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MARICO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.9

Last Updated Time : 19 Jun 26, 11:28 am

Here’s the structured swing trade analysis for Marico Ltd (MARICO) based on the provided parameters

Swing Trade Rating: 3.9

Stock Code MARICO Market Cap 1,06,485 Cr. Current Price 821 ₹ High / Low 849 ₹
Stock P/E 54.9 Book Value 44.7 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.49 % ROCE 41.5 %
ROE 36.7 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 804 ₹ DMA 200 761 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.06 % Chg in DII Hold -0.06 % PAT Qtr 336 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 441 Cr.
RSI 54.4 MACD 0.98 Volume 35,70,669 Avg Vol 1Wk 21,73,951
Low price 687 ₹ High price 849 ₹ PEG Ratio 3.03 Debt to equity 0.03
52w Index 82.6 % Qtr Profit Var 3.38 % EPS 15.0 ₹ Industry PE 20.4

📊 Marico is trading at ₹821, above both 50 DMA (₹804) and 200 DMA (₹761), reflecting bullish momentum. RSI at 54.4 indicates neutral strength, while MACD (0.98) confirms mild bullish bias. Volumes (35.7L) are higher than weekly averages (21.7L), showing strong participation. Valuations remain expensive (P/E 54.9 vs industry 20.4), supported by strong ROCE (41.5%) and ROE (36.7%). However, quarterly PAT declined (₹441 Cr → ₹336 Cr), raising caution. Debt-to-equity is very low at 0.03, ensuring financial stability.

💡 Optimal Entry: ₹800–₹810 (near 50 DMA support zone)

🚪 Exit if Holding: Profit-taking zone around ₹845–₹850; Stop-loss below ₹780

✅ Positive

  • Trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA
  • Strong ROCE (41.5%) and ROE (36.7%)
  • Debt-free structure (Debt-to-equity 0.03)
  • Healthy trading volumes above weekly average
  • Dividend yield at 0.49% adds investor appeal

⚠️ Limitation

  • High valuation (P/E 54.9 vs industry 20.4)
  • Quarterly PAT decline (₹441 Cr → ₹336 Cr)
  • PEG ratio at 3.03 suggests expensive growth valuation
  • DII holdings decreased (-0.06%)

📉 Company Negative News

  • Sequential PAT decline highlights earnings pressure
  • Domestic institutional selling (-0.06%)

📈 Company Positive News

  • EPS of ₹15.0 supports earnings visibility
  • FII holdings increased slightly (+0.06%)

🏭 Industry

  • FMCG sector average P/E at 20.4, Marico trades at a premium
  • Sector outlook remains stable, supported by steady demand for consumer staples

🔎 Conclusion

Marico offers a cautious swing trade opportunity. While fundamentals are strong and technicals show bullishness, high valuation and declining quarterly profits limit upside. Best entry lies near ₹800–₹810, with profit booking around ₹845–₹850 and a stop-loss at ₹780.

Would you like me to also compare Marico with FMCG peers such as HUL, Dabur, or Godrej Consumer to identify stronger swing trade setups?

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