MUTHOOTFIN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | MUTHOOTFIN | Market Cap | 1,45,122 Cr. | Current Price | 3,625 ₹ | High / Low | 4,150 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 20.0 | Book Value | 793 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.72 % | ROCE | 13.4 % |
| ROE | 19.7 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 3,741 ₹ | DMA 200 | 3,141 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.17 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.24 % | PAT Qtr | 2,345 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 2,046 Cr. |
| RSI | 41.4 | MACD | -35.3 | Volume | 12,55,895 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 10,38,917 |
| Low price | 1,964 ₹ | High price | 4,150 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 2.09 | Debt to equity | 3.52 |
| 52w Index | 76.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | 87.4 % | EPS | 181 ₹ | Industry PE | 19.4 |
📊 MUTHOOTFIN shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is currently at 3,625 ₹, trading below its 50 DMA (3,741 ₹) but above its 200 DMA (3,141 ₹), indicating short-term weakness but long-term support. RSI at 41.4 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while MACD at -35.3 reflects bearish momentum. Fundamentals are decent with ROE at 19.7% and EPS at 181 ₹, but high debt-to-equity (3.52) and weak ROCE (13.4%) limit attractiveness.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: 3,550–3,600 ₹ (near support zone)
🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider profit booking around 3,950–4,100 ₹ (resistance zone), or exit if price falls below 3,500 ₹ with strong volume.
Positive
- 💡 EPS of 181 ₹ reflects strong earnings power.
- 📈 P/E of 20.0 is aligned with industry average (19.4), suggesting fair valuation.
- 📊 Quarterly PAT improved (2,046 Cr. → 2,345 Cr.).
- 💰 Dividend yield of 0.72% adds investor confidence.
Limitation
- ⚠️ Debt-to-equity ratio of 3.52 is high, increasing financial risk.
- 📉 ROCE at 13.4% is relatively weak compared to peers.
- 🔻 Trading below 50 DMA, showing short-term weakness.
- 📉 RSI at 41.4 indicates bearish sentiment.
Company Negative News
- 📉 DII holding decreased by -0.24%.
- 📉 MACD at -35.3 signals bearish momentum.
Company Positive News
- 📊 Quarterly PAT growth of 87.4% shows strong earnings recovery.
- 📈 FII holding increased by 0.17%, reflecting foreign investor confidence.
- 📦 Stock trading above 200 DMA, showing long-term support.
Industry
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 19.4 indicates sector is fairly valued.
- 📦 NBFC sector benefits from rising credit demand and gold-backed lending growth.
Conclusion
⚖️ MUTHOOTFIN is fundamentally stable with strong earnings but faces high debt and weak short-term momentum. Entry near 3,550–3,600 ₹ offers a cautious swing setup, with exit targets around 3,950–4,100 ₹. Risk management is essential if price breaks below 3,500 ₹.