MOTILALOFS - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.2

📊 Analysis: Motilal Oswal Financial Services is trading at ₹860, below DMA 50 (₹924) and DMA 200 (₹873), indicating short-term weakness. RSI at 41.8 shows neutral-to-weak momentum, while MACD negative (-34.3) confirms bearish undertone. Volume (23.3L) is significantly higher than 1-week average (11.0L), suggesting strong intraday participation. Fundamentals are mixed — ROCE 17.8% and ROE 21.4% are healthy, but P/E 51.3 vs industry 20.7 signals overvaluation. PAT dropped sharply (₹194 Cr. vs ₹532 Cr.), weighing on sentiment. Intraday trades may be possible with cautious positioning near support.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹855–₹865 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: ₹880 (first target), ₹895 (second target).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹845 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit near ₹880–₹895 if momentum slows or RSI approaches 50+. Cut position below ₹845 with rising volume, as weakness may extend further.

Positive

• 📈 ROCE 17.8% and ROE 21.4% show strong efficiency
• 💹 Volume higher than average, supporting intraday participation
• 📊 FII holding increased (+0.23%), showing foreign investor confidence
• 📊 DII holding increased (+0.40%), showing domestic support

Limitation

• 📉 P/E 51.3 much higher than industry average (20.7)
• 📊 Quarterly PAT dropped from ₹532 Cr. to ₹194 Cr. (-67.2%)
• 📉 Price below DMA 50 & DMA 200, confirming bearish trend
• 📊 Debt-to-equity 1.16 indicates moderate leverage risk

Company Negative News

• ⚠️ Sharp quarterly profit decline (-67.2%) impacting sentiment
• ⚠️ High valuation compared to industry peers

Company Positive News

• ✅ FII holding increased (+0.23%), showing foreign confidence
• ✅ DII holding increased (+0.40%), showing domestic institutional support

Industry

• 🏦 Industry PE at 20.7, Motilal Oswal at 51.3 — highly overvalued
• 📊 Financial services sector remains cyclical, sensitive to market performance

Conclusion

🔎 Motilal Oswal Financial Services is a moderate intraday candidate with strong fundamentals but weak technicals and stretched valuations. Buy zone is ₹855–₹865 with targets at ₹880 and ₹895. Maintain strict stop-loss at ₹845. If already holding, exit near targets or cut losses below support with volume confirmation.

Would you like me to extend this into a **peer benchmarking overlay with other financial service firms like Edelweiss, IIFL, and