CGCL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.5
| Stock Code | CGCL | Market Cap | 16,224 Cr. | Current Price | 168 ₹ | High / Low | 232 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 21.9 | Book Value | 65.3 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.12 % | ROCE | 11.4 % |
| ROE | 11.0 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 172 ₹ | DMA 200 | 180 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -0.33 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.18 % | PAT Qtr | 221 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 212 Cr. |
| RSI | 49.7 | MACD | -0.80 | Volume | 18,78,962 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 16,12,320 |
| Low price | 151 ₹ | High price | 232 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 0.59 | Debt to equity | 1.99 |
| 52w Index | 22.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | 104 % | EPS | 7.97 ₹ | Industry PE | 16.4 |
📊 CGCL shows moderate potential for swing trading. The RSI at 49.7 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD (-0.80) suggests slight bearishness. Valuation is relatively high with a P/E of 21.9 compared to industry PE of 16.4, though the PEG ratio of 0.59 highlights growth-adjusted comfort. Quarterly PAT growth (₹221 Cr. vs ₹212 Cr.) and EPS of ₹7.97 are positives, but weak ROCE (11.4%) and ROE (11.0%) limit efficiency. Institutional holdings have slightly declined, reflecting cautious sentiment.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹160–165, near support levels and below the 50 DMA (₹172).
📈 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider booking profits near ₹175–180, aligning with the 200 DMA resistance zone.
✅ Positive
- PEG ratio of 0.59 suggests reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
- Quarterly PAT growth from ₹212 Cr. to ₹221 Cr.
- EPS of ₹7.97 supports earnings strength.
- Volume above weekly average, showing active trading interest.
⚠️ Limitation
- P/E of 21.9 is higher than industry average (16.4).
- ROCE (11.4%) and ROE (11.0%) are relatively weak.
- Dividend yield at 0.12% is very low.
- Institutional holdings (FII -0.33%, DII -0.18%) have declined.
📉 Company Negative News
- No major negative news reported, but institutional selling indicates cautious outlook.
📈 Company Positive News
- Strong quarterly profit growth and stable EPS.
- Healthy trading activity with volumes above average.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE is 16.4, lower than CGCL’s 21.9, suggesting relative overvaluation.
- Financial services sector remains supported by credit demand, though competition is high.
🔎 Conclusion
CGCL is a fair candidate for swing trading with entry near ₹160–165 and exit around ₹175–180. While growth and trading activity are positives, high valuation and weak efficiency metrics limit upside. Best suited for traders seeking short-term rebound opportunities with cautious risk management.