CRISIL - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.5

📉 Is CRISIL Ready for Swing Trading?

CRISIL is fundamentally impressive but technically weak right now, suggesting low conviction for a short-term swing trade setup.

✅ Strengths

💪 ROCE (35.6%) & ROE (27.8%) — elite profitability metrics

💸 Debt-to-equity: 0.11 — financially sound

📊 EPS of ₹99.5 with quarterly profit growth (+14.3%)

📈 FII holding marginally up, showing some institutional interest

⚠️ Weaknesses

📉 RSI (31.0) — oversold zone, signaling weakness rather than rebound

❌ MACD -40.8 — sharp bearish divergence, not swing-friendly

📉 Below 50-DMA (₹5,587), struggling to hold above 200-DMA (₹5,142)

💤 Volume well below average — thin participation

🚨 P/E of 53.5 vs Industry PE of 31.8 — overvalued

📉 PEG of 3.34 — expensive relative to growth

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Wait-and-Watch Zone: ₹5,150–₹5,200 — near 200-DMA support

Only enter if

RSI rebounds above 45

MACD flattens, signaling slowdown of bearish trend

Volume picks up toward 40K+

Stop-Loss: ₹5,050 — just under 200-DMA

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Initial Target: ₹5,500–₹5,550 — toward 50-DMA

Extended Target: ₹5,850+ — only if trend reverses with strong volume

Trailing Stop: Adjust to ₹5,300 once ₹5,500 is crossed

🧠 Final Takeaway

This stock’s fundamentals deserve attention, but its current technical setup spells caution. If you're already holding, a rebound toward moving average levels could offer a graceful exit. New entries should be patient, waiting for momentum to turn before risking capital.

Looking for swing trades in the financials or analytics space with more bullish setups? I’ve got a few names that might spark your radar. Say the word. 📡

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