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MOTILALOFS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 04 Feb 26, 02:09 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

Stock Code MOTILALOFS Market Cap 47,584 Cr. Current Price 792 ₹ High / Low 1,097 ₹
Stock P/E 49.4 Book Value 134 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.76 % ROCE 17.8 %
ROE 21.4 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 839 ₹ DMA 200 858 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.59 % Chg in DII Hold 0.58 % PAT Qtr 245 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 194 Cr.
RSI 48.0 MACD -29.2 Volume 17,39,253 Avg Vol 1Wk 31,67,990
Low price 488 ₹ High price 1,097 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.95 Debt to equity 1.16
52w Index 49.9 % Qtr Profit Var -15.3 % EPS 16.0 ₹ Industry PE 19.9

📊 MOTILALOFS shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is currently trading at 792 ₹, below both its 50 DMA (839 ₹) and 200 DMA (858 ₹), indicating short-term weakness. RSI at 48.0 suggests neutral momentum, while MACD at -29.2 reflects bearish undertone. Fundamentals are decent with ROE at 21.4% and ROCE at 17.8%, but valuations are stretched (P/E 49.4 vs industry 19.9). Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.16 adds financial risk.

✅ Optimal Entry Price: 770–785 ₹ (near support zone)

🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider profit booking around 850–870 ₹ (near DMA resistance), or exit if price falls below 760 ₹ with volume confirmation.

Positive

  • 💡 Strong ROE (21.4%) and ROCE (17.8%) support profitability.
  • 📈 EPS of 16.0 ₹ shows earnings strength.
  • 📊 PEG ratio of 1.95 indicates reasonable growth-adjusted valuation compared to peers.
  • 💰 Dividend yield of 0.76% adds investor confidence.

Limitation

  • ⚠️ High P/E (49.4) compared to industry average (19.9).
  • 📉 Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing weak momentum.
  • 🔻 Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.16 is relatively high.
  • 📉 Volume lower than weekly average, indicating reduced participation.

Company Negative News

  • 📉 Quarterly profit variation at -15.3% shows earnings volatility.
  • 🚫 FII holding decreased by -0.59%.

Company Positive News

  • 📊 PAT improved sequentially (194 Cr. → 245 Cr.).
  • 📦 DII holding increased by 0.58%, showing domestic confidence.

Industry

  • 🏭 Industry P/E at 19.9 indicates sector is moderately valued.
  • 📦 Financial services sector benefits from rising retail participation and cyclical growth.

Conclusion

⚖️ MOTILALOFS is fundamentally sound but currently trading below key moving averages, reflecting short-term weakness. Entry near 770–785 ₹ offers a cautious swing setup, with exit targets around 850–870 ₹. Risk management is essential due to high debt and stretched valuations.

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