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MUTHOOTFIN - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.9

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 07:10 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.9

Stock Code MUTHOOTFIN Market Cap 1,38,019 Cr. Current Price 3,439 ₹ High / Low 4,150 ₹
Stock P/E 16.1 Book Value 859 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.76 % ROCE 13.4 %
ROE 19.7 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 3,528 ₹ DMA 200 3,228 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.17 % Chg in DII Hold -0.24 % PAT Qtr 2,656 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 2,345 Cr.
RSI 49.3 MACD -79.5 Volume 10,44,116 Avg Vol 1Wk 12,74,435
Low price 1,964 ₹ High price 4,150 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.69 Debt to equity 3.69
52w Index 67.5 % Qtr Profit Var 94.9 % EPS 213 ₹ Industry PE 17.2

📊 Financials

  • Revenue & Profitability: PAT rose from ₹2,345 Cr. to ₹2,656 Cr. (+94.9%), showing strong growth momentum. EPS at ₹213 is robust.
  • Margins & Returns: ROCE (13.4%) and ROE (19.7%) are decent, though not exceptional compared to peers in financial services.
  • Debt: Debt-to-equity ratio of 3.69 indicates heavy reliance on borrowings, typical for NBFCs but adds risk.
  • Cash Flow: Strong profitability supports liquidity, but high leverage requires careful monitoring.

💹 Valuation

  • P/E Ratio: 16.1 vs Industry PE of 17.2 → Fairly valued compared to peers.
  • P/B Ratio: ~4.0 (Price ₹3,439 / Book Value ₹859) → Reasonable for financial services.
  • PEG Ratio: 1.69 → Growth moderately justifies valuation.
  • Intrinsic Value: Current price appears close to fair value, offering balanced risk-reward.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Muthoot Finance is India’s largest gold loan NBFC, leveraging trust, brand strength, and extensive branch network.
  • Competitive advantage lies in scale, customer loyalty, and niche focus on secured lending.
  • Dividend yield of 0.76% is modest, reflecting reinvestment focus.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive near ₹3,100–3,250 range (closer to DMA 200 at ₹3,228).
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable for investors seeking exposure to gold-backed lending. Accumulation at lower levels is recommended due to high leverage risks.


✅ Positive

  • Strong PAT growth (+94.9%) shows earnings momentum.
  • ROE near 20% indicates decent shareholder returns.
  • FII holdings increased (+0.17%), showing foreign investor confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High debt-to-equity ratio (3.69) increases financial risk.
  • Dividend yield is relatively low (0.76%).
  • ROCE at 13.4% is modest compared to other financial peers.

📉 Company Negative News

  • DII holdings reduced (-0.24%), showing cautious domestic sentiment.
  • MACD at -79.5 indicates bearish technical momentum.

📈 Company Positive News

  • PAT rose significantly QoQ, reflecting strong operational performance.
  • FII holdings increased, signaling global investor confidence.
  • EPS at ₹213 highlights strong profitability.

🏭 Industry

  • NBFC sector is cyclical, tied to interest rates, liquidity, and gold price movements.
  • Industry PE at 17.2 suggests valuations are moderate compared to broader financial services.

🔎 Conclusion

  • Muthoot Finance is fundamentally strong with robust earnings, brand strength, and niche dominance in gold loans.
  • However, high leverage and modest ROCE limit upside potential.
  • Best strategy: Accumulate near ₹3,100–3,250 range for long-term holding, while avoiding aggressive buying at current levels.

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