MOTILALOFS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.1

📈 Swing Trade Analysis: MOTILALOFS (Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd.)

MOTILALOFS presents a strong swing trade setup with improving fundamentals and bullish technical indicators, though valuation and leverage warrant some caution.

✅ Strengths

Technical Momentum

MACD (4.35): Bullish crossover, signaling upward momentum.

RSI (53.2): Neutral zone, with room for upside.

Price above 50 DMA (₹901) and 200 DMA (₹809): Confirms bullish trend.

52w Index (75.5%): Strong recovery from lows.

Fundamentals

ROE (21.4%) and ROCE (17.8%): Solid profitability.

EPS (₹23.4) and P/E (39.4): Premium valuation, but supported by earnings.

PAT Qtr (₹532 Cr.) vs Prev Qtr (-₹8.15 Cr.): Major turnaround.

FII Holding Increase (+1.28%): Strong foreign investor interest.

⚠️ Risks

High P/E (39.4) vs Industry PE (15.9): Overvalued.

PEG Ratio (1.56): Fair but not cheap.

Debt-to-Equity (1.23): Elevated leverage.

DII Holding Decline (-0.27%): Slight domestic pullback.

Volume below average: May limit short-term momentum.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹900–₹910

A pullback near the 50 DMA offers a better risk-reward setup.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit Price: ₹1,020–₹1,050

Near recent highs and resistance zone.

Stop Loss: ₹880

Below 50 DMA and support zone.

Time Horizon: 1–2 weeks, depending on volume and RSI behavior.

This setup suits momentum-driven traders who are comfortable with premium valuations and can manage moderate volatility. Let me know if you'd like help tracking this trade or exploring similar setups.

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