HINDALCO - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:03 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 4.4

📊 Analysis: Hindalco is trading near its 52-week high (864 ₹) with strong momentum. RSI at 65.7 indicates bullish strength but approaching overbought territory. MACD at 13.2 confirms positive momentum. Current volume (42,77,747) is well above average weekly volume (32,54,083), showing strong intraday participation. Trading above both 50 DMA (804 ₹) and 200 DMA (730 ₹) confirms trend strength.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: Around 848–854 ₹ (near current price, supported by strong volume).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: 864 ₹ (immediate resistance), 875–885 ₹ (extended intraday resistance zone).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: 840 ₹ (below short-term support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider exiting intraday if price fails to sustain above 854 ₹ with weakening volume or if RSI crosses 70 (overbought). Momentum exit can be targeted near 864–875 ₹ if volume remains strong and MACD continues positive.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Strong quarterly PAT growth (2,266 Cr. vs 1,862 Cr.)
• 💰 Low debt-to-equity (0.18), ensuring financial stability
• 📊 EPS of 31.8 ₹ supports valuation strength
• 🏦 FII holdings increased (+0.53%), showing foreign investor confidence
• 📈 52-week index return of 96.8% highlights strong sector momentum

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 ROE relatively low at 8.98%
• 📊 PEG ratio of 11.1 indicates overvaluation relative to growth
• 📉 Dividend yield of 0.58% is modest
• 📊 RSI near overbought zone, limiting upside

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 DII holdings reduced (-0.82%), showing domestic investor caution

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 Strong quarterly profit variation (19.8%)
• 📊 Consistent growth in earnings and operational performance
• 🏭 Positioned well in metals and aluminum sector with global demand tailwinds

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 20.6, Hindalco trades at a premium (26.8)
• ⚡ Metals sector benefiting from global commodity demand recovery
• 📈 Sector resilience reflected in strong 52-week performance

📌 Conclusion

Hindalco shows strong intraday potential with high volume, positive MACD, and bullish RSI. Traders can look for entries near 848–854 ₹ with exits around 864–875 ₹. A tight stop-loss at 840 ₹ is recommended to protect against downside risk. While fundamentals are supportive, caution is advised as RSI approaches overbought levels.

Would you like me to extend this into a basket overlay with peer benchmarking against other metal sector stocks (like Tata Steel, JSW Steel, and Vedanta) to compare intraday strength, or keep the focus only on Hindalco’s standalone setup?