HUDCO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

🏗️ HUDCO shows a stable technical setup and reasonable valuation. Entry near ₹225–₹228 is optimal. If already held, consider exiting near ₹255–₹260.

📈 Positive

• EPS ₹13.9 and ROE 15.7% — decent profitability
• MACD 2.68 and RSI 54.3 — neutral to bullish momentum
• Trading above DMA 50 (₹227) and DMA 200 (₹223) — confirms uptrend
• PEG ratio 1.02 — fair valuation relative to growth
• DII holding increased by 0.66% — domestic confidence

⚠️ Limitation

• ROCE 9.62% — below ideal for capital efficiency
• Debt-to-equity 5.97 — high leverage risk
• Volume below weekly average — short-term interest may be cooling
• FII holding dipped by 0.02%

🚫 Company Negative News

• Sequential PAT decline from ₹728 Cr. to ₹630 Cr. — down 13.4%
• Stock corrected ~12% from 52-week high of ₹264

✅ Company Positive News

• Strong Q2 performance driven by infrastructure lending and housing finance demand
• Government push for affordable housing and urban development supports long-term growth
• Analysts maintain positive outlook with targets above ₹250

🏭 Industry

• Housing finance sector benefits from government schemes and rising urbanization
• HUDCO trades below industry PE (23.4) — offers value

🧾 Conclusion

• HUDCO is a technically stable and fundamentally fair-valued swing candidate
• Best entry: ₹225–₹228 near DMA support and minor pullback zone
• If already held, exit near ₹255–₹260 — resistance zone before 52-week high
• Watch for volume spike and RSI >58 for confirmation

I can also compare HUDCO with other housing finance PSUs to highlight stronger swing setups.