CRISIL - Technical Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Technical Rating: 3.0

Here’s your breakdown on CRISIL Ltd. 🧮📉

📉 Trend & Price Structure

Current Price (₹5,314) is below 50 DMA (₹5,587) and only slightly above 200 DMA (₹5,142) ➤ suggests weakening trend

Recent sharp pullback from 52W high of ₹6,955 ➤ nearly 24% correction

Price action forming a descending channel ➤ implies further downside risk unless reversal patterns emerge

📊 Indicator Pulse

RSI (31.0)

Strongly bearish ➤ nearing oversold zone

Possible bounce setup if RSI dips near 28–30 and then turns upward

MACD (-40.8)

Deep negative divergence ➤ bearish momentum still strong

No signs of crossover or slowing yet

Volume Trends

Below weekly average ➤ low trader participation

Mild accumulation likely once RSI bottoms

Bollinger Bands

Price near lower band ➤ potential setup for technical bounce

Band widening ➤ heightened volatility

⚡ Momentum Assessment

Momentum remains decidedly bearish

Sharp MACD drop and weak RSI ➤ caution advised on long positions

Mild fundamental positivity (PAT ↑ 7.5%) is yet to reflect in technicals

🎯 Trade Zones

Setup Type Price Zone (₹) Why It Matters

Entry (Dip Buying) ₹5,150 - ₹5,250 Near 200 DMA + RSI oversold territory

Entry (Momentum Trigger) ₹5,600+ Break above 50 DMA with confirmation signal

Exit (Swing Target) ₹5,850 - ₹5,950 Resistance zone; prior range bounce

Exit (Full Target) ₹6,400+ Trend reversal confirmation + MACD crossover

📘 Fundamental Notes

P/E (53.5) > Industry PE (31.8) ➤ expensive relative to peers

ROCE (35.6%) & ROE (27.8%) ➤ top-tier financial efficiency

PEG (3.34) ➤ growth not keeping pace with valuation

FII Hold ↑ 0.39%, DII Hold ↓ 0.32% ➤ mildly positive institutional sentiment

Debt-to-equity (0.11) ➤ strong balance sheet

🧭 Summary

Trend: Reversing → currently bearish

Momentum: Bearish; waiting for reversal signs (oversold RSI + MACD curve)

Pattern: Descending wedge with bounce potential near 200 DMA

Technical Rating: 3.0

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