CRISIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

✅ Strengths

ROCE (39.0%) and ROE (36.5%) — excellent capital efficiency.

EPS ₹100 and Qtr Profit Var +51.4% — strong earnings momentum.

Debt-to-equity 0.12 — low leverage, financially sound.

FII holding increased (+0.39%) — mild foreign institutional support.

Long-term price forecast suggests potential upside to ₹5,422–₹6,732 by end of 2025

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⚠️ Weaknesses

MACD at -79.3 and RSI at 42.3 — bearish momentum, no reversal signal yet.

Price below DMA50 (₹5,231) and DMA200 (₹5,142) — short-term trend under pressure.

Volume below average — weak participation.

P/E of 50.2 vs industry 36.9 — premium valuation.

PEG ratio 4.60 — expensive relative to growth.

DII holding dipped (-0.32%) — domestic sentiment softening.

52w Index at 36.9% — trading near lower range, no breakout confirmation.

🧭 Trend Context (September 2025)

CRISIL has shown a mixed trend recently, with three consecutive positive sessions hinting at a potential recovery

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. Analysts project a mid-year target of ₹5,093 and a year-end target of ₹5,422, with bullish scenarios extending to ₹6,732

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. However, current technical indicators suggest caution for immediate swing entry.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Ideal entry: ₹4,950–₹5,000, near support zone and volume shelf.

Confirm entry only if RSI crosses 48 and MACD flattens with volume >20K.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target zone: ₹5,420–₹5,600 (aligned with analyst targets and resistance band).

Stop-loss: ₹4,850 (below recent swing low and psychological support).

Exit trigger: RSI > 65 or MACD divergence near ₹5,600.

This setup is fundamentally strong but technically weak. If you're basket-optimizing across financial analytics or mid-cap defensives, I can scan for peers with stronger MACD and PEG profiles. Just say the word.

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