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GPIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 20 Mar 26, 12:29 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

Stock Code GPIL Market Cap 16,833 Cr. Current Price 251 ₹ High / Low 290 ₹
Stock P/E 21.0 Book Value 75.4 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.40 % ROCE 23.4 %
ROE 17.1 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 257 ₹ DMA 200 239 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.73 % Chg in DII Hold 0.10 % PAT Qtr 149 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 248 Cr.
RSI 45.6 MACD -1.23 Volume 8,94,012 Avg Vol 1Wk 18,89,145
Low price 168 ₹ High price 290 ₹ PEG Ratio -1.35 Debt to equity 0.03
52w Index 67.8 % Qtr Profit Var 9.42 % EPS 12.0 ₹ Industry PE 17.9

📊 GPIL shows moderate swing trade potential. The RSI at 45.6 is neutral, while MACD (-1.23) indicates weak momentum. Fundamentals are decent with ROCE at 23.4% and ROE at 17.1%, but valuation is slightly stretched with a P/E of 21.0 compared to industry average (17.9). The optimal entry price would be near support around 245–250 ₹. If already holding, consider exiting near resistance around 257–265 ₹ unless momentum strengthens.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROCE (23.4%) and ROE (17.1%) highlight efficiency
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 shows financial stability
  • Quarterly profit growth (PAT up from 193 Cr. to 426 Cr.)
  • Stock trading above 200 DMA (239 ₹), showing longer-term strength

⚠️ Limitation

  • P/E ratio (21.0) slightly above industry average (17.9)
  • Negative PEG ratio (-1.35) reflects growth concerns
  • Decline in FII holdings (-0.73%) shows reduced foreign investor confidence
  • Quarterly profit dropped from 248 Cr. to 149 Cr.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Sharp decline in quarterly profit
  • Reduced foreign investor confidence (FII holdings down)

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased by 0.10%, showing domestic support
  • Strong 52-week performance (67.8%)
  • EPS of 12.0 ₹ supports earnings visibility

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 17.9, slightly lower than GPIL’s 21.0, suggesting mild overvaluation
  • Steel and mining sector demand remains cyclical but resilient

🔎 Conclusion

GPIL is financially stable with strong efficiency ratios and sector resilience, but profit decline and valuation concerns limit swing trade attractiveness. Entry around 245–250 ₹ is optimal, with exit near 257–265 ₹ if resistance holds. Long-term investors may continue holding due to strong fundamentals, while swing traders should remain cautious until momentum indicators improve.

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