HINDPETRO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.4

📊 Hindustan Petroleum shows strong momentum and undervaluation. Entry near ₹470–₹475 is optimal. If already held, consider exiting near ₹490–₹500.

📈 Positive

• Low P/E (7.08) vs industry average (20.3) — undervalued
• Quarterly profit surge: ₹3,830 Cr. vs ₹4,371 Cr. — 507% YoY growth
• MACD 13.1 and RSI 72.6 — strong bullish momentum
• Trading well above DMA 50 (₹438) and DMA 200 (₹405)
• EPS ₹68.5 and dividend yield of 2.17%
• FII holding increased by 0.93%

⚠️ Limitation

• RSI above 70 — overbought zone, risk of short-term pullback
• Volume below weekly average — waning momentum
• High debt-to-equity (1.16) — leverage risk
• DII holding dropped by 0.92%

🚫 Company Negative News

• Sequential drop in PAT from ₹4,371 Cr. to ₹3,830 Cr.
• Concerns over volatility in crude oil prices affecting margins

✅ Company Positive News

• Strong YoY profit growth driven by inventory gains and refining margins
• Government support for oil PSUs and fuel price stability
• Brokerages maintain bullish stance with targets above ₹500

🏭 Industry

• Oil & gas sector benefits from global demand recovery and domestic consumption growth
• HINDPETRO trades at a deep discount to industry P/E

🧾 Conclusion

• HINDPETRO is a technically strong and fundamentally undervalued swing candidate
• Best entry: ₹470–₹475 range before breakout continuation
• If already held, exit near ₹490–₹500 — resistance zone and 52-week high
• Watch for RSI cooling below 70 and volume spike for re-entry

I can also compare HINDPETRO with other oil PSUs to identify better swing setups or confirm sector strength.