JMFINANCIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.1

📊 Swing Trade Analysis: JMFINANCIL

JM Financial shows a promising setup for swing trading, supported by solid fundamentals and a stable technical base.

✅ Technical Indicators

Price vs DMA: Current price ₹176 is slightly above 50-DMA (₹173) and well above 200-DMA (₹141), indicating a sustained uptrend.

RSI (47.1): Neutral zone — suggests room for upward movement without being overbought.

MACD (1.05): Positive, though modest — indicates early bullish momentum.

Volume: Below weekly average, but still healthy — suggests accumulation phase.

📈 Fundamental Strengths

Valuation: P/E of 26.5 is slightly above industry average (22.1), but PEG ratio of 1.47 is acceptable for growth.

Profitability: ROCE (12.8%) and ROE (12.6%) are decent for a financial stock.

Earnings Growth: PAT grew from ₹132 Cr to ₹133 Cr — stable performance, with a massive YoY profit variation of 285%.

Debt-to-Equity: Just 0.01 — extremely low leverage, a strong positive.

Institutional Sentiment: FII holdings increased (+0.21%), though DII slightly reduced (-0.54%).

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹170–₹174

Near 50-DMA support; ideal for initiating a swing position with limited downside risk.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹190–₹195

Close to recent highs; consider exiting if RSI approaches 70 or MACD flattens.

Stop Loss: ₹165

Below this level, trend support may break.

⚖️ Verdict

JMFINANCIL is a good candidate for swing trading, offering a balanced mix of technical support and fundamental stability. Best suited for traders looking for a low-debt, mid-cap financial play with moderate upside potential.

Edit in a page