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GODFRYPHLP - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 05 May 26, 03:23 pm

📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

Stock Code GODFRYPHLP Market Cap 34,571 Cr. Current Price 2,216 ₹ High / Low 3,947 ₹
Stock P/E 27.0 Book Value 306 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.43 % ROCE 29.4 %
ROE 22.2 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,124 ₹ DMA 200 2,423 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.24 % Chg in DII Hold -0.93 % PAT Qtr 354 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 304 Cr.
RSI 58.2 MACD 47.6 Volume 4,93,580 Avg Vol 1Wk 15,24,233
Low price 1,832 ₹ High price 3,947 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.76 Debt to equity 0.04
52w Index 18.2 % Qtr Profit Var 5.95 % EPS 81.0 ₹ Industry PE 16.7

GODFRYPHLP shows decent fundamentals but faces valuation and liquidity challenges, making it a moderate candidate for swing trading. The stock trades at a P/E of 27.0, higher than the industry average of 16.7, though efficiency metrics like ROCE (29.4%) and ROE (22.2%) remain strong. Technical indicators (RSI 58.2, MACD 47.6) suggest bullish momentum. The optimal entry price would be near the 50 DMA level of ₹2,100–2,150. If already holding, consider exiting around ₹2,350–2,400, near resistance levels but below the 200 DMA.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROCE (29.4%) and ROE (22.2%) indicate efficient capital use.
  • Quarterly PAT growth from ₹304 Cr. to ₹354 Cr. (+5.95%).
  • EPS of ₹81 supports earnings stability.
  • PEG ratio (0.76) suggests fair valuation relative to growth.
  • Dividend yield of 1.43% provides moderate income.

⚠️ Limitation

  • P/E ratio (27.0) is higher than industry average (16.7).
  • Trading volume significantly below 1-week average, reducing liquidity.
  • Stock trading below 200 DMA, showing medium-term weakness.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Decline in institutional holdings (FII -0.24%, DII -0.93%).
  • Weak 52-week index performance (18.2%), showing underperformance.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit growth supports earnings momentum.
  • Strong efficiency metrics (ROCE and ROE).
  • Dividend yield provides investor appeal.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E is 16.7, lower than GODFRYPHLP’s 27.0, suggesting relative overvaluation.
  • Tobacco and FMCG sector remains resilient but faces regulatory challenges.

🔎 Conclusion

GODFRYPHLP is a fundamentally strong but relatively overvalued stock, making it a cautious swing trade candidate. Entry near ₹2,100–2,150 offers a safer setup, while profit booking should be considered around ₹2,350–2,400. Traders should monitor liquidity and institutional activity for confirmation.

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