DABUR - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.9
| Stock Code | DABUR | Market Cap | 78,308 Cr. | Current Price | 442 ₹ | High / Low | 577 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 53.7 | Book Value | 41.0 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.81 % | ROCE | 24.6 % |
| ROE | 19.6 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 457 ₹ | DMA 200 | 490 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.07 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.17 % | PAT Qtr | 451 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 349 Cr. |
| RSI | 47.1 | MACD | 0.20 | Volume | 15,03,529 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 9,77,008 |
| Low price | 401 ₹ | High price | 577 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -79.0 | Debt to equity | 0.07 |
| 52w Index | 23.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | 7.93 % | EPS | 8.15 ₹ | Industry PE | 42.5 |
Analysis: Dabur (DABUR) shows a mixed outlook for swing trading. Current price (442 ₹) is below both DMA 50 (457 ₹) and DMA 200 (490 ₹), indicating weak technical momentum. RSI at 47.1 suggests neutral to slightly oversold conditions, while MACD (0.20) shows minimal bullish strength. Fundamentals are decent with ROCE (24.6%) and ROE (19.6%), supported by low debt-to-equity (0.07). Quarterly PAT improved (451 Cr. vs 349 Cr.), with profit variation of 7.93% showing resilience. However, valuation is stretched with P/E of 53.7 compared to industry PE of 42.5, and PEG ratio (-79.0) highlights growth concerns despite strong EPS (8.15 ₹).
Optimal Entry Price: Around 430–440 ₹ (near support zone).
Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider booking profits near 465–480 ₹ unless momentum sustains above 490 ₹ resistance.
✅ Positive
- Strong ROCE (24.6%) and ROE (19.6%).
- Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.07) ensures financial stability.
- Quarterly PAT growth (451 Cr. vs 349 Cr.) shows improving performance.
- DII holdings increased (+0.17%), reflecting domestic investor confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- High P/E (53.7) compared to industry average (42.5).
- FII holdings decreased (-0.07%), showing reduced foreign interest.
- Stock trading below DMA 50 and DMA 200 indicates weak technicals.
- PEG ratio (-79.0) suggests poor growth prospects.
📰 Company Negative News
- No major negative news reported, but premium valuation and weak technicals are concerns.
🌟 Company Positive News
- Quarterly profit growth supports investor sentiment.
- Strong efficiency metrics (ROCE and ROE).
- Domestic institutional investors increased their stake.
🏭 Industry
- Industry P/E at 42.5 suggests Dabur trades at a premium.
- FMCG sector remains resilient with steady demand growth.
📌 Conclusion
Dabur is a moderate candidate for swing trading. Entry around 430–440 ₹ offers a safer risk-reward setup, while exit near 465–480 ₹ is advisable unless momentum sustains above 490 ₹. Strong fundamentals and profit growth are positives, but premium valuation and weak technicals warrant cautious optimism.
Would you like me to extend this with a technical chart outlook, peer comparison, or sector growth analysis?