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GRASIM - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 3.5

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 04:32 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.5

Stock Code GRASIM Market Cap 1,93,122 Cr. Current Price 2,838 ₹ High / Low 2,979 ₹
Stock P/E 562 Book Value 808 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.35 % ROCE 1.52 %
ROE 0.35 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,799 ₹ DMA 200 2,748 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.12 % Chg in DII Hold -0.28 % PAT Qtr 805 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -118 Cr.
RSI 55.4 MACD 1.72 Volume 5,72,641 Avg Vol 1Wk 7,97,676
Low price 2,301 ₹ High price 2,979 ₹ PEG Ratio -9.31 Debt to equity 0.24
52w Index 79.2 % Qtr Profit Var 6.31 % EPS 3.29 ₹ Industry PE 30.8

📊 Analysis: GRASIM is trading at ₹2,838, slightly above its 50 DMA (₹2,799) and 200 DMA (₹2,748), showing near-term technical support. RSI at 55.4 indicates neutral-to-positive momentum, while MACD at 1.72 suggests mild bullishness. Intraday volume (5.7 lakh) is below the 1-week average (7.9 lakh), limiting sharp moves. Valuation is extremely stretched with a P/E of 562 compared to industry P/E of 30.8, raising caution for intraday traders despite recent profit recovery.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹2,820–2,835 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: ₹2,870–2,900 (short-term resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹2,800 (below 50 DMA support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above ₹2,820 or if RSI drops below 50 with weakening momentum. Consider booking profits near ₹2,870–2,900 if price action stalls and volume remains subdued.

✅ Positive

  • Trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates near-term support.
  • Quarterly PAT recovery to ₹805 Cr. from a loss of ₹118 Cr. shows earnings rebound.
  • Book value of ₹808 provides strong asset backing.
  • FII holdings increased by 0.12%, showing foreign investor confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E of 562 compared to industry average of 30.8 suggests severe overvaluation.
  • ROCE (1.52%) and ROE (0.35%) are very weak, reflecting poor capital efficiency.
  • PEG ratio of -9.31 signals poor growth alignment with valuation.
  • Intraday volume weaker than average, reducing trading opportunities.

📉 Company Negative News

  • DII holdings declined by -0.28%, signaling reduced domestic institutional confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT turnaround highlights operational recovery.
  • FII inflows (+0.12%) show foreign investor support.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 30.8 is far lower than GRASIM’s 562, highlighting relative overvaluation.
  • Cement and diversified industrial sector demand remains cyclical but supported by infrastructure growth.

🔎 Conclusion

GRASIM shows moderate intraday potential with support near ₹2,820 and resistance around ₹2,870–2,900. While technicals are mildly positive, extreme valuation and weak efficiency metrics suggest caution. Suitable only for disciplined intraday traders with tight stop-loss and modest profit targets.

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