HINDPETRO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | HINDPETRO | Market Cap | 69,122 Cr. | Current Price | 325 ₹ | High / Low | 508 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 4.42 | Book Value | 244 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 3.23 % | ROCE | 11.8 % |
| ROE | 16.9 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 420 ₹ | DMA 200 | 427 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 1.87 % | Chg in DII Hold | -1.60 % | PAT Qtr | 4,072 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 3,830 Cr. |
| RSI | 20.6 | MACD | -27.1 | Volume | 2,65,84,136 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 1,45,90,467 |
| Low price | 322 ₹ | High price | 508 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.80 | Debt to equity | 1.16 |
| 52w Index | 1.77 % | Qtr Profit Var | 34.7 % | EPS | 73.4 ₹ | Industry PE | 13.1 |
📊 HINDPETRO shows strong earnings but faces significant technical weakness. The RSI at 20.6 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting a possible rebound. However, the MACD (-27.1) and price trading well below both the 50 DMA (₹420) and 200 DMA (₹427) reflect bearish sentiment. Fundamentals are mixed: while ROE (16.9%) and quarterly PAT growth (+34.7%) are strong, high debt-to-equity (1.16) and low 52-week performance (+1.77%) raise caution. The P/E of 4.42 compared to industry P/E of 13.1 suggests undervaluation, but technicals remain weak.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: ₹320–₹330, near the recent low of ₹322.
📈 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting around ₹415–₹430 (near 200 DMA resistance) unless momentum strengthens further.
✅ Positive
- Strong quarterly PAT growth from ₹3,830 Cr. to ₹4,072 Cr. (+34.7%).
- EPS of ₹73.4 supports valuation strength.
- Dividend yield of 3.23% adds investor appeal.
- FII holdings increased (+1.87%), showing foreign investor confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- High debt-to-equity ratio (1.16) raises financial risk.
- Stock trading well below 50 DMA and 200 DMA reflects bearish sentiment.
- 52-week index gain of only 1.77% shows weak long-term performance.
📉 Company Negative News
- DII holdings declined (-1.60%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.
- Weak technical indicators (RSI, MACD, DMA trend) limit short-term upside.
📈 Company Positive News
- Quarterly profit growth (+34.7%) reflects strong earnings momentum.
- FII holdings increased (+1.87%), showing foreign investor confidence.
- Dividend yield of 3.23% provides steady returns.
🏭 Industry
- Oil & gas sector remains cyclical, influenced by global crude prices.
- Industry P/E at 13.1 makes HINDPETRO relatively undervalued (P/E 4.42).
🔎 Conclusion
HINDPETRO is fundamentally undervalued with strong earnings growth but faces short-term technical weakness and high debt levels. It may be suitable for swing trading if entered near ₹320–₹330, with a target around ₹415–₹430. Traders should monitor RSI recovery and volume trends before committing heavily.