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MOTILALOFS - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 2.9

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 2.9

Stock Code MOTILALOFS Market Cap 41,575 Cr. Current Price 692 ₹ High / Low 1,097 ₹
Stock P/E 43.2 Book Value 134 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.87 % ROCE 17.8 %
ROE 21.4 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 763 ₹ DMA 200 827 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.59 % Chg in DII Hold 0.58 % PAT Qtr 245 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 194 Cr.
RSI 41.2 MACD -25.6 Volume 10,05,001 Avg Vol 1Wk 10,69,343
Low price 488 ₹ High price 1,097 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.70 Debt to equity 1.16
52w Index 33.5 % Qtr Profit Var -15.3 % EPS 16.0 ₹ Industry PE 17.2

📉 Chart & Trend: MOTILALOFS is trading at ₹692, below both 50 DMA (₹763) and 200 DMA (₹827), confirming a bearish setup. RSI at 41.2 shows weak momentum but not yet oversold. MACD at -25.6 signals strong negative momentum. Bollinger Bands indicate price drifting near the lower band, suggesting continued weakness with limited rebound potential.

📊 Volume: Current volume (10.05 L) is slightly below the 1-week average (10.69 L), showing reduced participation and lack of strong buying interest.

📈 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum remains negative. Support levels are seen at ₹670–₹680 and strong support at ₹488. Resistance lies at ₹763 (50 DMA) and ₹827 (200 DMA).

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹670–₹680 (risk-managed entry zone).

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹760–₹770 (near 50 DMA resistance).

🔎 Trend Status: Bearish consolidation. The stock is reversing from highs and struggling to regain momentum. Sustained recovery requires price stability above ₹827.


Positive

  • Strong ROE (21.4%) and ROCE (17.8%) indicate efficient capital use.
  • EPS at ₹16.0 shows consistent earnings power.
  • PEG ratio of 1.70 suggests growth is reasonably priced compared to peers.

Limitation

  • High P/E (43.2) compared to industry average (17.2) indicates overvaluation.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.16 shows higher leverage risk.
  • Price trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA reflects technical weakness.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly profit variation at -15.3% shows earnings decline.
  • FII holding reduced by -0.59%, reflecting weaker foreign investor sentiment.

Company Positive News

  • DII holding increased by 0.58%, showing domestic institutional support.
  • PAT improved to ₹245 Cr from ₹194 Cr sequentially, indicating operational strength despite YoY decline.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 17.2 highlights sector valuations are much lower than the company’s, suggesting relative overvaluation.
  • Financial services sector is cyclical, sensitive to market sentiment and liquidity flows.

Conclusion

⚠️ MOTILALOFS is in a bearish consolidation phase, trading below key moving averages with weak RSI and negative MACD. While fundamentals show decent efficiency and EPS strength, high leverage and stretched valuations limit upside. Short-term traders may consider entries near ₹670–₹680 with exits around ₹760–₹770, but long-term investors should wait for valuation correction and stability above ₹827 before fresh accumulation.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay against other financial services stocks? That would highlight whether MOTILALOFS is relatively stronger or weaker compared to sector leaders.

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