HUDCO - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

🧠 Quick Take

HUDCO shows signs of fundamental strength but struggles with technical momentum at the moment. It’s hovering below both DMAs and in oversold territory, which could lead to a short-term bounce—but only if broader sentiment supports it. The stock isn’t ideal for a textbook swing, but with the right entry conditions, there’s a setup worth watching.

📉 Technical Overview

Current Price (₹216) is below both 50 DMA (₹228) and 200 DMA (₹222) — mild bearish tone.

RSI (34): Approaching oversold, suggesting downside may be limited.

MACD (–3.69): Negative, showing weak short-term momentum.

Volume: Lower than average — may signal lack of interest or an upcoming move if accumulation occurs.

📊 Fundamentals Snapshot

Valuation

P/E (16) vs Industry PE (24.6) → reasonably valued

PEG Ratio (0.97) → growth-adjusted valuation is acceptable

Profitability

EPS (₹13.5) and ROE (15.7%) → quite healthy

Quarterly Profit Stability → minor decline, not alarming

Dividend Yield (1.92%): Added incentive for holding

Debt to Equity (5.97): High leverage — worth noting, but typical for lending-focused firms

🔁 Ownership Trends

DII Holding ↑ (0.57%) vs FII Holding ↓ (0.50%) → Mixed institutional sentiment

🎯 Trade Strategy

📥 Entry Point: Wait for price to dip near ₹210 with RSI rising above 35 and MACD flattening out. If volume picks up, that’d support entry.

📤 Exit if Holding: Watch for resistance at ₹228–₹232. If the RSI nears 55 and MACD trends positive, that might signal a short-term peak.

📝 Final Word

Not the most aggressive swing play, but HUDCO may appeal to those who like low-volatility setups with fundamental backing. If technicals align, a short-term pop of 6–8% is possible.

Want a fresh scan of other public sector finance stocks showing better breakout potential? I’ve got a few up my sleeve.

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