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KPIL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 04 Feb 26, 05:34 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5

Stock Code KPIL Market Cap 19,253 Cr. Current Price 1,125 ₹ High / Low 1,336 ₹
Stock P/E 23.4 Book Value 442 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.80 % ROCE 15.0 %
ROE 10.3 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,160 ₹ DMA 200 1,175 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.24 % Chg in DII Hold -0.20 % PAT Qtr 200 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 201 Cr.
RSI 47.4 MACD -11.0 Volume 6,89,950 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,94,224
Low price 770 ₹ High price 1,336 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.74 Debt to equity 0.50
52w Index 62.8 % Qtr Profit Var 51.1 % EPS 46.8 ₹ Industry PE 17.1

📊 Analysis: KPIL is trading at 1,125 ₹, slightly below its 50 DMA (1,160 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,175 ₹), indicating short-term weakness and medium-term resistance. RSI at 47.4 shows neutral momentum, while MACD at -11.0 signals bearish divergence. Current volume (6.9L) is significantly higher than average weekly volume (1.9L), suggesting strong intraday participation and volatility. The stock is trading closer to its lower range (770 ₹) than its high (1,336 ₹), showing cautious sentiment but potential for intraday moves.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: Around 1,120–1,125 ₹ if price sustains above 1,115 ₹ support.

🎯 Profit Exit Levels: 1,145 ₹ (first resistance), 1,165 ₹ (secondary resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: 1,110 ₹ (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider exiting near 1,145–1,155 ₹ if momentum weakens. If price breaks below 1,110 ₹ with strong volume, exit immediately to protect capital. Watch for RSI crossing above 50 and MACD flattening as signs of reversal strength.


Positive

  • Strong quarterly profit growth (+51.1%) shows earnings momentum.
  • PEG ratio of 0.74 suggests reasonable valuation relative to growth.
  • Book value of 442 ₹ provides margin of safety compared to current price.
  • Dividend yield of 0.80% offers modest shareholder returns.

Limitation

  • Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA shows bearish trend.
  • MACD negative (-11.0), confirming weak momentum.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50 is relatively high compared to peers.
  • ROCE (15%) and ROE (10.3%) are moderate, not industry-leading.

Company Negative News

  • Decline in FII holding (-0.24%) signals reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Decline in DII holding (-0.20%) shows weaker domestic institutional support.

Company Positive News

  • PAT stable at 200 Cr compared to 201 Cr, showing earnings consistency.
  • Strong EPS (46.8 ₹) supports valuation strength.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 17.1 is lower than KPIL’s 23.4, suggesting sector peers are cheaper.
  • 52-week index gain of 62.8% reflects strong sector performance.

Conclusion

⚖️ KPIL shows moderate intraday potential with strong volume but remains technically weak due to bearish MACD and trading below key moving averages. It may offer short-term opportunities if support at 1,115 ₹ holds, but trades should be cautious with tight stop-losses and quick exits near resistance levels.

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