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MARICO - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.9

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.9

Stock Code MARICO Market Cap 98,107 Cr. Current Price 756 ₹ High / Low 814 ₹
Stock P/E 50.6 Book Value 39.0 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.39 % ROCE 42.8 %
ROE 36.5 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 763 ₹ DMA 200 731 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.19 % Chg in DII Hold 0.35 % PAT Qtr 441 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 395 Cr.
RSI 43.9 MACD -2.87 Volume 17,35,709 Avg Vol 1Wk 23,28,665
Low price 615 ₹ High price 814 ₹ PEG Ratio 5.36 Debt to equity 0.04
52w Index 71.1 % Qtr Profit Var 19.5 % EPS 14.9 ₹ Industry PE 22.0

📊 Chart & Trend: Marico trades at ₹756, below its 50 DMA (₹763) but above its 200 DMA (₹731). This indicates short-term weakness but medium-term support, suggesting consolidation with a mild bullish undertone.

📉 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 43.9 shows neutral momentum, leaning slightly bearish. MACD at -2.87 confirms mild downward pressure. Bollinger Bands suggest price is near the lower band, with support around ₹740–₹750 and resistance near ₹770–₹780.

📈 Volume Trends: Current volume (17.3 lakh) is lower than the 1-week average (23.2 lakh), reflecting reduced participation and lack of strong buying conviction.

🔑 Entry Zone: ₹740–₹750 (near support and oversold levels).

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹770–₹780 (near resistance and 50 DMA).

📌 Trend Status: The stock is in consolidation with neutral bias, awaiting a breakout above ₹780 or breakdown below ₹740.


Positive

  • Quarterly PAT improved (₹395 Cr → ₹441 Cr).
  • EPS at ₹14.9 indicates steady earnings power.
  • ROCE (42.8%) and ROE (36.5%) show excellent efficiency.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.35%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Dividend yield at 1.39% provides income stability.

Limitation

  • Stock P/E at 50.6 is much higher than industry PE of 22.0.
  • PEG ratio at 5.36 suggests expensive valuation relative to growth.
  • Dividend yield is modest compared to valuation levels.
  • 52-week index at 71.1% shows strong past performance but limited upside potential.

Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-0.19%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Stock trading below 50 DMA, signaling short-term weakness.

Company Positive News

  • Sequential PAT growth highlights profitability momentum.
  • DII stake increased, supporting long-term confidence.

Industry

  • FMCG sector PE at 22.0, much lower than Marico’s valuation of 50.6.
  • Sector rotation favors defensive FMCG stocks, but valuations remain stretched for premium players.

Conclusion

⚖️ Marico is consolidating with neutral momentum, trading below its 50 DMA but above its 200 DMA. Entry near ₹740–₹750 offers margin of safety, while exits around ₹770–₹780 provide profit-taking opportunities. Despite strong profitability and efficiency ratios, high valuations and reduced FII support limit upside, though domestic institutional confidence and sector resilience provide long-term support.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with Hindustan Unilever, Dabur, and Nestlé India to highlight Marico’s relative valuation and technical strength within the FMCG sector?

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