GPIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 4.0
| Stock Code | GPIL | Market Cap | 18,194 Cr. | Current Price | 271 ₹ | High / Low | 320 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 20.4 | Book Value | 84.6 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.37 % | ROCE | 22.0 % |
| ROE | 17.2 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 282 ₹ | DMA 200 | 260 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.04 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.10 % | PAT Qtr | 294 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 149 Cr. |
| RSI | 38.3 | MACD | -4.20 | Volume | 32,21,073 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 20,08,080 |
| Low price | 175 ₹ | High price | 320 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 5.36 | Debt to equity | 0.08 |
| 52w Index | 65.8 % | Qtr Profit Var | 43.8 % | EPS | 13.7 ₹ | Industry PE | 21.8 |
GPIL shows strong fundamentals with ROCE (22%) and ROE (17.2%), supported by solid quarterly PAT growth (₹149 Cr. → ₹294 Cr.). The company has low debt-to-equity (0.08) and EPS of ₹13.7. Technical indicators are mixed: RSI at 38.3 (oversold zone) and MACD at -4.20 (bearish). The current price (₹271) is below the 50 DMA (₹282) but above the 200 DMA (₹260), suggesting near-term weakness but long-term support. The PEG ratio (5.36) indicates overvaluation relative to growth, but strong momentum and sector performance (52w Index +65.8%) make it a good swing trade candidate.
🎯 Optimal Entry Price
Entry around ₹265–₹270 (near support zone) is favorable for swing trading.
📈 Exit Strategy
If already holding, consider exiting near ₹285–₹295 (DMA resistance zone) or trail stop-loss below ₹260 for risk management.
✅ Positive
- 📌 Strong ROCE (22%) and ROE (17.2%) highlight efficiency.
- 📌 Quarterly PAT growth nearly doubled (₹149 Cr. → ₹294 Cr.).
- 📌 EPS of ₹13.7 supports earnings strength.
- 📌 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.08) ensures financial stability.
- 📌 Increased institutional interest (FII +0.04%, DII +0.10%).
⚠️ Limitation
- 📌 RSI and MACD indicate short-term weakness.
- 📌 PEG ratio of 5.36 suggests overvaluation relative to growth.
- 📌 Dividend yield is low (0.37%), limiting passive returns.
📰 Company Negative News
- 📌 No major negative news reported, but technical weakness persists.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📌 Strong quarterly profit growth and increased institutional interest.
- 📌 Robust 52-week performance (+65.8%).
🏭 Industry
- 📌 Industry P/E at 21.8 is slightly higher than GPIL’s 20.4, suggesting fair valuation.
- 📌 Metals and mining sector remains strong with cyclical demand support.
🔎 Conclusion
GPIL is a fundamentally strong stock with solid profit growth and efficiency, making it a good candidate for swing trading. Entry near ₹265–₹270 is optimal, with exit around ₹285–₹295. Risk management is essential due to technical weakness and high PEG ratio.
Would you like me to extend this with a sector outlook or a peer comparison to deepen the swing trade perspective?