CRISIL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators
Back to ListTechnical Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | CRISIL | Market Cap | 29,502 Cr. | Current Price | 4,035 ₹ | High / Low | 6,330 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 48.0 | Book Value | 277 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.89 % | ROCE | 34.0 % |
| ROE | 32.2 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 4,435 ₹ | DMA 200 | 4,711 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.14 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.08 % | PAT Qtr | 153 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 137 Cr. |
| RSI | 31.4 | MACD | -137 | Volume | 72,646 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 49,703 |
| Low price | 3,894 ₹ | High price | 6,330 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 2.50 | Debt to equity | 0.12 |
| 52w Index | 5.79 % | Qtr Profit Var | -25.6 % | EPS | 84.1 ₹ | Industry PE | 36.7 |
📊 Chart & Trend Analysis: CRISIL is trading at ₹4,035, well below its 50 DMA (₹4,435) and 200 DMA (₹4,711), indicating short-term weakness. RSI at 31.4 suggests oversold conditions, while MACD at -137 confirms strong bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands show price near the lower band, signaling pressure but potential for a technical rebound.
📈 Momentum Signals: Volume (72K) is slightly above 1-week average (49K), showing increased participation despite weak price action. RSI and MACD together highlight bearish momentum, though oversold levels may trigger a short-term bounce.
💹 Entry Zone: Strong support lies around ₹3,900–₹4,000. Accumulation near this zone offers risk-managed entry.
💰 Exit Zone: Resistance levels are ₹4,435 (50 DMA) and ₹4,711 (200 DMA). A breakout above ₹4,711 would confirm reversal and open upside toward ₹5,000–₹5,300.
🔎 Trend Status: The stock is consolidating with bearish bias. Sustained move above ₹4,435–₹4,711 backed by volume is required to regain bullish momentum.
Positive
- Strong ROCE (34.0%) and ROE (32.2%) highlight efficient capital use.
- EPS at ₹84.1 provides earnings strength.
- Dividend yield at 0.89% adds income stability.
- Quarterly PAT growth (₹153 Cr vs ₹137 Cr) shows sequential improvement.
Limitation
- Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates weak technicals.
- High P/E (48.0) compared to industry average (36.7), making valuation expensive.
- PEG ratio (2.50) suggests limited growth-to-valuation comfort.
Company Negative News
- FII holding decreased (-0.14%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
- DII holding decreased (-0.08%), reflecting weaker domestic institutional support.
- Quarterly profit variation (-25.6% YoY) highlights earnings volatility.
Company Positive News
- Sequential PAT growth (₹153 Cr vs ₹137 Cr) reflects operational improvement.
- EPS remains strong at ₹84.1 despite YoY profit decline.
Industry
- Financial services and rating agencies sector benefits from rising demand for credit analysis and compliance.
- Industry P/E at 36.7 indicates CRISIL trades at a premium (P/E 48.0).
Conclusion
⚖️ CRISIL is fundamentally strong with high ROCE/ROE and resilient earnings, but technically weak and oversold in the short term. Entry near ₹3,900–₹4,000 offers favorable risk-reward, while breakout above ₹4,711 is needed for bullish confirmation. Long-term investors may accumulate cautiously, while traders should wait for volume-backed reversal signals.
Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay with ICRA, CARE Ratings, and Moody’s India so you can compare CRISIL’s momentum against the broader financial services and rating sector rotation?