MOTILALOFS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s the structured swing trade analysis for MOTILALOFS based on the given parameters
📊 Swing Trade Rating: 2.8
| Stock Code | MOTILALOFS | Market Cap | 57,056 Cr. | Current Price | 948 ₹ | High / Low | 1,097 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 61.8 | Book Value | 132 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.63 % | ROCE | 10.5 % |
| ROE | 12.2 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 843 ₹ | DMA 200 | 825 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.10 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.40 % | PAT Qtr | -48.9 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 245 Cr. |
| RSI | 66.4 | MACD | 26.4 | Volume | 10,20,037 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 18,69,896 |
| Low price | 615 ₹ | High price | 1,097 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 3.54 | Debt to equity | 1.73 |
| 52w Index | 69.1 % | Qtr Profit Var | -500 % | EPS | 15.3 ₹ | Industry PE | 21.4 |
MOTILALOFS shows weak swing trade potential at present. The current price of 948 ₹ is above both its 50 DMA (843 ₹) and 200 DMA (825 ₹), suggesting strong recent momentum. RSI at 66.4 indicates overbought conditions, while MACD at 26.4 shows short-term bullish crossover. However, fundamentals are concerning: quarterly PAT dropped sharply (-48.9 Cr. vs 245 Cr.), debt-to-equity is high (1.73), and valuation is stretched (P/E 61.8 vs industry 21.4). These factors limit upside potential despite recent price recovery.
Optimal Entry Price: 880–900 ₹, closer to DMA support.
Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider booking profits around 1,020–1,050 ₹. If momentum sustains, monitor for breakout toward 1,097 ₹ resistance.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Strong EPS of 15.3 ₹ compared to peers.
- 💰 Dividend yield of 0.63% provides shareholder returns.
- 📊 ROE (12.2%) and ROCE (10.5%) remain positive despite weak quarter.
- 📈 RSI and MACD indicate short-term bullish signals.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 High P/E (61.8) compared to industry average (21.4).
- 📊 PEG ratio of 3.54 suggests limited growth relative to valuation.
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.73 indicates leverage risk.
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly PAT collapsed (-48.9 Cr. vs 245 Cr.), showing severe volatility.
- ⚠️ DII holding declined (-0.40%), reflecting reduced domestic confidence.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 FII holding increased slightly (+0.10%), showing foreign investor interest.
- 💹 Strong trading volume ensures liquidity for swing trades.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry P/E at 21.4 is much lower, highlighting MOTILALOFS’s premium valuation.
- 💼 Financial services sector remains cyclical, offering opportunities during market upturns.
📌 Conclusion
MOTILALOFS is a weak candidate for swing trading due to sharp profit decline, high leverage, and stretched valuation. Entry near 880–900 ₹ offers limited risk-reward. Exit should be considered around 1,020–1,050 ₹ unless momentum sustains toward 1,097 ₹. Traders should remain cautious and monitor quarterly performance closely.
Would you like me to benchmark MOTILALOFS against peers like 360ONE, JM_Financial, or HDFC_Securities to highlight relative swing trade opportunities?