GRAPHITE - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Confirmation: Price is above both 50 DMA (₹536) and 200 DMA (₹524), confirming a bullish structure.

MACD Mildly Positive: At 2.81, MACD supports momentum but lacks strong acceleration.

RSI Elevated: 67.8 suggests the stock is nearing overbought territory—momentum is strong but a pullback is likely.

Volume Surge: Current volume (15.87L) is well above 1-week average (9.52L), indicating strong participation.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Reasonable: P/E of 28.2 vs industry average of 43.0 suggests undervaluation relative to peers.

Moderate Efficiency: ROCE 10.3%, ROE 8.26%—acceptable but not swing-grade elite.

Profit Volatility: PAT rose to ₹145 Cr from ₹62 Cr, but Qtr Profit Var is −29.3%, indicating inconsistency.

Low Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.02 adds financial resilience.

Institutional Sentiment: FII and DII both reduced holdings—signals caution.

🧠 Analyst Sentiment

Recent analysis suggests Graphite India is still trading below its industry PE and may be undervalued

1

. Long-term trend remains bullish, supported by historical returns of +234.9% over 5 years

2

. However, short-term momentum is cooling, and the stock is currently trading at ~59% of its 52-week range

2

.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹535–₹545: Ideal pullback zone near 50 DMA. Entry only if RSI cools below 60 and MACD remains positive.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹615–₹623: Near 52-week high and resistance zone. Exit if RSI crosses 72 or MACD flattens.

Trailing Stop: ₹548 to protect gains.

🧠 Summary

GRAPHITE offers a moderate swing setup—technicals are supportive, valuation is attractive, and long-term trend is intact. However, earnings volatility and elevated RSI warrant caution. Best suited for short-term trades with tight risk control. Entry on a mild dip offers better risk-reward.

Let me know if you'd like a filtered basket with MACD > 5, ROCE > 15%, and PEG < 1.5 for higher-conviction swing setups.

1

simplywall.st

2

stockpricearchive.com

Edit in a page