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GODFRYPHLP - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 19 Mar 26, 08:56 pm

Technical Rating: 3.6

Stock Code GODFRYPHLP Market Cap 31,927 Cr. Current Price 2,044 ₹ High / Low 3,947 ₹
Stock P/E 25.0 Book Value 306 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.55 % ROCE 29.4 %
ROE 22.2 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,201 ₹ DMA 200 2,540 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.21 % Chg in DII Hold 0.09 % PAT Qtr 354 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 304 Cr.
RSI 45.4 MACD -41.4 Volume 2,71,417 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,20,199
Low price 1,877 ₹ High price 3,947 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.71 Debt to equity 0.04
52w Index 8.05 % Qtr Profit Var 5.95 % EPS 81.0 ₹ Industry PE 20.7

📊 Chart & Trend: GODFRYPHLP is trading at ₹2,044, below both its 50 DMA (₹2,201) and 200 DMA (₹2,540), reflecting weakness. RSI at 45.4 suggests neutral-to-bearish momentum, while MACD (-41.4) confirms bearish undertones. Bollinger Bands show price leaning toward the lower band, signaling selling pressure and consolidation.

📈 Momentum Signals: Volume (2.71L) is lower than the 1-week average (3.20L), showing reduced participation. RSI below 50 indicates mild weakness, while MACD suggests continuation of bearish bias.

💡 Entry Zone: ₹2,000–₹2,030 (support zone).

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹2,200–₹2,250 (resistance). A breakout above ₹2,250 could open room toward ₹2,300.

📌 Trend Status: The stock is currently consolidating with bearish bias after correcting from its high of ₹3,947, showing sideways-to-downward movement around key averages.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (29.4%) and ROE (22.2%) highlight efficient capital use.
  • EPS of ₹81.0 reflects solid profitability.
  • Quarterly PAT growth (₹354 Cr vs ₹304 Cr) shows earnings momentum.
  • Dividend yield of 1.55% adds income appeal.

Limitation

  • Stock P/E (25.0) is higher than industry PE (20.7), suggesting premium valuation.
  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA reflects technical weakness.
  • 52-week index gain of only 8.05% highlights underperformance relative to peers.

Company Negative News

  • Sequential weakness in trading volumes may limit momentum.
  • Stock corrected sharply from its 52-week high of ₹3,947, showing volatility.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly profit growth of 5.95% supports earnings strength.
  • Increase in FII (+0.21%) and DII (+0.09%) holdings signals institutional confidence.
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.04) ensures financial stability.

Industry

  • Tobacco and FMCG sector enjoys steady demand but faces regulatory challenges.
  • Industry PE (20.7) is lower than GODFRYPHLP’s P/E, suggesting premium valuation.
  • Peers trade at moderate valuations, positioning GODFRYPHLP as a premium play.

Conclusion

⚖️ GODFRYPHLP is consolidating with bearish undertones, trading below key moving averages. Fundamentals remain strong (high ROCE/ROE, EPS growth, dividend yield), but valuation is stretched and technical signals suggest caution. Entry near ₹2,000–₹2,030 offers a margin of safety, with exits around ₹2,200–₹2,250. Long-term investors may hold for profitability and institutional support, while traders should wait for a breakout above ₹2,250 for momentum trades.

Selva, would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay against FMCG/tobacco players like ITC, VST Industries, and Godrej Consumer? That would highlight relative strength and sector rotation opportunities alongside GODFRYPHLP.

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