KPIL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators
Back to ListTechnical Rating: 3.7
| Stock Code | KPIL | Market Cap | 18,105 Cr. | Current Price | 1,060 ₹ | High / Low | 1,336 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 20.2 | Book Value | 442 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.85 % | ROCE | 15.0 % |
| ROE | 10.3 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 1,138 ₹ | DMA 200 | 1,163 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.24 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.20 % | PAT Qtr | 233 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 200 Cr. |
| RSI | 40.7 | MACD | -15.6 | Volume | 5,50,864 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 3,60,388 |
| Low price | 770 ₹ | High price | 1,336 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.64 | Debt to equity | 0.50 |
| 52w Index | 51.3 % | Qtr Profit Var | 48.1 % | EPS | 50.0 ₹ | Industry PE | 15.2 |
📈 Chart & Trend: The stock is trading below both its 50 DMA (1,138 ₹) and 200 DMA (1,163 ₹), showing medium-term weakness. Current price (1,060 ₹) is closer to its 52-week low (770 ₹) than the high (1,336 ₹), reflecting bearish sentiment after a correction.
📊 Momentum Indicators: RSI at 40.7 indicates weak momentum, not oversold yet. MACD at -15.6 confirms bearish bias. Bollinger Bands suggest price leaning toward the lower band, consistent with consolidation under pressure.
🔎 Volume Trends: Current volume (5.5 lakh) is higher than the 1-week average (3.6 lakh), showing increased participation, possibly driven by selling pressure.
💡 Entry Zone: 1,030–1,060 ₹ (near support at 1,000–1,020 ₹, offering tactical entry)
💡 Exit Zone: 1,120–1,160 ₹ (resistance near 1,138–1,163 ₹, aligning with DMA levels)
📌 Trend Status: The stock is consolidating with bearish undertones, not yet reversing.
Positive
- ROCE (15%) and ROE (10.3%) show moderate capital efficiency.
- PEG ratio (0.64) suggests growth is reasonably valued relative to earnings.
- Quarterly PAT growth (200 Cr → 233 Cr) shows strong earnings momentum.
- Dividend yield of 0.85% provides income support.
Limitation
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA shows weak technical strength.
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50 is higher compared to peers, reducing financial flexibility.
- FII holding decreased (-0.24%) and DII holding decreased (-0.20%), showing reduced institutional confidence.
- P/E (20.2) is higher than industry P/E (15.2), making valuation slightly expensive.
Company Negative News
- Stock corrected from 1,336 ₹ to 1,060 ₹, eroding investor wealth.
- MACD negative and RSI below 50 confirm weak momentum.
Company Positive News
- Quarterly profit growth (+48.1%) highlights strong operational performance.
- EPS of 50 ₹ reflects solid profitability.
Industry
- Industry P/E (15.2) is lower than company P/E (20.2), suggesting sector peers trade at more reasonable valuations.
- 52-week industry index return of 51.3% shows strong sector momentum.
Conclusion
⚖️ KPIL is consolidating with bearish undertones, trading below key moving averages. Fundamentals like PAT growth and EPS are supportive, but debt levels and institutional outflows are concerns. Tactical strategy: accumulate near 1,030–1,060 ₹ with strict stop-loss below 1,000 ₹, and book profits around 1,120–1,160 ₹. Sustained recovery requires crossing 1,138–1,163 ₹ resistance zones.
Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay against other infrastructure and EPC companies? That would help clarify whether KPIL’s valuation premium is justified compared to sector peers.