GPIL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators
Back to ListTechnical Rating: 3.9
| Stock Code | GPIL | Market Cap | 19,109 Cr. | Current Price | 284 ₹ | High / Low | 320 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 21.4 | Book Value | 84.6 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.35 % | ROCE | 22.0 % |
| ROE | 17.2 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 285 ₹ | DMA 200 | 257 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.04 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.10 % | PAT Qtr | 294 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 149 Cr. |
| RSI | 43.9 | MACD | -0.52 | Volume | 16,68,650 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 33,79,097 |
| Low price | 175 ₹ | High price | 320 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 5.63 | Debt to equity | 0.08 |
| 52w Index | 75.1 % | Qtr Profit Var | 43.8 % | EPS | 13.7 ₹ | Industry PE | 22.1 |
📊 GPIL is trading at 284 ₹, almost equal to its 50 DMA (285 ₹) and comfortably above its 200 DMA (257 ₹), showing medium-term strength but short-term indecision. RSI at 43.9 indicates weak momentum, leaning toward oversold territory. MACD at -0.52 is slightly negative, signaling mild bearish bias. Bollinger Bands show price near the lower-middle range, suggesting consolidation. Current volume (16,68,650) is significantly below the 1-week average (33,79,097), reflecting reduced participation and limited breakout potential.
- 💰 Optimal Buy Price: 275 – 285 ₹ (support near DMA levels)
- 📈 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: 300 ₹ (first resistance), 315 – 320 ₹ (52-week high resistance)
- 📉 Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: 270 ₹ (below support)
- ⏱️ Trend Status: Consolidating with mild bearish bias; reversal possible if price sustains above 300 ₹.
Positive
✅ Strong quarterly PAT growth (294 Cr. vs 149 Cr.).
✅ ROCE at 22% and ROE at 17.2% reflect efficient capital use.
✅ EPS at 13.7 ₹ supports earnings base.
✅ Debt-to-equity at 0.08 indicates low leverage.
✅ Institutional inflows (FII +0.04%, DII +0.10%) show investor confidence.
Limitation
⚠️ RSI below 50 indicates weak momentum.
⚠️ MACD negative crossover signals short-term weakness.
⚠️ PEG ratio of 5.63 suggests overvaluation relative to growth.
⚠️ Volume participation is weak compared to average, limiting breakout potential.
Company Negative News
🚫 Valuation concerns due to high PEG ratio.
🚫 Weak technical momentum with MACD negative and RSI subdued.
Company Positive News
🌟 Strong quarterly earnings growth and improved profitability.
🌟 Institutional inflows reflect confidence.
🌟 Price trading above 200 DMA confirms medium-term bullish structure.
Industry
🏭 Industry P/E at 22.1 is slightly higher than GPIL’s 21.4, showing fair valuation relative to peers.
🏭 Metals and mining sector outlook remains positive with commodity demand support.
Conclusion
📌 GPIL is consolidating near its 50 DMA with weak short-term momentum but strong medium-term structure. Best strategy is cautious accumulation near 275 – 285 ₹ with profit booking around 300 – 315 ₹, maintaining a strict stop-loss near 270 ₹.
Would you like me to extend this into a swing trade overlay with 1–2 week holding logic, or keep the focus strictly on this intraday technical view?