HUDCO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📊 Technical & Fundamental Analysis

✅ Strengths

P/E (16.0) < Industry PE (25.3): Undervalued relative to peers.

PEG Ratio (0.98): Fairly valued considering growth.

EPS (₹13.9) and Qtr Profit Var (+13.0%): Solid earnings momentum.

MACD (1.93): Bullish crossover, trend continuation likely.

Price > DMA50 (₹218) & DMA200 (₹220): Short-term uptrend confirmed.

RSI (61.0): Bullish zone, but not yet overbought.

DII Holding ↑ (0.57%): Domestic institutions showing confidence.

Dividend Yield (1.86%): Decent yield cushion.

⚠️ Risks

ROCE (9.62%): Moderate operational efficiency.

Debt-to-Equity (5.97): High leverage typical of housing finance firms—worth monitoring.

Volume < Avg Vol: Momentum may be cooling.

FII Holding ↓ (-0.50%): Mild foreign outflow.

PAT Qtr ↓: Sequential decline from ₹728 Cr. to ₹630 Cr.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹215–₹219

Entry near DMA levels offers a good margin of safety.

Confirm with MACD sustainment and RSI push above 63 for stronger conviction.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹235–₹242

Resistance zone with ~6–8% swing potential.

Stop Loss: ₹208

Below DMA200 and recent support; protects against breakdown.

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