GODFRYPHLP - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | GODFRYPHLP | Market Cap | 31,139 Cr. | Current Price | 1,996 ₹ | High / Low | 3,947 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 24.4 | Book Value | 306 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.59 % | ROCE | 29.4 % |
| ROE | 22.2 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 2,193 ₹ | DMA 200 | 2,535 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.21 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.09 % | PAT Qtr | 354 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 304 Cr. |
| RSI | 42.7 | MACD | -43.3 | Volume | 2,50,516 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 3,05,472 |
| Low price | 1,877 ₹ | High price | 3,947 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.69 | Debt to equity | 0.04 |
| 52w Index | 5.74 % | Qtr Profit Var | 5.95 % | EPS | 81.0 ₹ | Industry PE | 20.1 |
📊 Godfrey Phillips shows moderate swing trade potential. The RSI at 42.7 is neutral, while MACD (-43.3) indicates weak momentum. Fundamentals are strong with ROCE at 29.4% and ROE at 22.2%, but valuation is slightly stretched with a P/E of 24.4 compared to industry average (20.1). The optimal entry price would be near support around 1,950–2,000 ₹. If already holding, consider exiting near resistance around 2,190–2,200 ₹ unless momentum strengthens.
✅ Positive
- Strong profitability metrics: ROCE 29.4%, ROE 22.2%
- Quarterly profit growth (PAT up from 304 Cr. to 354 Cr.)
- EPS of 81 ₹ supports earnings strength
- Dividend yield of 1.59% adds shareholder value
- PEG ratio of 0.69 indicates growth is reasonably priced
⚠️ Limitation
- P/E ratio (24.4) above industry average (20.1)
- Weak technical indicators: RSI neutral, MACD negative
- Price trading below both 50 DMA (2,193 ₹) and 200 DMA (2,535 ₹)
- 52-week performance relatively weak (5.74%)
📉 Company Negative News
- Stock underperforming relative to 52-week high (3,947 ₹)
- Weak technical momentum with MACD negative
📈 Company Positive News
- Quarterly profit growth of 5.95%
- Increase in institutional holdings (FII +0.21%, DII +0.09%)
- Dividend yield supports investor returns
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 20.1, lower than Godfrey Phillips’ 24.4, suggesting mild overvaluation
- Tobacco and FMCG sector remains resilient with steady demand
🔎 Conclusion
Godfrey Phillips is fundamentally strong with solid profitability and dividend support, but technical weakness and mild overvaluation limit swing trade attractiveness. Entry around 1,950–2,000 ₹ is optimal, with exit near 2,190–2,200 ₹ if resistance holds. Long-term investors may continue holding due to strong fundamentals, while swing traders should remain cautious until momentum indicators improve.