MARICO - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.9

📊 Analysis: Marico is trading at ₹738, close to its 52-week high (₹766), showing strong momentum. Price is above DMA 50 (₹727) and DMA 200 (₹705), confirming bullish undertone. RSI at 59.4 indicates healthy strength without being overbought, while MACD positive (2.94) supports upward momentum. Volume (10.9L) is below 1-week average (14.3L), suggesting moderate intraday participation. Fundamentals are strong with ROCE 42.8% and ROE 36.5%, though high P/E (51 vs industry 26.3) and quarterly PAT decline (-24.6%) are cautionary factors.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹735–₹740 (near breakout zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: ₹750 (first target), ₹765 (second target — near 52-week high).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹725 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit near ₹750–₹765 if momentum slows or RSI approaches 65+. Cut position below ₹725 with rising volume, as reversal risk increases near resistance.

Positive

• 📈 ROCE 42.8% and ROE 36.5% show excellent efficiency
• 💹 Price above DMA 50 & DMA 200, confirming bullish trend
• 📊 FII holding increased (+0.59%), showing foreign investor confidence
• 📉 Low debt-to-equity (0.04) ensures financial stability
• 📊 Dividend yield 1.43% adds investor confidence

Limitation

• 📉 P/E 51.0 much higher than industry average (26.3)
• 📊 Quarterly PAT dropped from ₹777 Cr. to ₹399 Cr. (-24.6%)
• 📉 DII holding decreased (-0.73%), showing reduced domestic support
• 📊 PEG ratio 5.40 indicates overvaluation relative to growth

Company Negative News

• ⚠️ Profit decline (-24.6%) impacting sentiment
• ⚠️ DII outflow reduces domestic institutional support

Company Positive News

• ✅ FII holding increased (+0.59%), showing foreign investor confidence
• ✅ Strong ROCE & ROE highlight operational efficiency

Industry

• 🏭 Industry PE at 26.3, Marico at 51.0 — relatively overvalued
• 📊 FMCG sector remains defensive and supported by steady demand

Conclusion

🔎 Marico is a moderate-to-strong intraday candidate with bullish technicals and strong fundamentals, though valuations are stretched and profits have declined. Buy zone is ₹735–₹740 with targets at ₹750 and ₹765. Maintain stop-loss at ₹725. If already holding, exit near targets or on weakness below support with volume confirmation.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with other FMCG majors like HUL, Dabur, Nestle or a sector rotation basket scan to validate intraday opportunities?