KPIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

📈 Swing Trade Analysis: KPIL (Kalpataru Projects International Ltd.)

KPIL offers a promising swing trade setup with strong technical support and solid fundamentals, though some caution is warranted due to declining volume and mixed institutional sentiment.

✅ Strengths

Technical Momentum: Price ₹1,266 is above both 50-DMA (₹1,228) and 200-DMA (₹1,149), indicating a bullish trend.

MACD (16.4): Strongly positive — confirms upward momentum.

Valuation: P/E of 28.6 is slightly above industry average (20.6), but PEG ratio of 0.90 suggests reasonable growth-adjusted pricing.

Profitability: ROCE (15.0%) and ROE (10.3%) are solid — efficient capital deployment.

Earnings Growth: PAT of ₹201 Cr vs ₹265 Cr shows a slight sequential dip, but Qtr Profit Var of 72.1% indicates strong YoY growth.

Debt-to-Equity: Low at 0.48 — manageable leverage.

FII Sentiment: Increased holdings (+0.23%) — mildly bullish.

⚠️ Weaknesses

RSI (53.0): Neutral — no strong directional bias.

Volume: Significantly below weekly average — reduced short-term interest.

DII Sentiment: Declined (-0.21%) — mildly bearish.

52w Index (74.2%): Trading in upper range — limited upside before resistance near ₹1,439.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹1,230–₹1,245**

Near 50-DMA support; wait for RSI to rise above 55 and volume to pick up.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹1,375–₹1,420**

Near resistance zone; exit if RSI crosses 70 or MACD flattens.

Stop Loss: ₹1,190**

Below this level, trend support weakens.

⚖️ Verdict

KPIL is a strong swing trade candidate, ideal for traders looking to capitalize on short-term momentum backed by solid fundamentals. Entry near support and disciplined exit near resistance can yield favorable returns.

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