CRISIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.7
| Stock Code | CRISIL | Market Cap | 30,171 Cr. | Current Price | 4,128 ₹ | High / Low | 6,330 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 50.4 | Book Value | 277 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.61 % | ROCE | 31.9 % |
| ROE | 29.5 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 4,071 ₹ | DMA 200 | 4,409 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.49 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.52 % | PAT Qtr | 113 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 153 Cr. |
| RSI | 58.4 | MACD | -2.74 | Volume | 65,500 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 51,097 |
| Low price | 3,686 ₹ | High price | 6,330 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 3.22 | Debt to equity | 0.12 |
| 52w Index | 16.7 % | Qtr Profit Var | -12.6 % | EPS | 81.8 ₹ | Industry PE | 29.4 |
CRISIL shows moderate potential for swing trading. The fundamentals are strong with ROCE at 31.9% and ROE at 29.5%, supported by low debt-to-equity (0.12). Valuation is stretched with a P/E of 50.4 compared to the industry average of 29.4, and PEG ratio of 3.22 suggests expensive growth. Technical indicators are mixed — RSI at 58.4 indicates stable momentum, while MACD at -2.74 signals mild bearishness. Quarterly PAT declined (153 Cr. → 113 Cr.), raising concerns about earnings consistency. Institutional activity is balanced, with FII holding down (-0.49%) and DII holding up (+0.52%). Overall, CRISIL is fundamentally strong but technically weak, making it a cautious swing trade candidate.
Optimal Entry Price: 4,050–4,100 ₹ (near DMA 50 support)
Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 4,250–4,300 ₹ resistance or if RSI rises above 65.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Strong ROCE of 31.9% and ROE of 29.5%.
- 💰 Dividend yield of 0.61% provides income support.
- 📊 EPS of 81.8 ₹ indicates solid earnings power.
- 📉 Support near DMA 50 at 4,071 ₹ offers a favorable entry zone.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📌 High P/E ratio of 50.4 vs industry average of 29.4.
- 📌 PEG ratio of 3.22 suggests expensive valuation relative to growth.
- 📌 MACD (-2.74) signals mild bearish trend.
📰 Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly PAT decline (153 Cr. → 113 Cr.).
- 📉 Reduction in FII holding (-0.49%).
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 Increase in DII holding (+0.52%).
- 📈 Strong profitability ratios compared to peers.
- 📈 Stable dividend payout history.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Financial services and rating agency sector benefits from rising demand for credit analysis and advisory services.
- 📌 Industry P/E at 29.4, showing CRISIL trades at a premium valuation.
📌 Conclusion
CRISIL is fundamentally strong with excellent profitability and low debt, but valuations are stretched and technical indicators suggest caution. Entry near 4,050–4,100 ₹ offers better risk-reward, while exit near 4,250–4,300 ₹ is optimal. Traders should monitor RSI and quarterly earnings closely for confirmation of momentum before entering positions.