HUDCO - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 Analysis: HUDCO is trading below both its 50 DMA (224 ₹) and 200 DMA (224 ₹), showing short-term weakness. RSI at 32.3 indicates oversold territory, while MACD at -6.17 reflects bearish momentum. Current volume (28,63,278) is higher than average weekly volume (22,51,849), suggesting active intraday participation. Fundamentals show steady profit growth and undervaluation relative to industry PE, but high debt levels and weak momentum indicators limit intraday strength.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: Around 210–212 ₹ (near current support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: 218 ₹ (first resistance), 224 ₹ (DMA resistance zone).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: 206 ₹ (below immediate support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider exiting intraday if price fails to sustain above 212 ₹ with weak volume or if RSI drops below 31. Momentum exit can be targeted near 218–224 ₹ if volume strengthens and MACD shows recovery.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Quarterly PAT growth (710 Cr. vs 630 Cr.)
• 💰 EPS of 14.0 ₹ supports valuation strength
• 📊 PEG ratio of 0.92 indicates fair valuation relative to growth
• 🏦 DII holdings increased (+0.66%), showing domestic investor confidence
• 📈 52-week index return of 55.2% highlights sector strength

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI at 32.3 indicates oversold but weak momentum
• 📊 MACD negative (-6.17), bearish bias
• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio very high at 7.03
• 📊 Current price below DMA levels, showing technical weakness

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 FII holdings reduced (-0.02%), showing slight foreign investor caution

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 Quarterly profit variation at 3.08% shows steady earnings
• 📊 Positioned well in housing and infrastructure finance sector
• 💵 Dividend yield of 1.95% adds shareholder value

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 21.2, HUDCO trades at discount (15.1)
• ⚡ Housing finance sector benefiting from government initiatives and infrastructure push
• 📈 Sector resilience reflected in strong 52-week performance

📌 Conclusion

HUDCO shows moderate intraday potential with strong volume but weak momentum indicators. Traders can cautiously enter near 210–212 ₹ with exits around 218–224 ₹. A tight stop-loss at 206 ₹ is recommended. Best suited for cautious intraday trades; long-term investors may continue to hold given undervaluation and sector support, but high debt levels remain a concern.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay against other housing finance and infrastructure finance stocks (like LIC Housing Finance, Can Fin Homes, and PNB Housing) to compare intraday strength, or keep the focus only on HUDCO’s standalone setup?