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KALYANKJIL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.1

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 3.1

Stock Code KALYANKJIL Market Cap 38,105 Cr. Current Price 369 ₹ High / Low 618 ₹
Stock P/E 41.3 Book Value 51.1 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.41 % ROCE 15.7 %
ROE 15.5 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 457 ₹ DMA 200 502 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.01 % Chg in DII Hold 0.67 % PAT Qtr 262 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 256 Cr.
RSI 22.0 MACD -34.2 Volume 82,26,599 Avg Vol 1Wk 78,47,364
Low price 348 ₹ High price 618 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.86 Debt to equity 0.62
52w Index 7.92 % Qtr Profit Var 118 % EPS 8.94 ₹ Industry PE 24.3

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: The stock is trading at ₹369, well below its 50 DMA (₹457) and 200 DMA (₹502), reflecting strong bearish pressure. Price action is near the 52-week low of ₹348, suggesting oversold conditions and possible consolidation before reversal attempts.

📈 Moving Averages: Current price is significantly below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming downward momentum. A recovery above ₹457 would be the first bullish signal, while sustaining above ₹502 would confirm reversal.

📉 RSI: At 22.0, RSI is in deep oversold territory, indicating potential for a short-term rebound if buying interest emerges.

📉 MACD: Negative at -34.2, showing strong bearish momentum. Trend remains weak until MACD narrows toward zero.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, suggesting limited downside and potential mean reversion toward ₹400–₹420.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (82.2 Lakh) is slightly above average weekly volume (78.4 Lakh), indicating active participation and possible accumulation at lower levels.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹355–₹370 (near support and oversold RSI).

🎯 Exit Zone: ₹420–₹455 (near resistance and 50 DMA).

📌 Trend Status: Bearish with signs of consolidation. A reversal may occur if RSI rebounds and price sustains above ₹400–₹420.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (15.7%) and ROE (15.5%) highlight efficient capital use.
  • PEG ratio of 0.86 suggests reasonable valuation relative to growth.
  • Dividend yield of 0.41% provides steady income for investors.
  • Quarterly PAT improved to ₹262 Cr from ₹256 Cr, showing earnings growth.
  • Quarterly profit variation (+118%) indicates strong year-on-year performance.

Limitation

  • Stock P/E (41.3) is significantly higher than industry PE (24.3), indicating overvaluation.
  • Price trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA confirms weak momentum.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62 is relatively high compared to peers.

Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-0.01%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • High leverage compared to industry peers may limit flexibility.

Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+0.67%), reflecting strong domestic institutional support.
  • EPS at ₹8.94 remains healthy compared to peers in the sector.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 24.3 is much lower than the stock’s P/E, suggesting sector trades at more reasonable valuations.
  • KALYANKJIL trades at a premium but shows strong growth potential with improving profits.

Conclusion

⚖️ KALYANKJIL is currently in a bearish phase, trading below key moving averages with weak momentum indicators. However, oversold RSI and strong fundamentals provide potential for a short-term rebound. Entry near ₹355–₹370 offers favorable risk-reward, while exits around ₹420–₹455 align with resistance. Sustained buying and a move above ₹457–₹502 would confirm reversal toward bullish momentum.

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