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HINDPETRO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 4.2

Last Updated Time : 19 Jun 26, 11:28 am

📊 Swing Trade Rating: 4.2

Stock Code HINDPETRO Market Cap 85,485 Cr. Current Price 402 ₹ High / Low 508 ₹
Stock P/E 4.98 Book Value 281 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.61 % ROCE 23.1 %
ROE 32.5 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 386 ₹ DMA 200 404 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.91 % Chg in DII Hold -1.06 % PAT Qtr 4,902 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 4,072 Cr.
RSI 58.0 MACD 4.45 Volume 45,09,200 Avg Vol 1Wk 84,68,297
Low price 316 ₹ High price 508 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.09 Debt to equity 0.88
52w Index 44.4 % Qtr Profit Var 46.1 % EPS 80.7 ₹ Industry PE 5.37

HINDPETRO shows strong potential for swing trading. The RSI at 58.0 indicates healthy momentum, while MACD (4.45) reflects bullish sentiment. The stock is trading above its 50 DMA (386 ₹) and near its 200 DMA (404 ₹), suggesting short-term strength with medium-term resistance. Fundamentals are robust with ROCE (23.1%) and ROE (32.5%), while valuation remains attractive at a P/E of 4.98 compared to industry PE of 5.37.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 390–400 ₹, closer to support levels near 386 ₹.

📈 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider booking profits near 420–440 ₹, or trail stop-loss if momentum strengthens toward 508 ₹ (recent high).


🌟 Positive

  • Strong ROCE (23.1%) and ROE (32.5%) highlight efficient capital use.
  • Attractive P/E of 4.98 compared to industry average (5.37).
  • PEG ratio of 0.09 suggests undervaluation relative to growth.
  • Dividend yield of 2.61% provides steady returns.
  • Quarterly PAT growth from 4,072 Cr. to 4,902 Cr. (+46.1%).

⚠️ Limitation

  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.88 is relatively high compared to peers.
  • Volume (45 lakh) is lower than 1-week average (84 lakh), showing reduced participation.
  • Price near 200 DMA (404 ₹) may face resistance.

📰 Company Negative News

  • Decline in DII holdings (-1.06%) shows reduced domestic investor confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Increase in FII holdings (+0.91%) reflects foreign investor confidence.
  • Strong quarterly PAT growth highlights earnings momentum.
  • Consistent dividend payout supports investor sentiment.

🏭 Industry

  • Oil & gas refining industry remains resilient with strong demand and government support.
  • Industry PE at 5.37 vs HINDPETRO’s 4.98 shows undervaluation compared to peers.

🔎 Conclusion

HINDPETRO is fundamentally strong with attractive valuation and improving earnings momentum. For swing trading, entry near 390–400 ₹ is favorable, with exit around 420–440 ₹. Traders should remain cautious of high leverage and resistance near 200 DMA, while strong fundamentals and foreign investor confidence provide support.

Would you like me to extend this into a sector overlay comparison with peers like IOC, BPCL, and ONGC to highlight relative opportunities?

Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis

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