DABUR - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.0

📊 Analysis: DABUR is trading at ₹494, below both 50 DMA (₹508) and 200 DMA (₹512), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 33.8 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD (-5.02) confirms bearish momentum. Intraday volume (6.93 Lakh) is below average (9.55 Lakh), showing reduced participation. The stock is closer to its 52-week low (₹420) than its high (₹577), suggesting pressure but also potential for short-term bounce.

• 💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹490–₹495 range if support near ₹485 holds.
• 📈 Profit-Taking Exit Levels: ₹505 (minor resistance), ₹512 (200 DMA resistance).
• ⚠️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹485 (below intraday support).
• ⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider exiting near ₹505–₹512 if momentum fails; cut positions if price breaks below ₹485 with rising volume.

Positive

• 📌 Strong ROCE (24.6%) and ROE (19.6%) — efficient capital use.
• 📌 Dividend yield of 1.62% — attractive for investors.
• 📌 EPS at ₹8.04 provides earnings stability.
• 📌 DII holding increased by 1.13% — domestic institutions showing confidence.
• 📌 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.07) — financially sound.

Limitation

• ⚠️ Current price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA — weak technical setup.
• ⚠️ RSI oversold but MACD bearish — momentum conflict.
• ⚠️ Intraday volume below average — weak participation.
• ⚠️ High P/E (61.5 vs industry 49.7) — overvaluation risk.
• ⚠️ PEG ratio (-90.5) indicates poor growth relative to valuation.

Company Negative News

• ❌ Quarterly PAT declined from ₹407 Cr. to ₹349 Cr. (down 14%).
• ❌ FII holding decreased by -0.97% — foreign investor sentiment weakening.

Company Positive News

• ✅ Dividend yield and strong ROCE/ROE support fundamentals.
• ✅ DII confidence reflected in increased holdings.
• ✅ EPS stability despite profit decline.

Industry

• 🏦 Industry P/E at 49.7 — sector moderately valued.
• 🏦 DABUR trades at a premium (P/E 61.5), reflecting brand strength but valuation risk.

Conclusion

⚖️ DABUR is a weak-to-moderate intraday candidate today due to bearish momentum and below-average volume. Traders may attempt cautious entries near ₹490–₹495 with stop-loss at ₹485 and aim for exits between ₹505–₹512. Oversold RSI may trigger short-term bounces, but overall trend remains pressured, making it suitable only for defensive scalps.

Would you like me to extend this into a FMCG sector basket overlay so you can benchmark DABUR against peers like HUL, Nestle, and Marico for intraday rotation setups?