HINDPETRO - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.9

📊 Analysis: Hindustan Petroleum (HINDPETRO) is trading above both its 50 DMA (456 ₹) and 200 DMA (421 ₹), showing medium-term strength. RSI at 54.0 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD at -0.37 suggests mild bearish bias. Current volume (12,64,823) is below average weekly volume (21,22,022), showing weaker intraday participation. Fundamentals remain strong with low P/E and high EPS, but debt levels are elevated.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: Around 465–470 ₹ (near current price and DMA support).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: 480 ₹ (first resistance), 490–495 ₹ (strong intraday resistance zone).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: 460 ₹ (below short-term support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider exiting intraday if price fails to sustain above 470 ₹ with weak volume or if MACD turns more negative. Momentum exit can be targeted near 480–490 ₹ if RSI moves above 57 and volume strengthens.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Low P/E (6.87) compared to industry PE (11.3), indicating undervaluation
• 💰 Attractive dividend yield of 2.28%
• 📊 Strong EPS of 68.5 ₹
• 📈 Quarterly profit variation at 507% shows massive earnings recovery
• 🏦 FII holdings increased (+0.93%), showing foreign investor confidence

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio high at 1.16
• 📊 Current volume below average weekly volume, limiting intraday strength
• 📉 ROCE at 11.8% is modest compared to peers
• 📊 MACD slightly negative, showing weak momentum

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Decline in quarterly PAT (3,830 Cr. vs 4,371 Cr.)
• 📊 DII holdings reduced (-0.92%), showing domestic investor caution

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 Strong quarterly profit variation (507%) despite PAT decline sequentially
• 📊 Attractive valuation compared to industry peers
• ⚡ Positioned well in energy sector with demand recovery tailwinds

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 11.3, Hindustan Petroleum trades at discount (6.87)
• ⚡ Oil & gas sector benefiting from demand recovery and government support
• 📈 52-week index return at 87.9% highlights sector strength

📌 Conclusion

HINDPETRO shows moderate intraday potential with support from DMA levels and undervaluation. Traders can look for entries near 465–470 ₹ with exits around 480–495 ₹. A tight stop-loss at 460 ₹ is recommended. While fundamentals are strong, intraday momentum depends on volume pickup during the session.

Would you like me to extend this into a basket overlay with peer benchmarking against other oil & gas sector stocks (like IOC, BPCL, and ONGC) to compare intraday strength, or keep the focus only on Hindustan Petroleum’s standalone setup?