HUDCO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.8
| Stock Code | HUDCO | Market Cap | 42,360 Cr. | Current Price | 212 ₹ | High / Low | 247 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 10.5 | Book Value | 110 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 2.15 % | ROCE | 8.41 % |
| ROE | 20.2 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 205 ₹ | DMA 200 | 207 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.25 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.43 % | PAT Qtr | 1,981 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 713 Cr. |
| RSI | 56.1 | MACD | 1.15 | Volume | 41,14,076 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 37,56,136 |
| Low price | 159 ₹ | High price | 247 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.31 | Debt to equity | 6.45 |
| 52w Index | 59.8 % | Qtr Profit Var | 172 % | EPS | 20.2 ₹ | Industry PE | 18.9 |
HUDCO shows moderate potential for swing trading. The RSI at 56.1 indicates neutral-to-positive momentum, while MACD (1.15) reflects mild bullish sentiment. The stock is trading slightly above its 50 DMA (205 ₹) and 200 DMA (207 ₹), suggesting consolidation with limited upside. Fundamentals are mixed: ROE (20.2%) is strong, but ROCE (8.41%) is weak. Valuation remains attractive with a P/E of 10.5 compared to industry PE of 18.9, supported by a PEG ratio of 0.31. However, the very high debt-to-equity ratio (6.45) raises caution.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 205–210 ₹, closer to support levels.
📈 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider booking profits near 230–240 ₹, or trail stop-loss if momentum strengthens toward 247 ₹ (recent high).
🌟 Positive
- EPS of 20.2 ₹ supports earnings visibility.
- PEG ratio of 0.31 indicates undervaluation relative to growth.
- Dividend yield of 2.15% provides steady income.
- Quarterly PAT surged from 713 Cr. to 1,981 Cr. (+172%).
- FII holdings increased (+0.25%), showing foreign investor confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- ROCE of 8.41% is weak compared to peers.
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 6.45 raises significant leverage concerns.
- Price trading sideways near DMA levels indicates lack of strong momentum.
- DII holdings decreased (-0.43%), showing reduced domestic support.
📰 Company Negative News
- Decline in DII holdings (-0.43%) signals weaker domestic sentiment.
- High leverage may limit flexibility in volatile market conditions.
📈 Company Positive News
- Quarterly PAT surged (+172%), highlighting strong earnings momentum.
- Dividend yield of 2.15% adds investor appeal.
- EPS of 20.2 ₹ supports valuation strength.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE is 18.9, higher than HUDCO’s PE of 10.5, suggesting undervaluation compared to peers.
- Housing and infrastructure finance sector benefits from government spending, though high debt levels and interest rate cycles remain challenges.
🔎 Conclusion
HUDCO is technically neutral but fundamentally mixed, making it a cautious candidate for swing trading. Entry near 205–210 ₹ is favorable, with exit around 230–240 ₹ if resistance holds. Strong earnings growth and undervaluation provide confidence, though high debt and weak ROCE limit upside potential in the short term.
Would you like me to also compare HUDCO’s swing trade outlook with peers like LIC Housing Finance, Can Fin Homes, or PNB Housing Finance to identify stronger opportunities?