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MUTHOOTFIN - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:17 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.8

Stock Code MUTHOOTFIN Market Cap 1,40,301 Cr. Current Price 3,493 ₹ High / Low 4,150 ₹
Stock P/E 19.3 Book Value 793 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.74 % ROCE 13.4 %
ROE 19.7 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 3,755 ₹ DMA 200 3,133 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.17 % Chg in DII Hold -0.24 % PAT Qtr 2,345 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 2,046 Cr.
RSI 33.9 MACD 1.51 Volume 14,50,056 Avg Vol 1Wk 8,69,779
Low price 1,964 ₹ High price 4,150 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.02 Debt to equity 3.52
52w Index 70.0 % Qtr Profit Var 87.4 % EPS 181 ₹ Industry PE 18.9

📊 Core Financials

  • Revenue & Profitability: Quarterly PAT rose from 2,046 Cr. to 2,345 Cr. (+87.4%), showing strong earnings momentum. EPS at 181 ₹ reflects solid profitability.
  • Margins: ROE at 19.7% and ROCE at 13.4% are decent, though not industry-leading.
  • Debt: Debt-to-equity ratio of 3.52 is high, reflecting reliance on borrowings typical of NBFCs.
  • Cash Flow: Dividend yield of 0.74% is modest, suggesting reinvestment focus rather than strong shareholder payouts.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 19.3 vs Industry PE of 18.9 → Fairly valued, slightly above peers.
  • P/B Ratio: Current Price (3,493 ₹) / Book Value (793 ₹) ≈ 4.4 → Premium valuation.
  • PEG Ratio: 2.02 → Indicates moderate overvaluation relative to growth.
  • Intrinsic Value: Current price is slightly above fair value zone, limiting near-term upside.

🏭 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Muthoot Finance is India’s largest gold loan NBFC, leveraging strong brand trust and extensive branch network.
  • Business model is resilient, backed by collateralized lending (gold loans), reducing credit risk.
  • High debt levels are structural to the NBFC model but supported by strong asset quality.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive accumulation range between 3,000 ₹ – 3,200 ₹, closer to DMA 200 support levels.
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable for investors seeking exposure to gold-backed lending. Strong fundamentals, but high leverage and cyclical risks warrant staggered buying.

✅ Positive

  • Strong quarterly PAT growth (+87.4%).
  • EPS of 181 ₹ highlights robust earnings capacity.
  • ROE of 19.7% reflects decent efficiency.
  • FII holding increased by 0.17%, showing foreign investor confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High debt-to-equity ratio (3.52) increases financial risk.
  • P/B ratio of 4.4 indicates premium valuation.
  • Dividend yield of 0.74% is modest, limiting passive income appeal.

📉 Company Negative News

  • DII holding decreased by 0.24%, showing reduced domestic institutional support.
  • High leverage remains a structural concern for NBFCs.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT rose significantly from 2,046 Cr. to 2,345 Cr.
  • FII inflows (+0.17%) highlight foreign investor interest.
  • Strong brand positioning in gold loan segment supports growth.

🌐 Industry

  • NBFC sector is cyclical, influenced by interest rates and gold price movements.
  • Industry PE at 18.9 suggests Muthoot is trading at a slight premium.

🔎 Conclusion

Muthoot Finance demonstrates strong fundamentals with robust earnings growth and a dominant position in gold-backed lending. However, high leverage and premium valuations limit near-term upside. Investors may consider entering around 3,000–3,200 ₹ for long-term holding, while avoiding aggressive buying at current levels. The company remains fundamentally healthy and strategically well-placed in the NBFC sector.

I can also outline technical support and resistance zones using RSI, MACD, and DMA data to complement this fundamental analysis if you'd like.

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