KPIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 4.0
| Stock Code | KPIL | Market Cap | 19,253 Cr. | Current Price | 1,125 ₹ | High / Low | 1,336 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 23.4 | Book Value | 442 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.80 % | ROCE | 15.0 % |
| ROE | 10.3 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,160 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,175 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.24 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.20 % | PAT Qtr | 200 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 201 Cr. |
| RSI | 47.4 | MACD | -11.0 | Volume | 6,89,950 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,94,224 |
| Low price | 770 ₹ | High price | 1,336 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.74 | Debt to equity | 0.50 |
| 52w Index | 62.8 % | Qtr Profit Var | 51.1 % | EPS | 46.8 ₹ | Industry PE | 17.1 |
📊 KPIL presents a fair swing trading opportunity. The RSI at 47.4 indicates neutrality, while MACD at -11.0 reflects mild bearish momentum. The PEG ratio of 0.74 suggests reasonable valuation relative to growth. Current price (1,125 ₹) is slightly below both 50 DMA (1,160 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,175 ₹), showing short-term weakness but potential for a rebound. Fundamentals are moderate with ROCE (15.0%) and ROE (10.3%), while EPS (46.8 ₹) supports earnings strength.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: 1,100–1,120 ₹ (near support zone, offering margin of safety).
🚪 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider profit booking around 1,160–1,180 ₹ (near DMA resistance). Trail stop-loss near 1,080 ₹ to protect downside.
Positive
- 📈 EPS of 46.8 ₹ supports earnings strength.
- 💹 PEG ratio of 0.74 indicates fair valuation relative to growth.
- 💰 Dividend yield of 0.80% adds investor appeal.
- 📊 Quarterly profit variation (+51.1%) shows strong earnings momentum.
Limitation
- ⚠️ ROCE (15.0%) and ROE (10.3%) are moderate compared to peers.
- 📉 Current price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA reflects medium-term weakness.
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50 is higher than ideal, adding leverage risk.
- 📉 MACD negative (-11.0) confirms short-term bearish trend.
Company Negative News
- 📉 Decline in FII holding (-0.24%) signals reduced foreign investor confidence.
- 📉 Decline in DII holding (-0.20%) shows weaker domestic institutional support.
- ⚠️ PAT dropped slightly from 201 Cr. to 200 Cr., showing stagnation.
Company Positive News
- 📊 Quarterly profit growth (+51.1%) supports near-term optimism.
- 💹 Strong EPS performance enhances valuation strength.
Industry
- 🏭 Industry P/E at 17.1 is lower than KPIL’s 23.4, suggesting sector valuations are more modest.
- 📊 Sector momentum remains strong with 52-week index gain of 62.8%.
Conclusion
🔎 KPIL earns a swing trade rating of 4.0. Entry near 1,100–1,120 ₹ provides margin of safety, while exit around 1,160–1,180 ₹ aligns with resistance levels. Strong EPS and profit growth support the trade, but moderate efficiency ratios, debt levels, and weak technicals require cautious position sizing and disciplined stop-loss management.