HINDALCO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.1

📊 Hindalco shows strong momentum and improving fundamentals. Entry near ₹805–₹815 is optimal. If already held, consider exiting near ₹855–₹864.

📈 Positive

• Quarterly profit growth: 26.6% increase (₹1,862 Cr. vs ₹1,561 Cr.)
• MACD 25.6 and RSI 63.8 indicate bullish momentum
• Trading above DMA 50 (₹773) and DMA 200 (₹701) — strong uptrend
• EPS ₹30.2 and low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.17
• FII holding increased by 0.53%

⚠️ Limitation

• PEG ratio 11.4 — indicates overvaluation relative to growth
• ROCE 12.9% and ROE 8.98% — moderate efficiency
• DII holding dropped by 0.82%
• Volume slightly below weekly average — watch for confirmation

🚫 Company Negative News

• Concerns over global aluminium demand due to slowing Chinese construction sector
• Volatility in commodity prices may impact margins

✅ Company Positive News

• Strong Q2 performance driven by Novelis and India business
• Expansion in EV battery foil and sustainable packaging segments
• Analysts maintain bullish outlook with targets above ₹875

🏭 Industry

• Metals sector benefits from infrastructure push and green energy demand
• Hindalco trades at P/E 27.6 vs industry average of 19.5 — premium valuation

🧾 Conclusion

• Hindalco is a technically strong swing candidate with improving fundamentals
• Best entry: ₹805–₹815 range near short-term support
• If already held, exit near ₹855–₹864 — recent high zone
• Watch for volume breakout and RSI >65 for confirmation

I can also chart Hindalco’s technical indicators to visualize its swing setup. Let me know if you'd like that.