CRISIL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators
Back to ListTechnical Rating: 3.8
| Stock Code | CRISIL | Market Cap | 29,164 Cr. | Current Price | 3,989 ₹ | High / Low | 6,330 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 48.7 | Book Value | 277 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.63 % | ROCE | 31.9 % |
| ROE | 29.5 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 4,165 ₹ | DMA 200 | 4,488 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.49 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.52 % | PAT Qtr | 113 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 153 Cr. |
| RSI | 39.2 | MACD | -32.8 | Volume | 37,887 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 38,712 |
| Low price | 3,686 ₹ | High price | 6,330 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 3.11 | Debt to equity | 0.12 |
| 52w Index | 11.4 % | Qtr Profit Var | -12.6 % | EPS | 81.8 ₹ | Industry PE | 35.2 |
📈 Chart & Trend Analysis: CRISIL is trading at ₹3,989, below both its 50 DMA (₹4,165) and 200 DMA (₹4,488), indicating short-term and long-term weakness. RSI at 39.2 suggests bearish momentum, nearing oversold territory. MACD at -32.8 shows strong negative divergence, confirming downward bias. Bollinger Bands place the price near the lower band, signaling downside pressure with limited recovery signs.
📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (37,887) is in line with the 1-week average (38,712), reflecting stable but weak participation without strong breakout signals.
🔑 Support & Resistance: Strong support lies at ₹3,686 (recent low). Resistance is near ₹4,165 (50 DMA) and ₹4,488 (200 DMA). Optimal entry zone: ₹3,900–₹4,000. Exit/profit booking zone: ₹4,150–₹4,250.
📉 Momentum Signals: RSI and MACD confirm bearish momentum. Short-term signals favor cautious accumulation near support zones, with exits around resistance levels.
📌 Trend Status: The stock is currently consolidating with bearish bias, not reversing upward yet.
Positive ✅
- Strong ROCE (31.9%) and ROE (29.5%) highlight excellent capital efficiency.
- EPS of ₹81.8 supports valuation strength.
- Dividend yield of 0.63% adds investor support.
Limitation ⚠️
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates technical weakness.
- High P/E ratio (48.7) compared to industry average (35.2) suggests premium valuation.
- PEG ratio of 3.11 indicates expensive growth prospects.
Company Negative News ❌
- FII holding decreased (-0.49%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
- PAT declined (₹153 Cr → ₹113 Cr), reflecting earnings pressure.
Company Positive News 🌟
- DII holding increased (+0.52%), reflecting domestic institutional support.
- Strong ROCE and ROE metrics support operational efficiency.
Industry 🏭
- Financial services and rating agencies sector trades at industry PE of 35.2, making CRISIL relatively expensive compared to peers.
- Sector growth driven by rising demand for credit analysis and compliance services.
Conclusion 📌
CRISIL is consolidating with bearish bias, trading below key moving averages and showing weak momentum. Fundamentals remain strong with high efficiency metrics, but valuations are stretched and earnings have declined. Optimal strategy: accumulate cautiously near ₹3,900–₹4,000 support zones and consider profit booking near ₹4,150–₹4,250. Trend remains consolidative with downside risk unless earnings and volumes improve.
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