GRAPHITE - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:01 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

📊 GRAPHITE shows mixed fundamentals with strong balance sheet health but weak profitability trends. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, making it a cautious candidate for swing trading. Entry near support levels may provide limited upside.

✅ Optimal Entry Price: 530–540 ₹ (near DMA 200 support)

📈 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 600–620 ₹ resistance zone or earlier if RSI fails to recover above 50.

Positive

• 💡 Book Value (287 ₹) provides strong intrinsic support relative to current price.
• 🛡️ Very low Debt-to-Equity (0.03) ensures financial stability.
• 🌍 Increase in FII holding (+1.61%) signals foreign investor confidence.
• 📊 Trading close to DMA 200 (542 ₹), offering technical support.

Limitation

• ⚠️ RSI (36.7) and negative MACD (-8.79) indicate weak momentum.
• 📉 PAT dropped from 145 Cr. to 92 Cr., showing earnings pressure.
• 🔎 Quarterly profit variation (-49.4%) highlights instability in performance.
• 📉 ROCE (10.3%) and ROE (8.26%) are modest, reflecting limited efficiency.
• 📉 PEG ratio (-4.63) suggests valuation concerns relative to growth.

Company Negative News

• 📉 Decline in DII holding (-0.51%) reflects reduced domestic institutional confidence.
• 📉 PAT decline signals operational weakness.

Company Positive News

• 🌍 Increase in FII holding (+1.61%) shows foreign investor interest.
• 💰 Dividend Yield (1.98%) provides steady shareholder returns.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry PE (39.0) is slightly higher than GRAPHITE’s PE (35.6), suggesting fair valuation.
• 📊 Sector outlook remains cyclical, tied to industrial demand and commodity pricing.

Conclusion

🔑 GRAPHITE is a cautious swing trade candidate with strong balance sheet health but weak earnings and bearish technicals. Entry near 530–540 ₹ offers limited upside potential. Exit near 600–620 ₹ is advisable if holding, as momentum indicators remain weak and profitability trends are under pressure.

I can also prepare a side-by-side HTML comparison of GRAPHITE with GRANULES so you can evaluate which one offers stronger swing trade potential.