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GODFRYPHLP - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:16 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

Stock Code GODFRYPHLP Market Cap 31,872 Cr. Current Price 2,043 ₹ High / Low 3,947 ₹
Stock P/E 24.9 Book Value 306 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.55 % ROCE 29.4 %
ROE 22.2 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,408 ₹ DMA 200 2,682 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.21 % Chg in DII Hold 0.09 % PAT Qtr 354 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 304 Cr.
RSI 37.8 MACD -143 Volume 3,21,899 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,83,220
Low price 1,507 ₹ High price 3,947 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.70 Debt to equity 0.04
52w Index 21.9 % Qtr Profit Var 5.95 % EPS 81.0 ₹ Industry PE 20.8

📊 Godfrey Phillips shows strong fundamentals with healthy ROCE and ROE, low debt, and consistent profitability. However, technical indicators (RSI at 37.8, MACD strongly negative, price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA) suggest bearish momentum. It is a cautious candidate for swing trading, suitable only with strict stop-loss levels.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 1,950–2,000 ₹ (near current support zone).
📈 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider booking profits near 2,350–2,400 ₹ resistance, or exit if price falls below 1,900 ₹.

Positive ✅

  • ROCE (29.4%) and ROE (22.2%) reflect strong efficiency.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 shows negligible leverage risk.
  • Quarterly PAT growth from 304 Cr. to 354 Cr. (+5.95%) indicates earnings stability.
  • EPS of 81 ₹ supports profitability visibility.
  • Dividend yield of 1.55% provides moderate income stability.
  • PEG ratio of 0.70 suggests fair valuation relative to growth.

Limitation ⚠️

  • P/E of 24.9 slightly above industry average (20.8), indicating premium valuation.
  • Price trading below both 50 DMA (2,408 ₹) and 200 DMA (2,682 ₹), showing weak momentum.
  • MACD negative (-143) signals strong bearish undertone.
  • RSI at 37.8 indicates oversold conditions but also weak momentum.
  • Trading volume below 1-week average, suggesting reduced participation.

Company Negative News 📉

  • No major negative news reported, but weak technical signals are a concern.

Company Positive News 📈

  • Stable quarterly profit growth.
  • Slight increase in FII (+0.21%) and DII (+0.09%) holdings shows institutional support.

Industry 🌐

  • Industry P/E at 20.8 highlights sector trades at fair valuation.
  • Tobacco and FMCG sector benefits from steady demand and pricing power.

Conclusion 📝

Godfrey Phillips is fundamentally strong with solid efficiency and low debt, but technical indicators show bearish momentum. Entry near 1,950–2,000 ₹ offers limited risk. Exit around 2,350–2,400 ₹ or below 1,900 ₹ if trend weakens. Suitable for cautious swing trading, but investors should remain alert to weak technical signals and limited short-term upside.

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