CRISIL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.0
| Stock Code | CRISIL | Market Cap | 29,207 Cr. | Current Price | 3,994 ₹ | High / Low | 6,330 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 47.5 | Book Value | 277 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.90 % | ROCE | 34.0 % |
| ROE | 32.2 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 4,418 ₹ | DMA 200 | 4,703 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.14 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.08 % | PAT Qtr | 153 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 137 Cr. |
| RSI | 30.0 | MACD | -143 | Volume | 82,999 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 58,399 |
| Low price | 3,894 ₹ | High price | 6,330 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 2.48 | Debt to equity | 0.12 |
| 52w Index | 4.10 % | Qtr Profit Var | -25.6 % | EPS | 84.1 ₹ | Industry PE | 34.9 |
Analysis: CRISIL Ltd shows strong fundamentals with ROCE at 34.0% and ROE at 32.2%, supported by low debt-to-equity (0.12). At ₹3,994, the stock is trading below both its 50 DMA (₹4,418) and 200 DMA (₹4,703), reflecting bearish sentiment. RSI at 30.0 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD at -143 confirms strong downward momentum. The P/E of 47.5 is higher than the industry average (34.9), suggesting premium valuation. EPS of ₹84.1 is solid, but PEG ratio of 2.48 highlights expensive growth-adjusted pricing. Quarterly PAT improved from ₹137 Cr. to ₹153 Cr., but profit variation (-25.6%) raises caution. Swing trade potential exists for a rebound from oversold levels, but risks remain due to valuation and weak technicals.
Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹3,950–₹4,000, close to support levels.
Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near ₹4,400–₹4,450, where resistance aligns with the 50 DMA. A stop-loss near ₹3,850 is advisable to manage downside risk.
✅ Positive
- Strong ROCE (34.0%) and ROE (32.2%).
- EPS of ₹84.1 reflects solid earnings power.
- Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.12).
- Dividend yield of 0.90% adds shareholder value.
⚠️ Limitation
- P/E of 47.5 vs industry 34.9 indicates premium valuation.
- Stock trading below both 50 & 200 DMA.
- RSI and MACD indicate strong bearish momentum.
- PEG ratio of 2.48 suggests expensive growth-adjusted valuation.
📰 Company Negative News
- Quarterly profit variation (-25.6%) raises concerns.
- FII holdings decreased (-0.14%) and DII holdings decreased (-0.08%).
🌟 Company Positive News
- Quarterly PAT improved from ₹137 Cr. to ₹153 Cr.
- Strong ROCE and ROE highlight operational efficiency.
- Dividend yield of 0.90% provides investor returns.
🏭 Industry
- Financial services and ratings sector benefits from regulatory demand and corporate growth.
- Industry P/E at 34.9 indicates moderate valuations compared to CRISIL’s premium pricing.
📌 Conclusion
CRISIL is fundamentally strong with high efficiency and steady earnings, but faces technical weakness and premium valuation. Entry near ₹3,950–₹4,000 may be considered for a rebound, with exit around ₹4,400–₹4,450. Swing trade potential exists, but caution is advised due to oversold conditions and declining profit variation.