NATIONALUM - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 4.2
| Stock Code | NATIONALUM | Market Cap | 73,337 Cr. | Current Price | 399 ₹ | High / Low | 445 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 12.6 | Book Value | 119 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.63 % | ROCE | 39.2 % |
| ROE | 29.2 % | Face Value | 5.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 396 ₹ | DMA 200 | 312 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 2.60 % | Chg in DII Hold | -1.60 % | PAT Qtr | 1,718 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,601 Cr. |
| RSI | 44.1 | MACD | 11.3 | Volume | 1,80,94,680 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,02,22,488 |
| Low price | 149 ₹ | High price | 445 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.23 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 84.5 % | Qtr Profit Var | -17.4 % | EPS | 31.7 ₹ | Industry PE | 20.1 |
📊 Analysis: NATIONALUM shows strong intraday potential. Current price (₹399) is above DMA 50 (₹396) and well above DMA 200 (₹312), confirming bullish momentum. RSI at 44.1 indicates room for upside, while MACD (11.3) supports positive bias. Volume (1.80 Cr) is significantly higher than the 1-week average (1.02 Cr), showing strong participation. PAT improved (₹1,601 Cr → ₹1,718 Cr), though quarterly profit variation (-17.4%) raises caution. Valuation remains attractive with P/E (12.6) below industry average (20.1) and PEG ratio (0.23) signaling growth comfort.
💹 Optimal Buy Price: ₹397–400 if sustained above VWAP with strong volume.
🎯 Profit Exit Levels: ₹410 (near resistance) and ₹420–445 (upper breakout zone).
🛑 Stop-Loss: ₹388 (below intraday support).
⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider booking profits near ₹410–445 if RSI approaches 60 or momentum slows. Exit if price breaks below ₹388 with rising sell volume.
Positive
- Strong ROE (29.2%) and ROCE (39.2%) highlight efficiency.
- Dividend yield of 2.63% provides investor stability.
- Zero debt-to-equity ensures financial strength.
- FII holding increased (+2.60%), showing strong foreign confidence.
- EPS of ₹31.7 supports valuation comfort.
Limitation
- Quarterly profit variation (-17.4%) raises earnings concerns.
- DII holding decreased (-1.60%), showing weaker domestic sentiment.
- Price nearing 52-week high (₹445), creating resistance.
Company Negative News
- Profit variation highlights earnings volatility.
- DII stake reduction signals cautious domestic outlook.
Company Positive News
- FII stake increased significantly (+2.60%), boosting sentiment.
- PAT growth from ₹1,601 Cr to ₹1,718 Cr supports earnings resilience.
Industry
- Industry P/E at 20.1 is higher than NATIONALUM’s 12.6, suggesting undervaluation.
- Metals and mining sector remains cyclical but supported by global demand recovery.
Conclusion
⚖️ NATIONALUM offers strong intraday trading potential with undervaluation, robust fundamentals, and bullish technicals. Suitable for trades above ₹397 with profit targets near ₹410–445 and strict stop-loss at ₹388. Traders should remain cautious of profit variation and resistance near 52-week highs.