KPIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.7
| Stock Code | KPIL | Market Cap | 18,245 Cr. | Current Price | 1,068 ₹ | High / Low | 1,336 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 20.3 | Book Value | 442 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.84 % | ROCE | 15.0 % |
| ROE | 10.3 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,135 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,162 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.24 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.20 % | PAT Qtr | 233 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 200 Cr. |
| RSI | 40.5 | MACD | -17.8 | Volume | 2,74,348 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 3,95,328 |
| Low price | 770 ₹ | High price | 1,336 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.64 | Debt to equity | 0.50 |
| 52w Index | 52.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | 48.1 % | EPS | 50.0 ₹ | Industry PE | 15.5 |
📊 KPIL shows moderate potential for swing trading. The RSI at 40.5 indicates the stock is approaching oversold territory, while MACD (-17.8) reflects bearish momentum. The current price (1,068 ₹) is below both the 50 DMA (1,135 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,162 ₹), suggesting weakness. Fundamentals such as ROCE (15.0%), ROE (10.3%), and EPS (50 ₹) are decent, while valuation appears fair with a P/E (20.3) close to industry P/E (15.5). The PEG ratio of 0.64 suggests reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around 1,050–1,070 ₹ (near current support zone).
📈 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near 1,130–1,150 ₹ (close to 50 DMA resistance) unless momentum strengthens further.
Positive
- EPS of 50 ₹ provides strong earnings support.
- Quarterly PAT growth from 200 Cr. to 233 Cr. shows earnings improvement.
- PEG ratio of 0.64 indicates fair valuation relative to growth.
- Dividend yield of 0.84% adds modest income support.
Limitation
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA reflects bearish sentiment.
- ROCE (15.0%) and ROE (10.3%) are moderate compared to peers.
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50 is relatively high, adding financial risk.
- Volume (2.74 lakh) is lower than 1-week average (3.95 lakh), showing weak participation.
Company Negative News
- FII holding decreased (-0.24%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
- DII holding decreased (-0.20%), reflecting weaker domestic institutional support.
Company Positive News
- Quarterly profit variation of 48.1% highlights strong earnings momentum.
- Book value of 442 ₹ provides solid asset backing relative to price.
Industry
- Industry P/E (15.5) is slightly lower than company P/E (20.3), suggesting KPIL trades at a mild premium.
- Sector outlook remains steady, supported by infrastructure and power demand.
Conclusion
⚖️ KPIL is a fair candidate for swing trading with improving earnings but weak technicals. Entry near 1,050–1,070 ₹ offers potential upside, while a short-term rebound toward 1,130–1,150 ₹ is possible. Traders should maintain strict stop-losses around 1,020 ₹ to manage risk.