GRAPHITE - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.2

📊 Analysis: GRAPHITE shows weak intraday momentum with RSI at 36.7 and negative MACD (-8.79), indicating bearish sentiment. Current price (550 ₹) is hovering near 50 DMA (554 ₹) and slightly above 200 DMA (542 ₹), suggesting indecision around support levels. Volume (2.29L) is close to average weekly volume (2.40L), showing moderate participation. Fundamentals are modest (ROCE 10.3%, ROE 8.26%), and quarterly PAT declined sharply (-49.4%), reducing conviction for aggressive intraday trades.

💹 Optimal Buy Price: 545–550 ₹ (near support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: 560–565 ₹ (short-term resistance zone).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: 540 ₹ (below 200 DMA support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit intraday if price fails to sustain above 555 ₹ with volume confirmation, or if RSI dips below 35 with continued negative MACD. Hold only if momentum reverses above 565 ₹ with strong volume, targeting 575–580 ₹.

Positive

• ✅ Low debt-to-equity (0.03) ensures financial stability.
• ✅ Dividend yield (1.98%) adds shareholder value.
• ✅ FII holding increased (+1.61%), showing foreign investor confidence.
• ✅ Price above 200 DMA provides some technical support.

Limitation

• ⚠️ RSI at 36.7 and negative MACD (-8.79) indicate bearish momentum.
• ⚠️ Quarterly PAT decline (-49.4%) shows earnings pressure.
• ⚠️ ROCE (10.3%) and ROE (8.26%) are relatively modest.
• ⚠️ DII holding decreased (-0.51%), showing domestic investor caution.
• ⚠️ PEG ratio (-4.63) suggests valuation concerns.

Company Negative News

• ❌ No major external negative news reported, but profit decline and weak momentum indicators are concerns.

Company Positive News

• 🌟 EPS at 15.5 ₹ remains stable despite profit decline.
• 🌟 FII inflows support investor confidence.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry PE at 39.0 is slightly higher than GRAPHITE’s PE (35.6), suggesting fair valuation.
• 🏭 Sector outlook stable, supported by demand in industrial and specialty materials.

Conclusion

📌 GRAPHITE is a moderate candidate for intraday trading with weak momentum indicators and declining profits. While low debt and FII inflows provide some support, intraday trades should be approached cautiously with tight stop-loss discipline. Best suited for defensive scalps near support-resistance zones rather than aggressive intraday runs.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay against other industrial material stocks (like HEG, Rain Industries, Carbon products) to compare intraday strength and rotation opportunities?