HINDALCO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

📊 Technical & Fundamental Analysis

✅ Strengths

Strong Uptrend: Price is well above DMA50 (₹710) and DMA200 (₹669), confirming bullish momentum.

MACD (15.3): Positive and rising, supports continued upward movement.

Volume Surge: Current volume significantly above 1-week average → strong participation.

Quarterly PAT Growth (+26.6%): Solid earnings momentum.

EPS (₹30.2) and P/E (24.9): Reasonably valued compared to industry PE (20.4).

Low Debt-to-Equity (0.17): Financially sound.

52w Index (90.1%): Near yearly high, indicating strength.

⚠️ Risks

RSI (64.5): Approaching overbought zone; caution on fresh entry.

PEG Ratio (10.3): Indicates expensive growth.

ROCE (12.9%) / ROE (8.98%): Moderate efficiency, not standout.

FII Holding ↓: Slight foreign outflow.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹725–₹735

A mild pullback toward DMA50 would offer better margin of safety.

Entry should be confirmed with MACD sustainment and RSI cooling below 60.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹770–₹785

Near 52-week high; expect resistance and profit booking.

Stop Loss: ₹715

Below DMA50 and recent support zone; protects against trend reversal.

Want me to scan for other metal sector setups with lower PEG and stronger ROCE? I can also prep a basket-level exit matrix if you’re managing multiple positions.

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