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HINDPETRO - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.5

Stock Code HINDPETRO Market Cap 74,325 Cr. Current Price 349 ₹ High / Low 508 ₹
Stock P/E 4.76 Book Value 244 ₹ Dividend Yield 3.01 % ROCE 11.8 %
ROE 16.9 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 424 ₹ DMA 200 428 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.87 % Chg in DII Hold -1.60 % PAT Qtr 4,072 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 3,830 Cr.
RSI 25.1 MACD -24.4 Volume 95,31,594 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,10,53,823
Low price 324 ₹ High price 508 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.86 Debt to equity 1.16
52w Index 13.7 % Qtr Profit Var 34.7 % EPS 73.4 ₹ Industry PE 13.7

📊 Chart & Trend Analysis: HINDPETRO is trading at ₹349, well below both its 50 DMA (₹424) and 200 DMA (₹428), reflecting strong bearish pressure. RSI at 25.1 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD at -24.4 confirms negative momentum. Bollinger Bands show price hugging the lower band, suggesting continued selling pressure. Volume is slightly below average, showing reduced participation despite weakness.

📈 Momentum Signals: Short-term momentum is weak, with RSI oversold and MACD negative. A technical rebound may occur if support holds, but trend remains bearish. Consolidation is possible before reversal attempts.

💹 Entry & Exit Zones:

- Optimal Entry: ₹340–₹350 (near support, oversold RSI)

- Stop-Loss: ₹324 (recent low)

- Exit Zone: ₹420–₹430 (near 200 DMA resistance)

- Major Resistance: ₹508 (recent high)

📉 Trend Status: The stock is trending bearish, with oversold RSI hinting at a possible short-term rebound if support levels hold.


Positive

  • Strong ROE (16.9%) and ROCE (11.8%) highlight efficient capital use.
  • Dividend yield of 3.01% provides attractive income for investors.
  • Quarterly PAT improved to ₹4,072 Cr. from ₹3,830 Cr., showing earnings growth.
  • EPS of ₹73.4 reflects strong profitability.

Limitation

  • P/E of 4.76 is significantly below industry average (13.7), reflecting undervaluation but also market skepticism.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.16 indicates high leverage.
  • Price trading far below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA shows weak technical strength.

Company Negative News

  • DII holdings decreased (-1.60%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.
  • Stock corrected sharply from its 52-week high of ₹508, reflecting selling pressure.

Company Positive News

  • FII holdings increased (+1.87%), showing strong foreign investor interest.
  • Quarterly profit variation of 34.7% highlights operational improvement.

Industry

  • Oil & gas industry benefits from global energy demand but faces volatility in crude prices.
  • Industry PE at 13.7 highlights relatively higher valuations compared to HINDPETRO’s low P/E of 4.76.

Conclusion

⚖️ HINDPETRO is technically weak, trending bearish with oversold RSI and strong selling pressure. Traders may consider entry near ₹340–₹350 with strict stop-loss at ₹324, targeting ₹420–₹430 in the short term. Long-term investors may find value given low P/E and strong profitability, but should be cautious of high leverage and volatility in the oil & gas sector.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay (e.g., BPCL, IOC, ONGC) so you can evaluate sector rotation opportunities alongside HINDPETRO?

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