CRISIL - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:02 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.2

📊 Analysis: CRISIL shows weak-to-moderate intraday potential today. Current price (₹4,378) is below both 50DMA (₹4,612) and 200DMA (₹4,903), indicating bearish bias. RSI at 37.9 suggests oversold conditions, while MACD (-71.6) is sharply negative, confirming strong downward momentum. Volume (1,42,341) is above weekly average (61,596), showing active participation but likely driven by selling. Fundamentals are strong with ROCE (39.0%) and ROE (36.5%), but valuation (P/E 48.0 vs industry PE 29.3) is stretched and quarterly profit declined significantly.

💹 Optimal Buy Price: Around ₹4,350–4,370 (near support zone).

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: ₹4,420–4,480 (short-term resistance).

🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹4,300 (below recent support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Consider exiting if price fails to sustain above ₹4,380 with RSI remaining below 38 or MACD staying negative. Exit near ₹4,420–4,480 if momentum improves; cut positions if price slips below ₹4,300 with rising volume.

Positive

• 📈 Strong ROCE (39.0%) and ROE (36.5%).
• 💹 EPS at ₹91.3, showing earnings strength.
• 📊 Dividend yield at 0.59%, offering investor returns.
• 📈 Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.12), strong balance sheet.

Limitation

• ⚠️ RSI at 37.9 indicates oversold but weak momentum.
• 📉 MACD (-71.6) shows strong bearish trend.
• ⚠️ High P/E (48.0) vs industry PE (29.3).
• 📉 PEG ratio (4.40) indicates overvaluation relative to growth.

Company Negative News

• 📉 Quarterly PAT declined (₹137 Cr. vs ₹194 Cr.).
• 📉 FII holding reduced (-0.27%).

Company Positive News

• 📈 DII holding increased (+0.11%), showing domestic support.
• 💹 EPS stability supports long-term visibility despite profit decline.

Industry

• 🏭 Industry PE at 29.3, lower than CRISIL’s valuation (48.0).
• 📊 Financial services sector supported by demand for ratings and analytics, though cyclical in nature.

Conclusion

⚖️ CRISIL is a cautious intraday candidate today due to bearish technicals and stretched valuation. Buy near ₹4,350–4,370, target ₹4,420–4,480, and protect downside at ₹4,300. If already holding, monitor RSI and MACD closely for exit signals. Strong fundamentals exist, but weak momentum and profit decline require strict risk management.

Would you like me to extend this into a peer benchmarking overlay against other financial analytics and rating agencies (like ICRA, CARE Ratings, Moody’s India) to compare intraday strength?