday trading today, supported by bullish DMA positioning, strong fundamentals, and foreign investor inflows. However, modest earnings growth and reduced DII support require disciplined entries with tight stop-losses. Best suited for momentum trades with profit booking around 380–388 ₹.

Would you like me to also prepare a workflow-ready HTML template with peer benchmarking overlays (e.g., comparing NATIONALUM with Hindalco, Vedanta, and BALCO) so you can integrate sector-relative strength into your intraday reports?

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