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HINDPETRO - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 3.5

Stock Code HINDPETRO Market Cap 91,837 Cr. Current Price 431 ₹ High / Low 508 ₹
Stock P/E 5.88 Book Value 244 ₹ Dividend Yield 2.43 % ROCE 11.8 %
ROE 16.9 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 452 ₹ DMA 200 430 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.87 % Chg in DII Hold -1.60 % PAT Qtr 4,072 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 3,830 Cr.
RSI 41.6 MACD -10.8 Volume 46,36,553 Avg Vol 1Wk 52,96,052
Low price 288 ₹ High price 508 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.07 Debt to equity 1.16
52w Index 65.1 % Qtr Profit Var 34.7 % EPS 73.4 ₹ Industry PE 9.25

📊 Chart & Trend Analysis: HINDPETRO is trading at ₹431, below its 50 DMA (₹452) but slightly above its 200 DMA (₹430), indicating short-term weakness with medium-term support. RSI at 41.6 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory. MACD at -10.8 confirms bearish momentum. Current volume (46.3L) is below the weekly average (52.9L), showing reduced participation. Bollinger Bands indicate price near the lower band, reinforcing bearish consolidation.

📈 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum is weak, with RSI near oversold and MACD bearish crossover. Lower volume participation limits breakout potential.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹420 – ₹430 (near immediate support)

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹455 – ₹470 (near resistance at 50 DMA)

🔎 Trend Status: Consolidating with bearish bias. Sustained trade below ₹420 could trigger reversal towards ₹400, while recovery above ₹455 may signal bullish trend resumption.


Positive

  • Low P/E ratio (5.88) compared to industry average (9.25) suggests undervaluation.
  • Dividend yield of 2.43% adds investor appeal.
  • Quarterly PAT growth from ₹3,830 Cr. to ₹4,072 Cr. shows earnings momentum.
  • EPS of ₹73.4 reflects strong profitability.
  • Increase in FII holding (+1.87%) signals foreign investor confidence.

Limitation

  • Stock trading below 50 DMA signals short-term weakness.
  • High debt-to-equity ratio (1.16) raises leverage concerns.
  • ROCE (11.8%) and ROE (16.9%) are moderate compared to peers.
  • Weak trading volume reduces conviction in recovery moves.

Company Negative News

  • Decline in DII holding (-1.60%) signals reduced domestic institutional support.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit variation of 34.7% shows strong earnings growth.
  • Increase in FII holding reflects renewed foreign investor interest.

Industry

  • Oil & gas sector remains cyclical, influenced by crude price volatility and refining margins.
  • Industry P/E at 9.25 highlights moderate sector valuation compared to HINDPETRO’s discount.

Conclusion

⚖️ HINDPETRO is consolidating with a bearish bias. Entry near ₹420–₹430 offers cautious accumulation, while exits near ₹455–₹470 provide short-term profit booking. Strong earnings growth and low valuation support long-term holding, but high leverage and weak technicals warrant patience for better entry opportunities.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay (BPCL, IOC, ONGC) so you can compare HINDPETRO’s relative strength within the oil & gas basket?

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