GPIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

📈 Analysis: GPIL presents a strong swing trade setup with bullish technicals and solid fundamentals. The current price of ₹279 is above both the 50 DMA (₹250) and 200 DMA (₹215), confirming an uptrend. RSI at 68.8 and MACD at 9.52 suggest strong momentum but nearing overbought territory. ROCE (23.4%) and ROE (17.1%) reflect efficient capital use, and the company maintains low debt. However, the negative PEG ratio (-1.72) and slight decline in quarterly PAT raise caution. Institutional activity is mixed, with FII holdings increasing and DII slightly reducing.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price: ₹265–₹275 (on minor pullback before resistance)

🚪 Exit Strategy (if holding): Consider exiting near ₹290–₹295 (recent high zone) or if RSI crosses 75 with MACD flattening.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Price above 50 & 200 DMA — strong bullish trend
• 📊 ROCE (23.4%) and ROE (17.1%) — efficient capital deployment
• 💸 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.06) — sound financial structure
• 📈 FII holding increased (+0.12%) — foreign investor confidence
• 📈 MACD and RSI indicate strong momentum

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI nearing overbought zone — risk of short-term pullback
• 📉 PEG ratio of -1.72 — poor growth valuation
• 📉 DII holding decreased (-0.24%) — domestic investor caution
• 📉 Quarterly PAT dipped slightly — from ₹204 Cr. to ₹200 Cr.

📰 Company Negative News

• No major public negative news, but valuation and earnings contraction warrant monitoring

🌟 Company Positive News

• Strong technical breakout and rising FII interest reflect market optimism

🏭 Industry

• Industry P/E is 23.6 — GPIL trades slightly above, reflecting growth expectations
• Metals and mining sector benefits from infrastructure demand and global commodity cycles

🧾 Conclusion

GPIL is a technically strong swing trade candidate with solid fundamentals. Entry on pullback offers a tactical opportunity. Exit near resistance or on RSI/MACD reversal is advisable.

I can also help you compare GPIL’s setup with peers like Tata Steel or JSW Steel to refine your swing strategy.