HINDPETRO - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.9

📊 Technical Outlook

Price Momentum: Current price ₹426 is above both the 50 DMA (₹419) and 200 DMA (₹386), signaling ongoing short-term strength.

RSI (48.6): Neutral zone — no strong momentum, but not showing weakness either.

MACD (2.06): Mildly bullish — price movement is upward but without strong conviction.

Volume: Above weekly average — suggests continued interest, possibly accumulation.

📈 Fundamental Check

P/E (13.4) vs Industry (21.6): Undervalued relative to peers.

EPS (₹31.7): Strong earnings per share.

PEG Ratio (–6.31): Negative PEG often indicates abnormal earnings growth or volatility — be cautious here.

ROCE (10.5%) / ROE (13.7%): Decent, but not outstanding — suggests moderate operational efficiency.

Dividend Yield (2.47%): Attractive for risk mitigation, adds downside cushion.

Debt to Equity (1.38): High leverage — a risk factor that may impact swing movement in volatile markets.

📈 Earnings & Ownership Shift

PAT Growth (26.1%): Strong earnings momentum, supportive of bullish sentiment.

FII Holding (+1.00%): Positive shift — foreign investors entering.

DII Holding (–0.39%): Minor decline — not a dealbreaker, but worth tracking.

🎯 Trade Strategy

📥 Entry Point: Favorable entry zone lies between ₹415–₹422, closer to the 50 DMA. Watch for RSI crossing 50 and MACD slope increasing for added confirmation.

📤 Exit if Holding: Consider booking profits near ₹450–₹455. If RSI approaches 65–70 or MACD flattens, it may be time to step out.

🧠 Verdict

HINDPETRO presents a decent swing trading opportunity — strong earnings and valuation play in its favor, but high debt and a weak PEG ratio suggest it's not without risk. For short-term moves, the trend is supportive if monitored carefully with a tight stop-loss.

I can scan a few energy sector names next if you're building a thematic portfolio. Want me to shortlist a few?

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