CGCL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:00 am
Back to Swing Trade ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.4
| Stock Code | CGCL | Market Cap | 17,319 Cr. | Current Price | 180 ₹ | High / Low | 232 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 27.6 | Book Value | 65.4 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.11 % | ROCE | 11.4 % |
| ROE | 11.0 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 189 ₹ | DMA 200 | 186 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.11 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.24 % | PAT Qtr | 212 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 150 Cr. |
| RSI | 30.3 | MACD | -3.89 | Volume | 5,16,377 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 9,09,826 |
| Low price | 151 ₹ | High price | 232 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.75 | Debt to equity | 1.99 |
| 52w Index | 36.3 % | Qtr Profit Var | 145 % | EPS | 6.99 ₹ | Industry PE | 21.2 |
📊 CGCL shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is trading below both its 50 DMA (189 ₹) and 200 DMA (186 ₹), with RSI at 30.3 indicating oversold conditions. MACD is negative (-3.89), suggesting short-term weakness. Strong quarterly profit growth and fair PEG ratio support fundamentals, though high debt-to-equity (1.99) and weak momentum limit upside. Optimal entry would be near 175–178 ₹. If already holding, consider exiting near 190–195 ₹ unless momentum strengthens.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Market cap of 17,319 Cr. ensures stability and liquidity.
- 💹 Quarterly PAT rose to 212 Cr. from 150 Cr. (+145% variation).
- 📊 EPS of 6.99 ₹ supports earnings base.
- 📉 PEG ratio of 0.75, showing fair valuation relative to growth.
- 📈 FII holdings increased (+0.11%), reflecting foreign investor confidence.
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.99, indicating high leverage.
- 📉 ROCE (11.4%) and ROE (11.0%) are modest compared to peers.
- 📉 RSI at 30.3 and MACD negative (-3.89) indicate weak momentum.
- 📉 Dividend yield at 0.11%, offering limited income support.
- 📉 DII holdings decreased (-0.24%).
🚨 Company Negative News
No major fresh negative news reported, but high leverage, weak technicals, and reduced DII interest remain concerns.
🌟 Company Positive News
Strong quarterly profit growth and rising FII support highlight improving sentiment despite technical weakness.
🏭 Industry
The financial services industry trades at an average PE of 21.2. CGCL’s higher P/E of 27.6 reflects growth optimism but also overvaluation risk.
📌 Conclusion
CGCL is a fair swing trade candidate with strong profit growth but weak technicals. Best entry near 175–178 ₹ (close to support levels). If already holding, exit near 190–195 ₹ unless momentum breaks resistance. Risk-reward is moderate, with caution advised due to high leverage and oversold RSI.
I can also prepare a peer comparison with Bajaj Finance and Muthoot Finance to highlight relative swing trade opportunities in the NBFC sector.
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