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KPIL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 3.8

Stock Code KPIL Market Cap 19,922 Cr. Current Price 1,165 ₹ High / Low 1,336 ₹
Stock P/E 24.2 Book Value 442 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.77 % ROCE 15.0 %
ROE 10.3 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,163 ₹ DMA 200 1,176 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.24 % Chg in DII Hold -0.20 % PAT Qtr 200 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 201 Cr.
RSI 55.1 MACD -12.8 Volume 72,489 Avg Vol 1Wk 89,451
Low price 770 ₹ High price 1,336 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.76 Debt to equity 0.50
52w Index 69.9 % Qtr Profit Var 51.1 % EPS 46.8 ₹ Industry PE 16.9

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: The stock is trading at ₹1,165, almost aligned with its 50 DMA (₹1,163) and slightly below the 200 DMA (₹1,176). This indicates consolidation near key moving averages. Price action suggests sideways movement with potential breakout if momentum strengthens.

📈 Moving Averages: Current price is hovering around both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing indecision. Sustaining above ₹1,176 would confirm bullish reversal, while a drop below ₹1,150 could trigger weakness.

📉 RSI: At 55.1, RSI is neutral-to-positive, suggesting mild bullish momentum without being overbought.

📉 MACD: Negative at -12.8, showing weak bearish divergence. Trend remains cautious until MACD crosses upward.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the mid-band, indicating consolidation. A move toward the upper band (~₹1,200–₹1,220) would signal bullish strength.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (72,489) is slightly below average weekly volume (89,451), showing moderate participation and lack of strong breakout signals.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹1,150–₹1,165 (near support and moving average cluster).

🎯 Exit Zone: ₹1,200–₹1,230 (near resistance and upper Bollinger band).

📌 Trend Status: Consolidating with mild bullish bias. A breakout above ₹1,176–₹1,200 would confirm reversal toward an uptrend.


Positive

  • Strong EPS at ₹46.8 compared to peers.
  • PEG ratio of 0.76 suggests reasonable valuation relative to growth.
  • Dividend yield of 0.77% provides steady income.
  • Quarterly profit variation (+51.1%) indicates strong year-on-year growth.

Limitation

  • Stock P/E (24.2) is higher than industry PE (16.9), indicating premium valuation.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50 is relatively high compared to peers.
  • Price is struggling around key moving averages, showing indecision.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT declined slightly to ₹200 Cr from ₹201 Cr, showing stagnation.
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.24%), reflecting reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • DII holdings decreased (-0.20%), showing lower domestic institutional support.

Company Positive News

  • Strong quarterly profit growth (+51.1%) compared to prior year.
  • EPS remains robust at ₹46.8, supporting valuation strength.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 16.9 is lower than the stock’s P/E, suggesting sector trades at more reasonable valuations.
  • KPIL trades at a premium but shows strong earnings growth potential.

Conclusion

⚖️ KPIL is consolidating near key moving averages with neutral RSI and weak MACD. Entry near ₹1,150–₹1,165 offers favorable risk-reward, while exits around ₹1,200–₹1,230 align with resistance. Sustained buying and a move above ₹1,176–₹1,200 would confirm reversal toward bullish momentum, while failure to hold support could extend sideways consolidation.

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