GRASIM - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.1

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Strength: Price is above both 50 DMA (₹2,784) and 200 DMA (₹2,668), confirming short-term bullish momentum.

MACD Positive: At 17.9, MACD supports continued upside, though not explosive.

RSI Elevated: 65.4 suggests strength but nearing overbought territory—momentum is strong but caution is warranted.

Volume Stable: Current volume (5.22L) is slightly above 1-week average (4.78L), indicating steady interest.

📉 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Extremely Stretched: P/E of 663 and PEG of −11.0 are major red flags—pricing is disconnected from earnings reality.

Weak Profitability: ROCE 1.52%, ROE 0.35%—very low capital efficiency.

Negative Earnings: PAT remains negative (₹−118 Cr), with Qtr Profit Var at −127%—unsuitable for swing-grade consistency.

Low Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.22 adds financial resilience.

Institutional Sentiment: FII increased (+0.34%), DII reduced (−0.33%)—mixed stance.

🧠 Analyst Sentiment

Recent reports show Grasim trading near ₹2,800 with a revised P/E of ~46 and ROE of ~3.8%, suggesting valuation compression and mild recovery

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. Broker consensus targets average around ₹3,144, implying ~9% upside from current levels

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🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹2,780–₹2,800: Near 50 DMA and support zone. Entry only if RSI cools below 60 and MACD remains positive.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹3,140–₹3,180: Near broker consensus target and resistance zone. Exit if RSI crosses 72 or MACD flattens.

Trailing Stop: ₹2,820 to protect gains.

🧠 Summary

GRASIM offers a momentum-driven swing setup with strong technicals but extremely weak fundamentals. Suitable only for short-term tactical trades with tight risk control. Entry near 50 DMA offers a safer margin, while exit near ₹3,140 is prudent unless volume and MACD accelerate.

Want a filtered basket with PEG < 1.5, ROCE > 15%, and MACD > 10 for higher-conviction swing setups? I can prep one tailored to your workflow.

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www.angelone.in

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economictimes.indiatimes.com

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trendlyne.com

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