CGCL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | CGCL | Market Cap | 16,542 Cr. | Current Price | 172 ₹ | High / Low | 232 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 22.3 | Book Value | 65.3 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.12 % | ROCE | 11.4 % |
| ROE | 11.0 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 180 ₹ | DMA 200 | 183 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.33 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.18 % | PAT Qtr | 221 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 212 Cr. |
| RSI | 43.9 | MACD | -3.27 | Volume | 5,24,808 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 11,79,935 |
| Low price | 151 ₹ | High price | 232 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.61 | Debt to equity | 1.99 |
| 52w Index | 26.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | 104 % | EPS | 7.97 ₹ | Industry PE | 18.9 |
📊 CGCL shows moderate potential for swing trading. Strong profit growth and a favorable PEG ratio support fundamentals, but weak technical indicators (negative MACD, low RSI, and price below 50 & 200 DMA) limit short-term momentum. The stock is trading closer to its 52-week low, which may provide cautious entry opportunities.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 165–168 ₹ (near support zone, slightly below current price).
📈 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider booking profits near 185–190 ₹ (short-term resistance) or if RSI rises above 60.
✅ Positive
- Quarterly PAT growth: 221 Cr. vs. 212 Cr., showing strong improvement (104% YoY variation).
- PEG ratio of 0.61 indicates undervaluation relative to growth.
- EPS of 7.97 ₹ supports earnings visibility.
- ROE at 11% and ROCE at 11.4% show decent efficiency.
- Stock trading near 52-week low (26.6% of range), offering potential upside.
⚠️ Limitation
- Current price (172 ₹) is below both 50 DMA (180 ₹) and 200 DMA (183 ₹), showing weak trend.
- MACD negative (-3.27) and RSI at 43.9 indicate bearish momentum.
- Volume (5,24,808) is lower than average weekly volume (11,79,935), suggesting reduced participation.
- Dividend yield is very low at 0.12%, limiting income appeal.
- Debt-to-equity ratio at 1.99 is relatively high for financial stability.
📉 Company Negative News
- Decline in FII holdings (-0.33%) and DII holdings (-0.18%) shows reduced institutional confidence.
- Weak technical indicators point to limited short-term momentum.
📈 Company Positive News
- Strong quarterly profit growth and improved earnings performance.
- PEG ratio suggests undervaluation relative to growth prospects.
- Stock trading near 52-week low may attract value investors.
🏦 Industry
- Industry P/E at 18.9, lower than CGCL’s P/E of 22.3, indicating slight overvaluation compared to peers.
- Financial services sector remains supported by credit demand, though rising interest rates may pose challenges.
🔎 Conclusion
CGCL earns a swing trade rating of 3.6. Entry near 165–168 ₹ offers a cautious opportunity, while exit around 185–190 ₹ is optimal. Strong profit growth supports fundamentals, but weak technicals and reduced institutional interest suggest traders should adopt a conservative approach with tight stop-losses.