CRISIL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Technical Rating: 3.4

📊 CRISIL is currently consolidating with a mild bullish bias. The stock is trading below its key moving averages, but MACD and RSI suggest potential for a short-term rebound. Volume remains subdued, indicating cautious sentiment.

📊 Technical Analysis Summary

• Trend Status: Consolidating
• RSI (54.9): Neutral — modest momentum
• MACD (35.2): Positive crossover — early bullish signal
• Volume: ~12% below 1-week average — weak conviction
• DMA 50 & 200: Price below both — bearish technical structure
• Bollinger Bands: Price near mid-band — no breakout signal

🎯 Entry & Exit Zones

• Support Levels: ₹4,750, ₹4,600, ₹4,400
• Resistance Levels: ₹4,933, ₹5,050, ₹5,300
• Optimal Entry: ₹4,750–₹4,800 (on dip)
• Exit Target: ₹5,050–₹5,300 (short-term resistance)

✅ Positive

• Strong ROCE (39.0%) and ROE (36.5%) — excellent capital efficiency
• EPS of ₹91.3 — robust earnings profile
• MACD crossover suggests early bullish momentum
• DII holding increased by 0.11% — domestic investor confidence
• Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.12) — strong financial health

⚠️ Limitation

• Price below 50 DMA and 200 DMA — bearish technical structure
• Volume below average — weak participation
• High P/E (53.1) and PEG (4.87) — valuation concerns

📉 Company Negative News

• Quarterly PAT declined from ₹194 Cr to ₹137 Cr — 31.7% drop
• FII holding declined by 0.27% — slight institutional caution

📈 Company Positive News

• Stock up 24.7% from 52-week low — signs of recovery
• MACD and RSI indicate potential for short-term bounce

🏭 Industry

• Sector: Financial Services / Credit Rating
• Industry P/E: 30.8 vs CRISIL’s P/E: 53.1 — relatively overvalued
• Sector outlook stable with demand for risk analytics and credit assessments

🧾 Conclusion

• CRISIL is consolidating with early signs of bullish reversal
• Entry near ₹4,750–₹4,800 with targets at ₹5,050–₹5,300
• Monitor MACD and RSI for confirmation of trend reversal
• Valuation remains elevated; long-term investors should assess earnings trajectory and sector positioning