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GRAPHITE - Fundamental Analysis: Financial Health & Valuation

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 01:08 pm

Fundamental Rating: 3.6

Stock Code GRAPHITE Market Cap 11,705 Cr. Current Price 595 ₹ High / Low 685 ₹
Stock P/E 38.8 Book Value 287 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.85 % ROCE 10.3 %
ROE 8.26 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 603 ₹ DMA 200 562 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.17 % Chg in DII Hold 0.44 % PAT Qtr 92.0 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 145 Cr.
RSI 44.8 MACD 8.47 Volume 10,98,609 Avg Vol 1Wk 14,87,163
Low price 366 ₹ High price 685 ₹ PEG Ratio -5.04 Debt to equity 0.03
52w Index 71.9 % Qtr Profit Var -49.4 % EPS 15.5 ₹ Industry PE 38.4

📊 Core Financials

  • Revenue & Profit Growth: Quarterly PAT declined from 145 Cr. to 92 Cr., with YoY profit variation at -49.4%, showing weak earnings momentum.
  • Margins: ROE at 8.26% and ROCE at 10.3% reflect modest profitability compared to industry peers.
  • Debt Ratios: Debt-to-equity at 0.03 indicates a nearly debt-free balance sheet.
  • Cash Flows: Stable operating cash flows supported by electrode manufacturing, though cyclical demand impacts consistency.
  • Return Metrics: EPS at 15.5 ₹ is modest relative to current valuation.

💹 Valuation Indicators

  • P/E Ratio: 38.8, in line with industry PE of 38.4, suggesting fair valuation.
  • P/B Ratio: ~2.1 (Current Price / Book Value), reasonable for the sector.
  • PEG Ratio: -5.04, distorted due to declining earnings, signaling caution.
  • Intrinsic Value: Current price (595 ₹) is near fair value; upside potential depends on recovery in demand cycles.

🏢 Business Model & Competitive Advantage

  • Operates in graphite electrode manufacturing, catering to steel and alloy industries.
  • Competitive advantage lies in established market presence and global customer base.
  • Business model is cyclical, heavily dependent on steel sector demand and global commodity prices.

📈 Entry Zone & Long-Term Guidance

  • Entry Zone: Attractive accumulation range between 560 ₹ – 580 ₹ (near DMA 200).
  • Long-Term Holding: Suitable for investors with moderate risk appetite; long-term returns depend on steel demand recovery and margin improvement.

Positive

  • Debt-light balance sheet with debt-to-equity at 0.03.
  • Dividend yield of 1.85% provides income support.
  • Valuation in line with industry PE, suggesting fair pricing.
  • Strong institutional support with rising DII inflows (+0.44%).

Limitation

  • Weak profitability metrics (ROE 8.26%, ROCE 10.3%).
  • Quarterly PAT decline of -49.4% highlights earnings pressure.
  • PEG ratio signals poor growth-adjusted valuation.

Company Negative News

  • Reduction in FII holdings (-0.17%) shows cautious foreign investor sentiment.
  • Quarterly PAT decline from 145 Cr. to 92 Cr. reflects operational weakness.

Company Positive News

  • Strong dividend yield of 1.85% supports investor confidence.
  • Domestic institutional inflows (+0.44%) show local support.

Industry

  • Graphite electrode industry is cyclical, driven by steel sector demand.
  • Industry PE at 38.4 reflects fair valuations and moderate optimism.

Conclusion

  • Graphite India shows fair valuation but weak profitability and earnings pressure.
  • Debt-light structure and dividend yield are positives, but cyclical risks remain.
  • Best suited for investors with moderate risk appetite, with entry near support levels for better risk-reward.

I can also contrast Graphite India with peers like HEG Ltd to highlight relative positioning in the electrode manufacturing sector.

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