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DABUR - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 07:38 pm

Technical Rating: 3.8

Stock Code DABUR Market Cap 78,947 Cr. Current Price 445 ₹ High / Low 577 ₹
Stock P/E 52.5 Book Value 42.4 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.80 % ROCE 25.1 %
ROE 20.1 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 458 ₹ DMA 200 485 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.07 % Chg in DII Hold 0.17 % PAT Qtr 296 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 451 Cr.
RSI 44.0 MACD -1.14 Volume 13,51,404 Avg Vol 1Wk 15,00,710
Low price 401 ₹ High price 577 ₹ PEG Ratio 18.7 Debt to equity 0.08
52w Index 25.2 % Qtr Profit Var 18.0 % EPS 8.41 ₹ Industry PE 43.0

📈 Chart & Trend Analysis: DABUR is trading at ₹445, below both its 50 DMA (₹458) and 200 DMA (₹485), signaling weakness. RSI at 44.0 suggests bearish momentum but not oversold. MACD at -1.14 confirms negative divergence. Bollinger Bands show price leaning toward the lower band, indicating downside pressure with support near ₹440–₹445.

🔎 Momentum Signals: Current volume (13.5L) is slightly below the 1-week average (15.0L), showing reduced participation. Short-term momentum remains weak, but oversold conditions could trigger a rebound if support holds.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹440–₹450 (support cluster)

🚪 Exit Zone: ₹470–₹480 (resistance near 50 DMA)

🛑 Stop-Loss: ₹430 (below recent support)

📊 Trend Status: Reversing to bearish bias; consolidation possible if price stabilizes around ₹445.


Positive

  • Strong ROE (20.1%) and ROCE (25.1%) highlight efficiency.
  • Dividend yield at 1.80% provides steady returns.
  • Low debt-to-equity (0.08) ensures financial stability.
  • Quarterly profit variation (+18%) shows sequential improvement.

Limitation

  • Trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates technical weakness.
  • High P/E (52.5) compared to industry PE (43.0) signals overvaluation.
  • PEG ratio (18.7) suggests growth is already priced in.
  • EPS at ₹8.41 is modest relative to valuation.

Company Negative News

  • PAT dropped from ₹451 Cr. to ₹296 Cr., showing earnings pressure.
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.07%), reflecting reduced foreign investor confidence.

Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+0.17%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Stock trading near support levels may attract accumulation.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 43.0 is lower than DABUR’s 52.5, highlighting premium valuation.
  • FMCG sector remains resilient with strong demand for consumer health and wellness products.

Conclusion

⚠️ DABUR is showing bearish reversal signals with price below key moving averages and weak momentum indicators. Entry around ₹440–₹450 offers cautious accumulation, with exit targets at ₹470–₹480. Strong fundamentals and sector resilience support long-term stability, but high valuations and weak technicals warrant defensive positioning.

Would you like me to expand this into a FMCG sector overlay comparing peers like HUL and Marico, or keep it focused as a single DABUR swing trade report?

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