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JMFINANCIL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 3.2

Stock Code JMFINANCIL Market Cap 11,636 Cr. Current Price 122 ₹ High / Low 200 ₹
Stock P/E 20.0 Book Value 48.0 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.22 % ROCE 12.8 %
ROE 12.6 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 141 ₹ DMA 200 146 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.67 % Chg in DII Hold 0.15 % PAT Qtr 246 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 133 Cr.
RSI 30.1 MACD -5.09 Volume 16,63,932 Avg Vol 1Wk 25,19,103
Low price 78.0 ₹ High price 200 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.11 Debt to equity 0.01
52w Index 35.8 % Qtr Profit Var -20.4 % EPS 6.11 ₹ Industry PE 18.2

📉 Chart & Trend Analysis: JMFINANCIL is trading at ₹122, below both its 50 DMA (₹141) and 200 DMA (₹146), signaling weak technical strength. RSI at 30.1 suggests the stock is oversold, indicating potential for a short-term bounce. MACD at -5.09 confirms bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands show price near the lower band, reflecting sustained selling pressure. Current volume (16.6L) is below the 1-week average (25.2L), showing reduced participation.

🔑 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum is bearish with immediate support at ₹118 and major support at ₹110. Resistance lies at ₹140–₹146 (DMA zone). Optimal entry zone: ₹118–₹122 for risk-tolerant traders. Exit zone: ₹140–₹146 if recovery occurs. Trend status: Reversing downward.


Positive ✅

  • Low debt-to-equity (0.01) ensures strong financial stability.
  • Dividend yield of 2.22% adds investor appeal.
  • EPS of ₹6.11 reflects consistent profitability base.
  • Quarterly PAT improved to ₹246 Cr from ₹133 Cr, showing earnings momentum.

Limitation ⚠️

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming weak technical strength.
  • RSI near oversold zone but MACD remains negative, showing weak momentum.
  • Volume trend weaker than average, indicating lack of strong buying support.
  • Quarterly profit variation (-20.4%) highlights earnings volatility.

Company Negative News 📉

  • FII holding decreased (-0.67%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Stock has fallen sharply from 52-week high of ₹200 to ₹122, eroding sentiment.

Company Positive News 📊

  • DII holding increased (+0.15%), reflecting domestic institutional support.
  • Strong PAT improvement quarter-on-quarter indicates operational resilience.

Industry 🌐

  • Industry PE at 18.2 is slightly lower than JMFINANCIL’s PE of 20.0, suggesting modest premium valuation.
  • Financial services sector outlook remains stable with demand-driven growth opportunities.

Conclusion 📝

JMFINANCIL is currently in a bearish reversal phase, trading below key moving averages with weak momentum indicators. While fundamentals show strong dividend yield and low debt, valuation and technical weakness remain concerns. Risk-tolerant traders may consider entries near ₹118–₹122 with exits around ₹140–₹146, while long-term investors should wait for confirmation of trend reversal above the 200 DMA.

Would you like me to also prepare a peer benchmarking overlay comparing JMFINANCIL with other NBFCs like L&T Finance, Edelweiss, and Motilal Oswal to highlight relative strength and valuation?

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