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CRISIL - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 04 May 26, 11:56 am

Technical Rating: 3.7

Stock Code CRISIL Market Cap 31,363 Cr. Current Price 4,289 ₹ High / Low 6,330 ₹
Stock P/E 52.4 Book Value 277 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.58 % ROCE 31.9 %
ROE 29.5 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 4,231 ₹ DMA 200 4,563 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.49 % Chg in DII Hold 0.52 % PAT Qtr 113 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 153 Cr.
RSI 57.1 MACD 56.5 Volume 61,906 Avg Vol 1Wk 53,878
Low price 3,686 ₹ High price 6,330 ₹ PEG Ratio 3.35 Debt to equity 0.12
52w Index 22.8 % Qtr Profit Var -12.6 % EPS 81.8 ₹ Industry PE 32.7

📈 Chart & Trend Analysis:

- Current price ₹4,289 is above 50 DMA (₹4,231) but below 200 DMA (₹4,563), reflecting short-term strength but medium-term resistance.

- RSI at 57.1 indicates healthy momentum, not yet overbought.

- MACD at 56.5 remains positive, supporting bullish bias.

- Bollinger Bands show price mid-range, suggesting consolidation with potential upside.

- Volume (61,906) is above 1-week average (53,878), confirming active participation.

🎯 Entry Zone: ₹4,250–4,280 (support near 50 DMA)

🎯 Exit Zone: ₹4,350–4,400 (resistance near 200 DMA and supply zone)

📊 Status: Consolidating with mild bullish bias; breakout above 4,563 needed for trend continuation.

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Positive

✔ Strong ROCE (31.9%) and ROE (29.5%) highlight efficiency

✔ EPS of ₹81.8 supports earnings visibility

✔ Dividend yield of 0.58% adds investor appeal

✔ Price strength above 50 DMA confirms short-term momentum

✔ DII holdings increased (+0.52%), showing domestic institutional support

Limitation

⚠ High P/E (52.4 vs industry 32.7) indicates premium valuation

⚠ PEG ratio (3.35) highlights expensive growth prospects

⚠ Price below 200 DMA, limiting breakout potential

⚠ Sequential PAT decline (₹153 Cr → ₹113 Cr) raises caution

Company Negative News

📉 Decline in FII holdings (-0.49%) shows reduced foreign investor confidence

📉 Profit decline sequentially highlights earnings pressure

Company Positive News

📈 Domestic institutional inflows (+0.52%) provide support

📈 Strong efficiency metrics (ROCE, ROE) sustain long-term appeal

Industry

🏭 Financial services sector trades at lower average PE (32.7), making CRISIL relatively expensive compared to peers

🏭 Sector demand supported by credit rating and analytics growth

Conclusion

CRISIL is consolidating with mild bullish signals supported by MACD, RSI, and volume strength, but faces valuation concerns and profit decline. Entry near ₹4,250–4,280 offers favorable risk-reward, with exits around ₹4,350–4,400. Long-term investors should weigh strong efficiency metrics against premium valuation and earnings volatility.

This HTML snapshot integrates short-term technical momentum with valuation-driven caution. Would you like me to extend this into a long-term investment overlay (entry/exit strategy with ROE, ROCE, PEG, and dividend yield integration) so you can benchmark CRISIL against peers like ICRA and CARE Ratings?

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