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GPIL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 3.8

Stock Code GPIL Market Cap 16,295 Cr. Current Price 243 ₹ High / Low 290 ₹
Stock P/E 20.6 Book Value 75.4 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.41 % ROCE 23.4 %
ROE 17.1 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 252 ₹ DMA 200 232 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.73 % Chg in DII Hold 0.10 % PAT Qtr 248 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 200 Cr.
RSI 43.4 MACD -1.72 Volume 29,26,945 Avg Vol 1Wk 23,26,770
Low price 146 ₹ High price 290 ₹ PEG Ratio -1.33 Debt to equity 0.03
52w Index 67.3 % Qtr Profit Var 60.7 % EPS 11.8 ₹ Industry PE 18.7

📈 Chart & Trend Analysis: GPIL is trading at ₹243, below its 50 DMA (₹252) but above the 200 DMA (₹232). This indicates short-term weakness but medium-term support. RSI at 43.4 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while MACD at -1.72 signals mild bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands show price near the lower band, reflecting pressure and possible consolidation.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (29.3 lakh) is higher than the 1-week average (23.2 lakh), suggesting active participation despite bearish signals, which may support a potential rebound.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹235 – ₹245 (support near 200 DMA)

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹265 – ₹275 (resistance near 50 DMA and upper consolidation zone)

🔎 Trend Status: Consolidating with bearish bias — price is struggling below the 50 DMA, with weak RSI and negative MACD confirming downside pressure. A bounce from oversold levels could trigger short-term recovery.


Positive ✅

  • Strong ROCE (23.4%) and ROE (17.1%) indicate efficient capital use.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 shows negligible leverage risk.
  • Quarterly PAT growth (₹248 Cr vs ₹200 Cr) reflects earnings momentum.
  • 52-week performance index gain of 67.3% highlights long-term strength.

Limitation ⚠️

  • Price trading below 50 DMA indicates short-term weakness.
  • High P/E of 20.6 compared to industry average (18.7) suggests stretched valuations.
  • PEG ratio of -1.33 highlights weak growth-adjusted valuation.
  • Dividend yield of 0.41% is relatively low.

Company Negative News 📉

  • Decline in FII holdings (-0.73%) suggests reduced foreign investor confidence.

Company Positive News 📈

  • Quarterly profit growth of 60.7% shows strong earnings momentum.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.10%), reflecting domestic institutional support.

Industry 🌐

  • Industry P/E at 18.7 suggests sector trades at fair valuations.
  • Steel and mining sector benefits from infrastructure demand and commodity cycles.

Conclusion 📝

GPIL is consolidating with bearish bias, trading below its 50 DMA but supported by the 200 DMA. RSI and MACD confirm weakness, though higher-than-average volume suggests potential rebound. Entry near ₹235–₹245 offers margin of safety, while exits around ₹265–₹275 provide profit-taking opportunities. Fundamentally strong with high ROCE and low debt, but stretched valuations and weak PEG ratio limit upside. Traders may play the consolidation range, while long-term investors can accumulate selectively for exposure to steel and mining sector growth.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay (comparing GPIL against steel/mining peers like Tata Steel, JSW Steel, NMDC) so you can evaluate relative strength and sector rotation opportunities?

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