CRISIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.4
| Stock Code | CRISIL | Market Cap | 34,280 Cr. | Current Price | 4,690 ₹ | High / Low | 6,330 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 51.3 | Book Value | 271 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.53 % | ROCE | 39.0 % |
| ROE | 36.5 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 4,606 ₹ | DMA 200 | 4,812 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.14 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.08 % | PAT Qtr | 137 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 194 Cr. |
| RSI | 53.5 | MACD | 50.8 | Volume | 51,948 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 64,702 |
| Low price | 3,894 ₹ | High price | 6,330 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 4.70 | Debt to equity | 0.12 |
| 52w Index | 32.7 % | Qtr Profit Var | -31.7 % | EPS | 91.3 ₹ | Industry PE | 34.0 |
📊 CRISIL has strong fundamentals with high ROCE and ROE, but valuations are stretched compared to industry averages. Recent profit decline and reduced institutional holdings add caution. Technical indicators show moderate strength, making it a fair swing trade candidate with limited upside.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: 4,600–4,650 ₹ (near 50 DMA support).
🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 4,950–5,000 ₹ (resistance zone close to 200 DMA) or if RSI rises above 60 with sustained momentum.
✅ Positive
- Strong ROCE (39.0%) and ROE (36.5%) indicate excellent capital efficiency.
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12 shows low leverage risk.
- EPS of 91.3 ₹ reflects strong profitability.
- MACD at 50.8 indicates positive momentum.
- Stock trading above 50 DMA (4,606 ₹), showing short-term strength.
⚠️ Limitation
- P/E ratio (51.3) is higher than industry average (34.0), suggesting overvaluation.
- PEG ratio of 4.70 highlights expensive growth prospects.
- Dividend yield of 0.53% is low, limiting investor returns.
- Volume lower than weekly average, showing reduced trading interest.
📉 Company Negative News
- PAT declined from 194 Cr. to 137 Cr. (-31.7%), showing earnings pressure.
- FII holdings decreased (-0.14%) and DII holdings decreased (-0.08%), reflecting reduced institutional confidence.
📈 Company Positive News
- Strong ROCE and ROE highlight efficient capital utilization.
- MACD positive, suggesting short-term bullish momentum.
- Stock trading above 50 DMA, showing resilience despite earnings decline.
🏭 Industry
- Financial services and rating sector benefits from regulatory demand and corporate credit growth.
- Industry PE at 34.0 is lower than CRISIL’s valuation, showing premium pricing.
🔎 Conclusion
CRISIL is a moderately strong swing trade candidate with excellent fundamentals but stretched valuations and recent profit decline. Entry near 4,600–4,650 ₹ is favorable, with exit around 4,950–5,000 ₹. Traders should monitor RSI, MACD, and institutional flows closely before committing.