HUDCO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:01 am
Back to Swing Trade ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.7
| Stock Code | HUDCO | Market Cap | 42,340 Cr. | Current Price | 212 ₹ | High / Low | 254 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 15.1 | Book Value | 90.1 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.95 % | ROCE | 9.62 % |
| ROE | 15.7 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 224 ₹ | DMA 200 | 224 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.02 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.66 % | PAT Qtr | 710 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 630 Cr. |
| RSI | 32.3 | MACD | -6.17 | Volume | 28,63,278 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 22,51,849 |
| Low price | 159 ₹ | High price | 254 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.92 | Debt to equity | 7.03 |
| 52w Index | 55.2 % | Qtr Profit Var | 3.08 % | EPS | 14.0 ₹ | Industry PE | 21.2 |
📊 HUDCO shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is trading below both its 50 DMA (₹224) and 200 DMA (₹224), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 32.3 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD negative (-6.17) confirms bearish momentum. An optimal entry would be near ₹205–₹210. If already holding, consider exiting around ₹225–₹230, where resistance from DMA levels is expected.
Positive
- ✅ EPS of ₹14.0 supports profitability.
- ✅ Quarterly PAT growth from ₹630 Cr. to ₹710 Cr. (+3.08%) shows earnings stability.
- ✅ DII holdings increased by 0.66%, reflecting domestic institutional support.
- ✅ PEG ratio of 0.92 suggests fair valuation relative to growth.
- ✅ Dividend yield of 1.95% provides steady income for investors.
Limitation
- ⚠️ Debt-to-equity ratio of 7.03 indicates very high leverage risk.
- ⚠️ ROCE (9.62%) is modest compared to peers.
- ⚠️ Trading below DMA levels signals weak technical momentum.
- ⚠️ FII holdings dropped by 0.02%, showing slight foreign investor caution.
Company Negative News
- ❌ High debt levels may limit flexibility in volatile market conditions.
- ❌ Bearish technical indicators with MACD negative and RSI oversold.
Company Positive News
- 🌟 Consistent profit growth boosts investor confidence.
- 🌟 Dividend yield near 2% adds attractiveness for income-focused investors.
- 🌟 Strong domestic institutional support provides resilience.
Industry
- 🏭 Housing finance industry trades at PE of 21.2, higher than HUDCO’s PE of 15.1, suggesting relative undervaluation.
- 🏭 Sector growth driven by government housing schemes and infrastructure demand supports long-term prospects.
Conclusion
📌 HUDCO is a moderately strong candidate for swing trading, supported by undervaluation, dividend yield, and stable profits. Entry near ₹205–₹210 is optimal, with exit around ₹225–₹230. Traders should be cautious of high debt levels and weak technical signals, but fundamentals and industry support provide stability.
I can also prepare a peer comparison with LIC Housing Finance or Can Fin Homes to highlight relative swing trade opportunities in the housing finance sector.
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