NATIONALUM - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals
Back to ListIntraDay Trade Rating: 4.1
| Stock Code | NATIONALUM | Market Cap | 71,142 Cr. | Current Price | 387 ₹ | High / Low | 432 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 11.5 | Book Value | 109 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.71 % | ROCE | 43.7 % |
| ROE | 32.6 % | Face Value | 5.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 359 ₹ | DMA 200 | 282 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 3.45 % | Chg in DII Hold | -3.10 % | PAT Qtr | 1,601 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,433 Cr. |
| RSI | 55.1 | MACD | 9.64 | Volume | 1,13,93,247 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 2,03,33,419 |
| Low price | 138 ₹ | High price | 432 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.53 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 85.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | 1.14 % | EPS | 33.6 ₹ | Industry PE | 17.0 |
📊 Analysis: NATIONALUM is trading at ₹387, above both its 50 DMA (₹359) and 200 DMA (₹282), reflecting strong bullish sentiment. RSI at 55.1 indicates healthy momentum, while MACD (9.64) confirms positive bias. Intraday volume (1.13 crore) is lower than the 1-week average (2.03 crore), suggesting reduced participation today. Fundamentals are robust with ROE 32.6%, ROCE 43.7%, and zero debt. Valuation looks attractive with P/E 11.5 vs industry 17.0, supported by EPS ₹33.6 and dividend yield 2.71%. PAT improved slightly from ₹1,433 Cr. to ₹1,601 Cr., showing stability.
💰 Optimal Buy Price: Intraday entry may be considered near ₹384–387 if momentum sustains.
🎯 Exit Levels:
- Profit-taking: ₹392 – ₹398 (near-term resistance)
- Stop-loss: ₹380 (below intraday support)
⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit should be considered if price fails to hold above ₹384 or if RSI weakens below 50 intraday. Watch for volume spikes near ₹392–398 to book profits.
Positive
- Strong ROCE (43.7%) and ROE (32.6%) indicate excellent efficiency.
- Zero debt-to-equity ensures financial stability.
- Dividend yield at 2.71% provides attractive investor returns.
- FII holding increased (+3.45%), showing strong foreign investor confidence.
Limitation
- Intraday volume lower than average, reducing short-term strength.
- DII holding decreased (-3.10%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.
Company Negative News
- Quarterly profit variation (+1.14%) is modest despite PAT growth.
Company Positive News
- PAT improved from ₹1,433 Cr. to ₹1,601 Cr.
- EPS of ₹33.6 supports valuation strength.
- 52-week index return of 85% reflects strong investor confidence.
Industry
- Industry PE at 17.0 is higher, making NATIONALUM relatively undervalued compared to peers.
- Metals and mining sector benefits from global commodity demand but remains cyclical.
Conclusion
✅ NATIONALUM shows strong bullish momentum with price above key moving averages, positive MACD, and healthy RSI. Intraday traders may consider entries near ₹384–387 with profit targets around ₹392–398. A tight stop-loss at ₹380 is recommended. Conservative traders may wait for confirmation above ₹398 before fresh entries.
Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay comparing NATIONALUM with Hindalco, Vedanta, and BALCO to highlight relative intraday strength and sector rotation opportunities within the aluminium and metals sector?